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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
ThailandThailand Foreign Exchange Reserves fell to 279.2B in June 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased July 2026
Thailand Foreign Exchange Reserves fell to 279.2B in June 2026, released July 2026, down 8.3B from May's 287.5B reading. The reading matched the 280B consensus. Year-over-year, the indicator is up 16.8B. Over the past 3 months, Foreign Exchange Reserves averaged 287.2B, vs 288.17B in the prior 3-month window. Foreign Exchange Reserves is now the lowest in 6 months.
Latest Release
279.2
Actual
280
Consensus
287.5
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±4.06 billion
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Jul 2026
Predicted: 280
Actual: 279.2
Error: +0.8
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
THE RELEASE
Foreign Exchange Reserves (Thailand) was reported at 279.20 billion in July 2026. This missed the market consensus of 280.00 billion by 0.80 billion. The reading fell from the previous value of 287.50 billion. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through July 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 278.92 billion, ranging from 261.90 billion to 294.00 billion across 9 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The indicator has been trending downward over the last three releases. The trailing three releases averaged 286.90 billion, up from the prior three at 282.33 billion. Volatility over the past year (σ 10.01 billion) is comparable than the prior year (σ 9.43 billion). In July readings over the past 3 years, Foreign Exchange Reserves has averaged 255.30 billion.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with Hang Seng (Bearish Hang Seng). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 4.06 billion.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for August 7, 2026.
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update July 2026.
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Foreign Exchange Reserves - TH
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About Foreign Exchange Reserves — Thailand
DEFINITION
Foreign Exchange Reserves refer to the amount of foreign currency held by a country's central bank. These reserves are used to maintain stability in the country's currency and to fulfill international payment obligations. They serve as a measure of a country's economic strength and ability to withstand external shocks. Foreign Exchange Reserves are an important financial indicator for investors and policymakers, providing insight into a country's monetary policy and its ability to manage its currency.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Jun 2026): actual 279.2 M, consensus 280 M. Prior reading (May 2026): 287.5 M. Before that (Apr 2026): 286.9 M.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a similar reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bearish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary headwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with Hang Seng (Bearish Hang Seng, r=-0.41) — a useful reference for index-focused traders.
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Economic Calendar - TH Events
| Friday, July 31, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07:00 | TH | Current Account | -3.5 | -6.4 | 1.6 | -0.95 | Low |
| 07:00 | TH | Private Investment MoM | 0.5 | 1.2 | 2 | 1.25 | Low |
| 07:00 | TH | Private Consumption MoM | 1.1 | 0.6 | 0.7 | 0.90 | Low |
| 07:30 | TH | Retail Sales YoY | -14.5 | -20 | -13 | -13.75 | Low |