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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
SlovakiaSlovakia Core Inflation Rate MoM climbed to 0.1% in September 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased October 2026
Slovakia Core Inflation Rate MoM climbed to 0.1% in September 2026, released October 2026, up 0.1% from August's 0.0% reading. The print came in cooler than the 0.2% consensus, a softer print than forecasters anticipated. The print is running well below the 12-month average of 0.13%. Over the past 3 months, Core Inflation Rate MoM averaged 0.05%, vs 0.27% in the prior 3-month window. The reading is in the 38th percentile of the trailing 24-month range.
Latest Release
0.1
Actual
0.2
Consensus
0
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±0.09 percentage points
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Oct 2026
Predicted: 0.25
Actual: 0.1
Error: +0.15
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTC/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.37 | CRYPTO | Moves with | → View |
| S&P 500 | ▼ Inverse | −0.29 | INDEX | Moves against | → View |
| GBP/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.29 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Core Inflation Rate MoM (Slovakia) was reported at 0.1% in October 2026. This missed the market consensus of 0.2% by 0.1%. The reading rose from the previous value of 0%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through October 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 0.15%, ranging from -0.4% to 0.7% across 11 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged 0.07%, down from the prior three at 0.27%. Volatility over the past year (σ 0.29%) is lower than the prior year (σ 0.34%). In October readings over the past 3 years, Core Inflation Rate MoM has averaged 0.07%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with BTC/USD (Bullish BTC). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 0.09%.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for November 13, 2026.
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update October 2026.
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Core Inflation Rate MoM - SK
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About Core Inflation Rate MoM — Slovakia
DEFINITION
The Core Inflation Rate MoM (Month-over-Month) is a key financial indicator that measures the change in prices of goods and services, excluding volatile items such as food and energy, on a monthly basis. It provides insight into the underlying inflation trends and helps policymakers and investors make informed decisions about monetary policy and market strategies. This indicator is considered a more reliable measure of inflation as it eliminates the impact of temporary price fluctuations, providing a clearer picture of the overall inflationary pressures in the economy.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Inflation prints feed directly into central-bank policy expectations and real-yield calculations, and are among the most rate-sensitive releases on the calendar. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Sep 2026): actual 0.1 %, consensus 0.2 %. Prior reading (Aug 2026): 0 %. Before that (Aug 2026): 0 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a materially lower reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bearish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary headwind in the current projection.
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EXPECTED ZONE
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Economic Calendar - SK Events
| Wednesday, November 4, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08:00 | SK | Harmonised Inflation Rate YoY | 3 | 3.3 | 3.30 | Low | |
| 08:00 | SK | Harmonised Inflation Rate MoM | 0.1 | 0.4 | 0.40 | Low | |