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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
SlovakiaSlovakia Core Inflation Rate MoM fell to -0.1% in June 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased July 2026
Slovakia Core Inflation Rate MoM fell to -0.1% in June 2026, released July 2026, down 0.5% from May's 0.4% reading. The print came in hotter than the -0.2% consensus, a hotter print than forecasters anticipated. Core Inflation Rate MoM has now declined for 3 consecutive months. Over the past 3 months, Core Inflation Rate MoM averaged 0.45%, vs 0.2% in the prior 3-month window. The reading is in the 13th percentile of the trailing 24-month range.
Latest Release
-0.1
Actual
-0.2
Consensus
0.4
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±0.09 percentage points
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Jul 2026
Predicted: -0.18
Actual: -0.1
Error: -0.08
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S&P 500 | ▼ Inverse | −0.35 | INDEX | Moves against | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.26 | CRYPTO | Moves with | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Core Inflation Rate MoM (Slovakia) was reported at -0.1% in July 2026. This beat the market consensus of -0.2% by 0.1%. The reading fell from the previous value of 0.4%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through July 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 0.18%, ranging from -0.4% to 0.7% across 11 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The indicator has been trending downward over the last three releases. The trailing three releases averaged 0.27%, up from the prior three at 0.1%. Volatility over the past year (σ 0.29%) is lower than the prior year (σ 0.34%). In July readings over the past 3 years, Core Inflation Rate MoM has averaged 0.03%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with S&P 500 (Bearish S&P 500). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 0.09%.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for August 13, 2026.
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update July 2026.
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Core Inflation Rate MoM - SK
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About Core Inflation Rate MoM — Slovakia
DEFINITION
The Core Inflation Rate MoM (Month-over-Month) is a key financial indicator that measures the change in prices of goods and services, excluding volatile items such as food and energy, on a monthly basis. It provides insight into the underlying inflation trends and helps policymakers and investors make informed decisions about monetary policy and market strategies. This indicator is considered a more reliable measure of inflation as it eliminates the impact of temporary price fluctuations, providing a clearer picture of the overall inflationary pressures in the economy.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Inflation prints feed directly into central-bank policy expectations and real-yield calculations, and are among the most rate-sensitive releases on the calendar. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Jun 2026): actual -0.1 %, consensus -0.2 %. Prior reading (May 2026): 0.4 %. Before that (Apr 2026): 0 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a similar reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary neutral force in the current projection.
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EXPECTED ZONE
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