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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
ThailandThailand Core Inflation Rate YoY climbed to 0.83 in April 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased May 2026
Thailand Core Inflation Rate YoY climbed to 0.83 in April 2026, released May 2026, up 0.26 from March's 0.57 reading. The print came in hotter than the 0.6 consensus, a hotter print than forecasters anticipated. Core Inflation Rate YoY has now risen for 3 consecutive months. Over the past 3 months, Core Inflation Rate YoY averaged 0.58, vs 0.63 in the prior 3-month window. Core Inflation Rate YoY is now the highest in 8 months.
Latest Release
0.83
Actual
0.6
Consensus
0.57
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±0.08 percentage points
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Mar 2026
Predicted: 0.58
Actual: 0.56
Error: +0.02
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Signal Bias | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USD/THB | ▲ Direct | +0.38 | FOREX | Bullish USD | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.33 | COMMODITIES | Bearish XAU | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
The May 2026 reading rose from the previous value of 0.57. Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmanomics model has produced a median absolute forecast error of ±0.08. Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with USD/THB (Bullish USD) and negatively correlated with XAU/USD (Bearish XAU).
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Core Inflation Rate YoY - TH
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Economic Calendar - TH Events
| Monday, May 18, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02:30 | TH | GDP Growth Rate QoQ | 1.9 | 0.1 | 0.10 | Medium | |
| 02:30 | TH | GDP Growth Rate YoY | 2.5 | 2.2 | 2.95 | Medium | |
| 02:30 | TH | Gross Domestic Product YoY | 2.5 | 2.2 | 2.95 | Medium | |
| 02:30 | TH | Gross Domestic Product QoQ | 1.9 | 0.1 | 0.90 | Low | |