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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
SlovakiaSlovakia Trade Balance fell to 246.5M in July 2025
FMPMonthlyReleased September 2025
Slovakia Trade Balance fell to 246.5M in July 2025, released September 2025, down 200.4M from June's 446.9M reading. The print exceeded the 100M consensus by 146.5M. Trade Balance has now declined for 3 consecutive months. Over the past 3 months, Trade Balance averaged 447.6M, vs 121.4M in the prior 3-month window.
Latest Release
246.5
Actual
100
Consensus
446.9
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±239.31 million
across last 4 releases
Last Call
Sep 2025
Predicted: 100
Actual: 246.5
Error: -146.5
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
THE RELEASE
Trade Balance (Slovakia) was reported at 225.40 million in October 2025. The reading fell from the previous value of 260.60 million. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through October 2025.
WHY IT MATTERS
The indicator has been trending downward over the last three releases. The trailing three releases averaged 268.77 million, down from the prior three at 322.30 million.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with USD/JPY (Bearish USD).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update October 2025.
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Trade Balance - SK
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About Trade Balance — Slovakia
DEFINITION
Trade balance is a financial indicator that measures the difference between a country's exports and imports of goods and services. It is an important measure of a country's economic health and can indicate whether a country is a net importer or exporter. A positive trade balance indicates that a country is exporting more than it is importing, while a negative trade balance indicates the opposite. This indicator is closely monitored by economists and policymakers as it can impact a country's currency value, inflation, and overall economic growth.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Trade-balance and tariff data inform exchange-rate fundamentals and feed directly into GDP via the net-exports channel. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Aug 2025): actual 225.4 M. Prior reading (Jul 2025): 246.5 M. Before that (Jun 2025): 334.4 M.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a lower reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary headwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with USD/JPY (Bearish USD, r=-0.63) — a useful reference for forex-focused traders.