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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
RussiaRussia Foreign Exchange Reserves fell to 731.76B in September 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased October 2026
Russia Foreign Exchange Reserves fell to 731.76B in September 2026, released October 2026, down 37.26B from August's 769.02B reading. The reading matched the 770B consensus. Year-over-year, the indicator is up 18.46B. Over the past 3 months, Foreign Exchange Reserves averaged 744.69B, vs 742.17B in the prior 3-month window. The reading is in the 66th percentile of the trailing 24-month range.
Latest Release
731.76
Actual
770
Consensus
769.022
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±18.75 billion
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Oct 2026
Predicted: 770
Actual: 731.76
Error: +38.24
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTC/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.75 | CRYPTO | Moves with | → View |
| S&P 500 | ▲ Direct | +0.60 | INDEX | Moves with | → View |
| EUR/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.51 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.35 | COMMODITIES | Moves with | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Foreign Exchange Reserves (Russia) was reported at 731.76 billion in October 2026. This missed the market consensus of 770.00 billion by 38.24 billion. The reading fell from the previous value of 769.02 billion. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through October 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 754.71 billion, ranging from 720.35 billion to 833.60 billion across 10 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged 740.38 billion, down from the prior three at 759.03 billion. Volatility over the past year (σ 36.86 billion) is comparable than the prior year (σ 33.58 billion). In October readings over the past 3 years, Foreign Exchange Reserves has averaged 693.02 billion.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with BTC/USD (Bullish BTC). A secondary relationship exists with S&P 500, positively correlated (Bullish S&P 500). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 18.75 billion.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for November 9, 2026. Same-country events in the next 14 days include S&P Global Manufacturing PMI (Nov 2) and GDP Growth Rate YoY (Nov 13).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update October 2026.
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Foreign Exchange Reserves - RU
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About Foreign Exchange Reserves — Russia
DEFINITION
Foreign Exchange Reserves refer to the amount of foreign currency held by a country's central bank. These reserves are used to maintain stability in the country's currency and to fulfill international payment obligations. They serve as a measure of a country's economic strength and ability to withstand external shocks. Foreign Exchange Reserves are an important financial indicator for investors and policymakers, providing insight into a country's monetary policy and its ability to manage its currency.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. Surprises against consensus can drive short-term moves, particularly when the print breaks an established trend. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Sep 2026): actual 731.8 M, consensus 770 M. Prior reading (Aug 2026): 769 M. Before that (Jul 2026): 720.3 M.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a similar reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bearish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with BTC/USD (Bullish BTC, r=0.75) — a useful reference for crypto-focused traders.
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Economic Calendar - RU Events
| Monday, November 2, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06:00 | RU | S&P Global Manufacturing PMI | 49.8 | 50 | 50.10 | Medium | |
| Thursday, November 5, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 06:00 | RU | S&P Global Composite PMI | 50.8 | 50.7 | 51.00 | Low | |
| 06:00 | RU | S&P Global Services PMI | 51.3 | 51.1 | 51.45 | Low | |