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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
ThailandThailand Gross Domestic Product YoY climbed to 2.8% in January 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased May 2026
Thailand Gross Domestic Product YoY climbed to 2.8% in January 2026, released May 2026, up 0.3% from December's 2.5% reading. The print exceeded the 2.2% consensus by 0.6%. Gross Domestic Product YoY has now risen for 3 consecutive months. Gross Domestic Product YoY is now the highest in 9 months.
Latest Release
2.8
Actual
2.2
Consensus
2.5
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±0.5 percentage points
across last 6 releases
Last Call
May 2026
Predicted: 2.2
Actual: 2.8
Error: -0.6
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Signal Bias | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EUR/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | FOREX | Watch | → View |
| USD/JPY | ▼ Inverse | −0.30 | FOREX | Watch | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | COMMODITIES | Watch | → View |
| S&P 500 | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | INDEX | Watch | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | CRYPTO | Watch | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Gross Domestic Product YoY (Thailand) was reported at 2.8% in May 2026. This beat the market consensus of 2.2% by 0.6%. The reading rose from the previous value of 2.5%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through May 2026. This is classified as a medium-impact indicator released on a monthly basis.
WHY IT MATTERS
The indicator has been trending upward over the last three releases. The trailing three releases averaged 2.17%, down from the prior three at 3.03%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with BTC/USD (Watch). A secondary relationship exists with USD/JPY, negatively correlated (Watch). Over the last 6 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 0.5%.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
Same-country events in the next 14 days include Interest Rate Decision (Jun 24).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update May 2026.
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Gross Domestic Product YoY - TH
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About Gross Domestic Product YoY — Thailand
DEFINITION
Thailand's Gross Domestic Product YoY for May 2026 came in at 2.800%, beating the 2.200% estimate. This marks an increase from February's 2.500%, indicating a modest acceleration in economic growth. The stronger reading supports the current market pricing and central bank's cautious stance ahead of upcoming policy reviews. Updated 5/18/26
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Aggregate growth figures anchor cyclical positioning across asset classes and inform fiscal and monetary policy debate. Surprises against consensus can drive short-term moves, particularly when the print breaks an established trend. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Jan 2026): actual 2.8 %, consensus 2.2 %. Prior reading (Oct 2025): 2.5 %. Before that (Jul 2025): 1.2 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a similar reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary neutral force in the current projection.