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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
SwedenSweden CPIF MoM climbed to 0.9% in September 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased October 2026
Sweden CPIF MoM climbed to 0.9% in September 2026, released October 2026, up 1.1% from August's -0.2% reading. The reading matched expectations. The print is running well above the 12-month average of 0.03%. Over the past 3 months, CPIF MoM averaged -0.06%, vs 0.2% in the prior 3-month window. CPIF MoM is now the highest in 18 months.
Latest Release
0.9
Actual
0.9
Consensus
-0.2
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±0.04 percentage points
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Oct 2026
Predicted: 0.9
Actual: 0.9
Error: +0
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DAX | ▼ Inverse | −0.39 | INDEX | Moves against | → View |
| Euro STOXX 50 | ▼ Inverse | −0.34 | INDEX | Moves against | → View |
| FTSE 100 | ▼ Inverse | −0.33 | INDEX | Moves against | → View |
| S&P 500 | ▼ Inverse | −0.31 | INDEX | Moves against | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.29 | COMMODITIES | Moves with | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
CPIF MoM (Sweden) was reported at 0.9% in October 2026. This matched the market consensus of 0.9% exactly. The reading rose from the previous value of -0.2%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through October 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 0.22%, ranging from -0.6% to 0.9% across 21 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged 0.5%, up from the prior three at -0.3%. Volatility over the past year (σ 0.46%) is higher than the prior year (σ 0.34%). In October readings over the past 3 years, CPIF MoM has averaged 0.46%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with DAX (Bearish DAX). A secondary relationship exists with Euro STOXX 50, negatively correlated (Bearish Euro STOXX 50). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 0.04%.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for November 5, 2026. Same-country events in the next 14 days include Interest Rate Decision (Nov 4).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update October 2026.
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CPIF MoM - SE
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About CPIF MoM — Sweden
DEFINITION
CPIF MoM stands for Consumer Price Index for Food Month-over-Month and is a key economic indicator used to measure changes in the average price of food items purchased by consumers on a monthly basis. This indicator provides valuable insights into the current inflation rate and can help businesses and policymakers make informed decisions regarding pricing strategies and monetary policies.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Sep 2026): actual 0.9 %, consensus 0.9 %. Prior reading (Sep 2026): 0.9 %. Before that (Aug 2026): -0.3 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a materially higher reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection.
Σ
EXPECTED ZONE
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Economic Calendar - SE Events
| Monday, November 2, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07:30 | SE | S&P Global Manufacturing PMI | 58.1 | 57.4 | 57.40 | Low | |