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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
ThailandThailand Gross Domestic Product QoQ fell to -0.2% in Q2 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased August 2026
Thailand Gross Domestic Product QoQ fell to -0.2% in Q2 2026, released August 2026, down 0.8% from March's 0.6% reading. The print exceeded the -0.6% consensus by 0.4%. Gross Domestic Product QoQ has now declined for 3 consecutive months. Gross Domestic Product QoQ is now the lowest in 6 months.
Latest Release
-0.2
Actual
-0.6
Consensus
0.6
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±0.3 percentage points
across last 7 releases
Last Call
Aug 2026
Predicted: -0.6
Actual: -0.2
Error: -0.4
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EUR/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
| USD/JPY | ▼ Inverse | −0.30 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | COMMODITIES | Moves with | → View |
| S&P 500 | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | INDEX | Moves with | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | CRYPTO | Moves with | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Gross Domestic Product QoQ (Thailand) was reported at -0.2% in August 2026. This beat the market consensus of -0.6% by 0.4%. The reading fell from the previous value of 0.6%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through August 2026.
WHY IT MATTERS
The indicator has been trending downward over the last three releases. The trailing three releases averaged 0.8%, up from the prior three at 0.23%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with BTC/USD (Watch). A secondary relationship exists with USD/JPY, negatively correlated (Watch). Over the last 7 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 0.3%.
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update August 2026.
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Gross Domestic Product QoQ - TH
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About Gross Domestic Product QoQ — Thailand
DEFINITION
Thailand's Gross Domestic Product QoQ contracted by -0.200000% in Q2 2026, matching the previous quarter's pace and beating the -0.600000% estimate. The economy remained in contraction following Q1's -0.200000%, signaling persistent weakness. Market focus will remain on upcoming data for signs of stabilization amid ongoing challenges. Updated 8/17/26
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Aggregate growth figures anchor cyclical positioning across asset classes and inform fiscal and monetary policy debate. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Apr 2026): actual -0.2 %, consensus -0.6 %. Prior reading (Jan 2026): 0.7 %. Before that (Oct 2025): 1.9 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a materially higher reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection.
Σ
EXPECTED ZONE
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