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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
ThailandThailand Foreign Exchange Reserves fell to 279.2B in June 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased July 2026
Thailand Foreign Exchange Reserves fell to 279.2B in June 2026, released July 2026, down 8.3B from May's 287.5B reading. The reading matched the 280B consensus. Year-over-year, the indicator is up 16.8B. Over the past 3 months, Foreign Exchange Reserves averaged 287.2B, vs 288.17B in the prior 3-month window. Foreign Exchange Reserves is now the lowest in 6 months.
Latest Release
279.2
Actual
280
Consensus
287.5
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±4.06 billion
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Jul 2026
Predicted: 280
Actual: 279.2
Error: +0.8
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hang Seng | ▼ Inverse | −0.43 | INDEX | Moves against | → View |
| USD/THB | ▲ Direct | +0.26 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Foreign Exchange Reserves (Thailand) was reported at 283.10 billion in September 2026. The reading rose from the previous value of 275.40 billion. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through September 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 282.17, ranging from 273.30 to 294.00 across 9 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged 279.23, down from the prior three at 290.50. Volatility over the past year (σ 6.79) is lower than the prior year (σ 10.42). In September readings over the past 3 years, Foreign Exchange Reserves has averaged 262.07.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with Hang Seng (Bearish Hang Seng). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 4.06.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for October 9, 2026.
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update September 2026.
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Foreign Exchange Reserves - TH
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About Foreign Exchange Reserves — Thailand
DEFINITION
Foreign Exchange Reserves refer to the amount of foreign currency held by a country's central bank. These reserves are used to maintain stability in the country's currency and to fulfill international payment obligations. They serve as a measure of a country's economic strength and ability to withstand external shocks. Foreign Exchange Reserves are an important financial indicator for investors and policymakers, providing insight into a country's monetary policy and its ability to manage its currency.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Aug 2026): actual 283.1 M. Prior reading (Jul 2026): 275.4 M. Before that (Jun 2026): 279.2 M.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a similar reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook diverging from that direction. The 1-month and 3-month horizons disagree, suggesting a mixed signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with Hang Seng (Bearish Hang Seng, r=-0.43) — a useful reference for index-focused traders.
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