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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
SlovakiaSlovakia GDP Growth Rate YoY fell to 0.8% in April 2026
FMPQuarterlyReleased September 2026
Slovakia GDP Growth Rate YoY fell to 0.8% in April 2026, released September 2026, down 0.1% from March's 0.9% reading. The print exceeded the 0.7% consensus by 0.1%. The print is running well below the 12-month average of 0.91%. The reading is in the 22nd percentile of the trailing 24-month range.
Latest Release
0.8
Actual
0.7
Consensus
0.9
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±0.13 percentage points
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Sep 2026
Predicted: 0.65
Actual: 0.8
Error: -0.15
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USD/JPY | ▼ Inverse | −0.45 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.25 | COMMODITIES | Moves against | → View |
| S&P 500 | ▲ Direct | +0.25 | INDEX | Moves with | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
GDP Growth Rate YoY (Slovakia) was reported at 0.8% in September 2026. This beat the market consensus of 0.7% by 0.1%. The reading fell from the previous value of 0.9%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through September 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 0.89%, ranging from 0.7% to 1% across 8 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged 0.8%, down from the prior three at 0.97%. Volatility over the past year (σ 0.09%) is lower than the prior year (σ 0.48%). In September readings over the past 3 years, GDP Growth Rate YoY has averaged 1.1%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with USD/JPY (Bearish USD). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 0.13%.
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update September 2026.
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GDP Growth Rate YoY - SK
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About GDP Growth Rate YoY — Slovakia
DEFINITION
The GDP Growth Rate YoY (Year-over-Year) is a key economic indicator that measures the annual change in a country's Gross Domestic Product (GDP). It provides insight into the overall health and performance of an economy, as a higher growth rate indicates a stronger and more robust economy. This indicator is closely monitored by policymakers, investors, and businesses to make informed decisions and assess the current and future economic outlook. A positive GDP Growth Rate YoY is generally seen as a positive sign of economic growth and stability, while a negative growth rate may indicate a slowdown or recession.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Aggregate growth figures anchor cyclical positioning across asset classes and inform fiscal and monetary policy debate. Surprises against consensus can drive short-term moves, particularly when the print breaks an established trend. Released quarterly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Apr 2026): actual 0.7 %, consensus 0.7 %. Prior reading (Apr 2026): 0.7 %. Before that (Jan 2026): 0.9 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a lower reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bearish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary headwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with USD/JPY (Bearish USD, r=-0.45) — a useful reference for forex-focused traders.
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Economic Calendar - SK Events
| Thursday, September 17, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07:00 | SK | Harmonised Inflation Rate YoY | 3.2 | 3.1 | 3.10 | Low | |
| 07:00 | SK | Harmonised Inflation Rate MoM | 0.1 | 0 | 0.00 | Low | |
| Friday, September 18, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 07:00 | SK | Current Account | -226.5 | -320 | -248.50 | Low | |
| 10:00 | SK | Unemployment Rate | 5.3 | 5.3 | 5.25 | Low | |