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El Salvador GDP Growth Rate QoQ fell to 0.79% in Q4 2025, released March 2026, down 0.19% from September's 0.98% reading. The print exceeded the 0.6% consensus by 0.19%. The print is running well below the 12-month average of 0.89%.
across last 12 releases
Mar 2026
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Signal Bias | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EUR/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | FOREX | Watch | → View |
| USD/JPY | ▼ Inverse | −0.30 | FOREX | Watch | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | COMMODITIES | Watch | → View |
| S&P 500 | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | INDEX | Watch | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | CRYPTO | Watch | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
The March 2026 reading fell from the previous value of 0.98. Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmanomics model has produced a median absolute forecast error of ±0.66. Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with EUR/USD (Watch) and negatively correlated with USD/JPY (Watch).
Multi-horizon symbol forecasts, Rolling-Surprise economic predictions, and programmatic API access.
Expected Zones · Trade Bias · Confidence Intervals · API Access · 1,456+ instruments
| Thursday, May 21, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21:00 | Balance of Trade | -1134.16 | -1200 | -1200.00 | Low | ||