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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
SenegalSenegal Industrial Production YoY fell to 24.2% in October 2025
FMPMonthlyReleased December 2025
Senegal Industrial Production YoY fell to 24.2% in October 2025, released December 2025, down 0.2% from September's 24.4% reading. The reading missed the 28.0% consensus by 3.8%. The print is running well above the 12-month average of 18.34%. Over the past 3 months, Industrial Production YoY averaged 24.1%, vs 19.73% in the prior 3-month window. The reading is in the 86th percentile of the trailing 24-month range.
Latest Release
24.2
Actual
28
Consensus
24.4
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±3.23 percentage points
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Dec 2025
Predicted: 28.55
Actual: 24.2
Error: +4.35
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Signal Bias | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GBP/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.88 | FOREX | Bullish GBP | → View |
| EUR/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.74 | FOREX | Bullish EUR | → View |
| USD/JPY | ▼ Inverse | −0.68 | FOREX | Bearish USD | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.42 | CRYPTO | Bullish BTC | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Industrial Production YoY (Senegal) was reported at 24.2% in December 2025. This missed the market consensus of 28% by 3.8%. The reading fell from the previous value of 24.4%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through December 2025. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 21.93%, ranging from 17.2% to 24.4% across 6 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged 24.13%, up from the prior three at 19.73%. Volatility over the past year (σ 2.79%) is lower than the prior year (σ 11.1%).
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with GBP/USD (Bullish GBP). A secondary relationship exists with EUR/USD, positively correlated (Bullish EUR). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 3.23%.
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update December 2025.
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Industrial Production YoY - SN
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About Industrial Production YoY — Senegal
DEFINITION
Industrial Production YoY (Year-over-Year) is a key economic indicator that measures the change in the total output of the manufacturing, mining, and utilities sectors over a 12-month period. It provides valuable insights into the health and growth of a country's industrial sector, which is a crucial component of its overall economic performance. This indicator is closely monitored by investors, policymakers, and analysts as it can signal potential shifts in the economy and help inform business and investment decisions. A positive YoY growth in industrial production indicates a strong and expanding industrial sector, while a negative growth may suggest a slowdown or contraction.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Manufacturing and factory-order series capture cyclical inflection earlier than aggregate output, and have outsized influence on industrial-sector equities. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Oct 2025): actual 3.3 %, consensus 28 %. Prior reading (Sep 2025): 24.4 %. Before that (Aug 2025): 23.8 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a materially lower reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bearish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary headwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with GBP/USD (Bullish GBP, r=0.88) — a useful reference for forex-focused traders.