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Balance of Trade fell to -3.34 in March 2026, down 0.54 from February's -2.8 reading. The reading missed the -2 consensus by 1.34. The print is running well below the 12-month average of -0.98. Over the past 3 months, Balance of Trade averaged -3.05, vs -1.63 in the prior 3-month window. The reading is in the 6th percentile of the trailing 24-month range.
The April 2026 reading fell from the previous value of -2.8. Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with XAU/USD (Bearish XAU) and negatively correlated with BTC/USD (Bearish BTC).
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