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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
RwandaRwanda Producer Price Index MoM climbed to 0.2% in November 2025
FMPMonthlyReleased January 2026
Rwanda Producer Price Index MoM climbed to 0.2% in November 2025, released January 2026, up 1.0% from October's -0.8% reading. The reading missed the 1.0% consensus by 0.8%. The print is running well below the 12-month average of 0.38%. Over the past 3 months, Producer Price Index MoM averaged 0.85%, vs 0.6% in the prior 3-month window. The reading is in the 42nd percentile of the trailing 24-month range.
Latest Release
0.2
Actual
1
Consensus
-0.8
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±1.6 percentage points
across last 11 releases
Last Call
Jan 2026
Predicted: 1.2
Actual: 0.2
Error: +1
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Signal Bias | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTC/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.47 | CRYPTO | Bullish BTC | → View |
| EUR/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.34 | FOREX | Bullish EUR | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Producer Price Index MoM (Rwanda) was reported at 0.2% in January 2026. This missed the market consensus of 1% by 0.8%. The reading rose from the previous value of -0.8%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through January 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 0.93%, ranging from -0.8% to 2.5% across 7 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged 0.63%, down from the prior three at 0.7%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with BTC/USD (Bullish BTC). A secondary relationship exists with EUR/USD, positively correlated (Bullish EUR). Over the last 11 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 1.6%.
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update January 2026.
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Producer Price Index MoM - RW
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About Producer Price Index MoM — Rwanda
DEFINITION
Rwanda’s Producer Price Index MoM for December 2025 rose by 0.20%, missing the 1.00% estimate and improving from November’s -0.80% contraction. This modest increase signals a tentative stabilization in upstream inflation pressures after recent volatility. Looking ahead, the subdued PPI growth supports a cautious monetary policy stance, with markets likely to remain watchful for any shifts driven by external commodity price changes. Updated 1/9/26
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Nov 2025): actual 0.2 %, consensus 1 %. Prior reading (Oct 2025): -0.8 %. Before that (Sep 2025): 2.5 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a materially higher reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bearish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with BTC/USD (Bullish BTC, r=0.47) — a useful reference for crypto-focused traders.