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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
RussiaRussia GDP Growth Rate YoY fell to -0.2% in January 2026
FMPQuarterlyReleased May 2026
Russia GDP Growth Rate YoY fell to -0.2% in January 2026, released May 2026, down 1.2% from December's 1.0% reading. The print exceeded the -0.5% consensus by 0.3%. The print is running well below the 12-month average of 2.21%. GDP Growth Rate YoY is now the lowest in 33 months.
Latest Release
-0.2
Actual
-0.5
Consensus
1
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±0.21 percentage points
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Dec 2025
Predicted: 0.6
Actual: 0.6
Error: +0
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
The May 2026 reading fell from the previous value of 1. Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmanomics model has produced a median absolute forecast error of ±0.21. Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with EUR/USD (Bullish EUR).
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GDP Growth Rate YoY - RU
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Economic Calendar - RU Events
| Wednesday, May 20, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16:00 | RU | Producer Price Index YoY | -1.8 | -0.1 | -2.50 | Low | |
| 16:00 | RU | Producer Price Index MoM | 2 | 1 | -0.65 | Low | |