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Singapore CPI held to 1.2% in November 2025, released December 2025. The print came in cooler than the 1.3% consensus, a softer print than forecasters anticipated. The print is running well below the 12-month average of 19.75%. Over the past 3 months, CPI averaged 0.95%, vs 0.27% in the prior 3-month window. CPI is now the highest in 10 months.
across last 12 releases
Dec 2025
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hang Seng | ▲ Direct | +0.83 | INDEX | Moves with | → View |
| S&P 500 | ▲ Direct | +0.41 | INDEX | Moves with | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.27 | CRYPTO | Moves with | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
CPI (Singapore) was reported at 1.4% in February 2026. The reading rose from the previous value of 1.2%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through July 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 1.11 Percent, ranging from 0.30 Percent to 1.90 Percent across 18 releases. This is classified as a high-impact indicator released on a monthly basis.
The indicator has been trending upward over the last three releases. The trailing three releases averaged 1.70 Percent, up from the prior three at 1.33 Percent. Volatility over the past year (σ 0.46 Percent) is lower than the prior year (σ 0.58 Percent). In July readings over the past 3 years, Singapore CPI has averaged 1.25 Percent.
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with Hang Seng (Bullish Hang Seng). A secondary relationship exists with S&P 500, positively correlated (Bullish S&P 500). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 0.27 Percent.
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update July 2026.
Singapore CPI for July rose to 1.900000 percent, up from June's 1.800000 percent, indicating a modest acceleration in inflation. The increase from June to July reflects a continuing upward trend in consumer prices. Market participants will watch for further inflation data as the central bank maintains its current monetary policy stance. Updated 7/27/26
Inflation prints feed directly into central-bank policy expectations and real-yield calculations, and are among the most rate-sensitive releases on the calendar. Surprises against consensus can drive short-term moves, particularly when the print breaks an established trend. Released monthly.
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a materially higher reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with Hang Seng (Bullish Hang Seng, r=0.83) — a useful reference for index-focused traders.
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| Friday, July 31, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02:00 | Bank Lending | 931.4 | 917.7 | 884.1 | 907.75 | Low | |
| 02:30 | Unemployment Rate | 2 | 2 | 2.1 | 2.05 | Low | |
| 05:00 | Business Confidence | 12 | 17 | 5 | 8.50 | Low | |
| Monday, August 3, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 13:00 | SIPMM Manufacturing PMI | 51.3 | 51.5 | 51.50 | Low | ||