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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
SwedenSweden Riksbank Rate Decision held to 1.75% in May 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased May 2026
Sweden Riksbank Rate Decision held to 1.75% in May 2026. The reading matched the 1.75% consensus. The print is running well below the 12-month average of 2.06%. Riksbank Rate Decision is now the lowest in 44 months.
Latest Release
1.75
Actual
1.75
Consensus
1.75
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±0 percentage points
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Mar 2026
Predicted: 1.75
Actual: 1.75
Error: +0
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
THE RELEASE
Riksbank Rate Decision (Sweden) was reported at 1.75% in May 2026. This matched the market consensus of 1.75% exactly. The reading was unchanged from the previous release. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through March 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 1.82%, ranging from 1.75% to 2% across 7 releases. This is classified as a medium-impact indicator released on a monthly basis.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged 1.75%, down from the prior three at 1.83%. Volatility over the past year (σ 0.11%) is lower than the prior year (σ 0.57%). In March readings over the past 3 years, Riksbank Rate Decision has averaged 2.67%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with EUR/SEK (Bearish EUR). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 0%.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for June 17, 2026. Same-country events in the next 14 days include Interest Rate Decision (Jun 17).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update March 2026.
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Riksbank Rate Decision - SE
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About Riksbank Rate Decision — Sweden
DEFINITION
The Riksbank Rate Decision is a key financial indicator that reflects the monetary policy decisions made by the Swedish central bank, known as the Riksbank. This decision determines the interest rate at which the Riksbank lends money to commercial banks, and has a significant impact on the overall economy and financial markets in Sweden. It is closely monitored by investors, businesses, and policymakers as it can signal changes in borrowing costs, inflation, and economic growth. The Riksbank Rate Decision is a crucial tool for managing the country's monetary policy and promoting financial stability.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Policy-rate decisions and associated communication are the primary near-term driver of front-end rates, currencies, and equity-discount-rate inputs. Surprises against consensus can drive short-term moves, particularly when the print breaks an established trend. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (May 2026): actual 1.75 %, consensus 1.75 %. Prior reading (Mar 2026): 1.75 %. Before that (Jan 2026): 1.75 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a similar reading versus the latest print. The 1-month and 3-month horizons disagree, suggesting a mixed signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary neutral force in the current projection.