Loading page content
Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
SwedenSweden Interest Rate Decision held to 1.75% in May 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased May 2026
Sweden Interest Rate Decision held to 1.75% in May 2026. The reading matched the 1.75% consensus. The print is running well below the 12-month average of 1.92%. Interest Rate Decision is now the lowest in 13 months.
Latest Release
1.75
Actual
1.75
Consensus
1.75
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±0 percentage points
across last 9 releases
Last Call
Mar 2026
Predicted: 1.75
Actual: 1.75
Error: +0
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
THE RELEASE
Interest Rate Decision (Sweden) was reported at 1.75% in May 2026. This matched the market consensus of 1.75% exactly. The reading was unchanged from the previous release. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through March 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 1.82%, ranging from 1.75% to 2% across 7 releases. This is classified as a medium-impact indicator released on a monthly basis.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged 1.75%, down from the prior three at 1.83%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with EUR/SEK (Bearish EUR). Over the last 9 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 0%.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for June 17, 2026. Same-country events in the next 14 days include Riksbank Rate Decision (Jun 17).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update March 2026.
SHARE
Interest Rate Decision - SE
Loading chart data...
About Interest Rate Decision — Sweden
DEFINITION
The Interest Rate Decision is a key financial indicator that reflects the decision made by a central bank or monetary authority to either increase, decrease, or maintain the current interest rates. This decision has a significant impact on the economy, as it affects the cost of borrowing money, inflation rates, and overall economic growth. Investors and businesses closely monitor interest rate decisions as they can have a significant impact on financial markets and investment strategies.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Policy-rate decisions and associated communication are the primary near-term driver of front-end rates, currencies, and equity-discount-rate inputs. Surprises against consensus can drive short-term moves, particularly when the print breaks an established trend. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (May 2026): actual 1.75 %, consensus 1.75 %. Prior reading (Mar 2026): 1.75 %. Before that (Jan 2026): 1.75 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a similar reading versus the latest print. The 1-month and 3-month horizons disagree, suggesting a mixed signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary neutral force in the current projection.