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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
ThailandThailand Foreign Exchange Reserves fell to 280.5B in March 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased April 2026
Thailand Foreign Exchange Reserves fell to 280.5B in March 2026, released April 2026, down 13.4B from February's 293.9B reading. The reading matched the 270B consensus. Year-over-year, the indicator is up 33.6B. Over the past 3 months, Foreign Exchange Reserves averaged 292B, vs 278.5B in the prior 3-month window. The reading is in the 85th percentile of the trailing 24-month range.
Latest Release
280.5
Actual
270
Consensus
293.9
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±4.4 billion
across last 11 releases
Last Call
Oct 2025
Predicted: 265
Actual: 273.3
Error: -8.3
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Signal Bias | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTC/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.35 | CRYPTO | Bullish BTC | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.27 | COMMODITIES | Bearish XAU | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Foreign Exchange Reserves (Thailand) was reported at 287.50 in June 2026. The reading rose from the previous value of 286.90. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through June 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 277.06, ranging from 261.90 to 294.00 across 9 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged 290.50, up from the prior three at 276.77. Volatility over the past year (σ 11.28) is higher than the prior year (σ 9.26). In June readings over the past 3 years, Foreign Exchange Reserves has averaged 256.47.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with BTC/USD (Bullish BTC). Over the last 11 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 4.40.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for July 10, 2026. Same-country events in the next 14 days include Interest Rate Decision (Jun 24).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update June 2026.
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Foreign Exchange Reserves - TH
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About Foreign Exchange Reserves — Thailand
DEFINITION
Foreign Exchange Reserves refer to the amount of foreign currency held by a country's central bank. These reserves are used to maintain stability in the country's currency and to fulfill international payment obligations. They serve as a measure of a country's economic strength and ability to withstand external shocks. Foreign Exchange Reserves are an important financial indicator for investors and policymakers, providing insight into a country's monetary policy and its ability to manage its currency.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (May 2026): actual 287.5 M. Prior reading (Apr 2026): 286.9 M. Before that (Mar 2026): 280.5 M.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a similar reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection.