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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
SwedenSweden CPIF MoM held to -0.3% in August 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased September 2026
Sweden CPIF MoM held to -0.3% in August 2026, released September 2026. The reading matched expectations. The print is running well below the 12-month average of -0.02%. Over the past 3 months, CPIF MoM averaged -0.06%, vs -0.1% in the prior 3-month window. The reading is in the 22nd percentile of the trailing 24-month range.
Latest Release
-0.3
Actual
-0.3
Consensus
-0.3
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±0.05 percentage points
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Sep 2026
Predicted: -0.3
Actual: -0.3
Error: +0
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DAX | ▼ Inverse | −0.39 | INDEX | Moves against | → View |
| Euro STOXX 50 | ▼ Inverse | −0.34 | INDEX | Moves against | → View |
| FTSE 100 | ▼ Inverse | −0.33 | INDEX | Moves against | → View |
| S&P 500 | ▼ Inverse | −0.31 | INDEX | Moves against | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.29 | COMMODITIES | Moves with | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
CPIF MoM (Sweden) was reported at -0.3% in September 2026. This matched the market consensus of -0.3% exactly. The reading was unchanged from the previous release. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through September 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 0.15%, ranging from -0.6% to 0.9% across 21 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged -0.3%, down from the prior three at 0.1%. Volatility over the past year (σ 0.4%) is higher than the prior year (σ 0.35%). In September readings over the past 3 years, CPIF MoM has averaged -0.3%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with DAX (Bearish DAX). A secondary relationship exists with Euro STOXX 50, negatively correlated (Bearish Euro STOXX 50). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 0.05%.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for October 7, 2026. Same-country events in the next 14 days include Interest Rate Decision (Sep 24).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update September 2026.
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CPIF MoM - SE
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About CPIF MoM — Sweden
DEFINITION
CPIF MoM stands for Consumer Price Index for Food Month-over-Month and is a key economic indicator used to measure changes in the average price of food items purchased by consumers on a monthly basis. This indicator provides valuable insights into the current inflation rate and can help businesses and policymakers make informed decisions regarding pricing strategies and monetary policies.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Aug 2026): actual -0.3 %, consensus -0.3 %. Prior reading (Aug 2026): -0.3 %. Before that (Jul 2026): -0.3 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a similar reading versus the latest print. The 1-month and 3-month horizons disagree, suggesting a mixed signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary neutral force in the current projection.
Σ
EXPECTED ZONE
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Economic Calendar - SE Events
| Monday, September 14, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06:00 | SE | Inflation Rate MoM | -0.3 | -0.3 | -0.3 | -0.30 | Low |
| 06:00 | SE | CPIF MoM | -0.3 | -0.3 | -0.3 | -0.30 | Low |
| 06:00 | SE | CPIF YoY | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0.70 | Low |
| 06:00 | SE | Inflation Rate YoY | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.30 | Low |
| Wednesday, September 16, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 06:00 | SE | Employed Persons | 5.507 | 5.4 | 5.40 | Low | |
| 06:00 | SE | Unemployment Rate | 7.8 | 8.2 | 8.20 | Low | |
| 06:00 | SE | Household Consumption MoM | 1.6 | -0.9 | -0.90 | Low | |
| 06:00 | SE | Household Consumption YoY | 4.3 | 3.7 | 3.70 | Low | |