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Retail Sales YoY climbed to 6.2 in March 2026, up 8.7 from February's -2.5 reading. The print exceeded the -1.5 consensus by 7.7. Retail Sales YoY has now risen for 4 consecutive months. Over the past 3 months, Retail Sales YoY averaged -3.1, vs -2.53 in the prior 3-month window. Retail Sales YoY is now the highest in 14 months.
The May 2026 reading rose from the previous value of -2.5. Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with GBP/USD (Bullish GBP) and positively correlated with EUR/USD (Bullish EUR).
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| Tuesday, May 12, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07:00 | Construction Output YoY | 29.9 | 8.2 | 7.8 | 18.85 | Low | |
| Wednesday, May 13, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 07:00 | GDP Growth Rate YoY | 1 | 0.9 | 1.00 | Low | ||
| 07:00 | GDP Growth Rate QoQ | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.25 | Low | ||
| 07:00 | Gross Domestic Product YoY | 1 | 0.9 | 1.00 | Low | ||
| Thursday, May 14, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 07:00 | Core Inflation Rate MoM | -0.1 | 0.4 | 0.40 | Low | ||
| 07:00 | Core Inflation Rate YoY | 1.9 | 2.3 | 2.30 | Low | ||
| 07:00 | Inflation Rate MoM | 0.1 | 0.4 | 0.40 | Low | ||
| 07:00 | Inflation Rate YoY | 3.5 | 3.8 | 3.80 | Low | ||
| 07:00 | CPI YoY | 1.9 | 2.3 | 2.30 | Low | ||
| 07:00 | CPI MoM | -0.1 | 0.4 | 0.40 | Low | ||