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Singapore Industrial Production YoY climbed to 17.6% in April 2026, released May 2026, up 8.4% from March's 9.2% reading. The print exceeded the 12.0% consensus by 5.6%. Industrial Production YoY has now risen for 3 consecutive months. Over the past 3 months, Industrial Production YoY averaged 8.87%, vs 11.3% in the prior 3-month window. The reading is in the 89th percentile of the trailing 24-month range.
across last 12 releases
May 2026
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Signal Bias | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikkei 225 | ▲ Direct | +0.78 | INDEX | Bullish Nikkei 225 | → View |
| S&P 500 | ▲ Direct | +0.40 | INDEX | Bullish S&P 500 | → View |
| Hang Seng | ▲ Direct | +0.37 | INDEX | Bullish Hang Seng | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
Industrial Production YoY (Singapore) was reported at 17.6% in May 2026. This beat the market consensus of 12% by 5.6%. The reading rose from the previous value of 9.2%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through May 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 9.7%, ranging from -7.8% to 29.1% across 10 releases.
The trailing three releases averaged 11.37%, down from the prior three at 17.23%. Volatility over the past year (σ 9.77%) is higher than the prior year (σ 6.54%). In May readings over the past 3 years, Industrial Production YoY has averaged 7.3%.
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with Nikkei 225 (Bullish Nikkei 225). A secondary relationship exists with S&P 500, positively correlated (Bullish S&P 500). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 6.23%.
The next release is scheduled for June 26, 2026. Same-country events in the next 14 days include CPI YoY (Jun 23).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update May 2026.
Industrial Production YoY (Year-over-Year) is a key economic indicator that measures the change in the total output of the manufacturing, mining, and utilities sectors over a 12-month period. It provides valuable insights into the health and growth of a country's industrial sector, which is a crucial component of its overall economic performance. This indicator is closely monitored by investors, policymakers, and analysts as it can signal potential shifts in the economy and help inform business and investment decisions. A positive YoY growth in industrial production indicates a strong and expanding industrial sector, while a negative growth may suggest a slowdown or contraction.
Manufacturing and factory-order series capture cyclical inflection earlier than aggregate output, and have outsized influence on industrial-sector equities. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
Latest reading (Apr 2026): actual 17.6 %, consensus 12 %. Prior reading (Mar 2026): 10.1 %. Before that (Feb 2026): -0.1 %.
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a similar reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with Nikkei 225 (Bullish Nikkei 225, r=0.78) — a useful reference for index-focused traders.
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| Wednesday, June 17, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 00:30 | Non-Oil Exports YoY | 38.4 | 24.4 | 30 | 34.20 | Low | |
| 00:45 | Balance of Trade | 5.573 | 13.132 | 7 | 6.29 | Low | |