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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
SwedenSweden CPIF MoM fell to 0.3% in June 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased July 2026
Sweden CPIF MoM fell to 0.3% in June 2026, released July 2026, down 0.6% from May's 0.9% reading. The reading matched expectations. The print is running well above the 12-month average of 0.13%. Over the past 3 months, CPIF MoM averaged 0.18%, vs 0.08% in the prior 3-month window. The reading is in the 59th percentile of the trailing 24-month range.
Latest Release
0.3
Actual
0.3
Consensus
0.9
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±0.04 percentage points
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Jul 2026
Predicted: 0.34
Actual: 0.3
Error: +0.04
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DAX | ▼ Inverse | −0.39 | INDEX | Moves against | → View |
| Euro STOXX 50 | ▼ Inverse | −0.34 | INDEX | Moves against | → View |
| FTSE 100 | ▼ Inverse | −0.33 | INDEX | Moves against | → View |
| S&P 500 | ▼ Inverse | −0.31 | INDEX | Moves against | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.29 | COMMODITIES | Moves with | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
CPIF MoM (Sweden) was reported at 0.3% in July 2026. This matched the market consensus of 0.3% exactly. The reading fell from the previous value of 0.9%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through July 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 0.21%, ranging from -0.6% to 0.9% across 21 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged 0.5%, up from the prior three at 0.3%. Volatility over the past year (σ 0.36%) is comparable than the prior year (σ 0.37%). In July readings over the past 3 years, CPIF MoM has averaged 0.32%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with DAX (Bearish DAX). A secondary relationship exists with Euro STOXX 50, negatively correlated (Bearish Euro STOXX 50). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 0.05%.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for August 6, 2026. Same-country events in the next 14 days include CPI YoY (Aug 6) and CPI MoM (Aug 6).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update July 2026.
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CPIF MoM - SE
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About CPIF MoM — Sweden
DEFINITION
CPIF MoM stands for Consumer Price Index for Food Month-over-Month and is a key economic indicator used to measure changes in the average price of food items purchased by consumers on a monthly basis. This indicator provides valuable insights into the current inflation rate and can help businesses and policymakers make informed decisions regarding pricing strategies and monetary policies.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Jun 2026): actual 0.3 %, consensus 0.3 %. Prior reading (Jun 2026): 0.3 %. Before that (May 2026): 0.9 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a materially lower reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bearish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary headwind in the current projection.
Σ
EXPECTED ZONE
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Economic Calendar - SE Events
| Monday, August 3, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06:30 | SE | Swedbank Manufacturing PMI | 58.3 | 57 | 57.85 | Low | |