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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
ThailandThailand Gross Domestic Product QoQ fell to 0.7% in Q1 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased May 2026
Thailand Gross Domestic Product QoQ fell to 0.7% in Q1 2026, released May 2026, down 1.2% from December's 1.9% reading. The print exceeded the 0.1% consensus by 0.6%. The print is running well above the 12-month average of 0.6%.
Latest Release
0.7
Actual
0.1
Consensus
1.9
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±0.3 percentage points
across last 6 releases
Last Call
May 2026
Predicted: 0.1
Actual: 0.7
Error: -0.6
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Signal Bias | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EUR/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | FOREX | Watch | → View |
| USD/JPY | ▼ Inverse | −0.30 | FOREX | Watch | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | COMMODITIES | Watch | → View |
| S&P 500 | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | INDEX | Watch | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | CRYPTO | Watch | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Gross Domestic Product QoQ (Thailand) was reported at 0.7% in May 2026. This beat the market consensus of 0.1% by 0.6%. The reading fell from the previous value of 1.9%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through May 2026.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged 0.67%, up from the prior three at 0.57%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with BTC/USD (Watch). A secondary relationship exists with USD/JPY, negatively correlated (Watch). Over the last 6 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 0.3%.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
Same-country events in the next 14 days include Interest Rate Decision (Jun 24).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update May 2026.
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Gross Domestic Product QoQ - TH
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About Gross Domestic Product QoQ — Thailand
DEFINITION
Thailand's Gross Domestic Product QoQ for Q1 2026 came in at 0.700000%, beating the 0.100000% estimate. This marks a sharp slowdown from Q4 2025's 1.900000% growth but still indicates ongoing economic expansion. Market focus will remain on upcoming data releases and central bank policy amid this moderation. Updated 5/18/26
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Aggregate growth figures anchor cyclical positioning across asset classes and inform fiscal and monetary policy debate. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Jan 2026): actual 0.7 %, consensus 0.1 %. Prior reading (Oct 2025): 1.9 %. Before that (Jul 2025): -0.6 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a similar reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection.