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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
RussiaRussia Foreign Exchange Reserves fell to 720.4B in June 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased July 2026
Russia Foreign Exchange Reserves fell to 720.4B in June 2026, released July 2026, down 27B from May's 747.4B reading. The reading matched the 748B consensus. Foreign Exchange Reserves has now declined for 3 consecutive months. Over the past 3 months, Foreign Exchange Reserves averaged 753.05B, vs 786.7B in the prior 3-month window. Foreign Exchange Reserves is now the lowest in 7 months.
Latest Release
720.4
Actual
748
Consensus
747.4
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±16.2 billion
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Jul 2026
Predicted: 748
Actual: 720.4
Error: +27.6
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTC/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.80 | CRYPTO | Moves with | → View |
| S&P 500 | ▲ Direct | +0.75 | INDEX | Moves with | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.41 | COMMODITIES | Moves with | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Foreign Exchange Reserves (Russia) was reported at 720.40 billion in July 2026. This missed the market consensus of 748.00 billion by 27.60 billion. The reading fell from the previous value of 747.40 billion. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through July 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 741.02 billion, ranging from 681.50 billion to 833.60 billion across 10 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The indicator has been trending downward over the last three releases. The trailing three releases averaged 759.03 billion, down from the prior three at 774.37 billion. Volatility over the past year (σ 45.98 billion) is higher than the prior year (σ 28.66 billion). In July readings over the past 3 years, Foreign Exchange Reserves has averaged 667.37 billion.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with BTC/USD (Bullish BTC). A secondary relationship exists with S&P 500, positively correlated (Bullish S&P 500). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 16.20 billion.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for August 7, 2026. Same-country events in the next 14 days include S&P Global Manufacturing PMI (Aug 3) and Inflation Rate YoY (Aug 12).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update July 2026.
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Foreign Exchange Reserves - RU
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About Foreign Exchange Reserves — Russia
DEFINITION
Foreign Exchange Reserves refer to the amount of foreign currency held by a country's central bank. These reserves are used to maintain stability in the country's currency and to fulfill international payment obligations. They serve as a measure of a country's economic strength and ability to withstand external shocks. Foreign Exchange Reserves are an important financial indicator for investors and policymakers, providing insight into a country's monetary policy and its ability to manage its currency.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. Surprises against consensus can drive short-term moves, particularly when the print breaks an established trend. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Jun 2026): actual 720.4 M, consensus 748 M. Prior reading (May 2026): 747.4 M. Before that (Apr 2026): 758.7 M.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a similar reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bearish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary headwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with BTC/USD (Bullish BTC, r=0.80) — a useful reference for crypto-focused traders.
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