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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
ThailandThailand Gross Domestic Product YoY fell to 1.9% in April 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased August 2026
Thailand Gross Domestic Product YoY fell to 1.9% in April 2026, released August 2026, down 0.9% from March's 2.8% reading. The print exceeded the 1.7% consensus by 0.2%. The print is running well below the 12-month average of 2.6%. Gross Domestic Product YoY is now the lowest in 6 months.
Latest Release
1.9
Actual
1.7
Consensus
2.8
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±0.4 percentage points
across last 7 releases
Last Call
Aug 2026
Predicted: 1.7
Actual: 1.9
Error: -0.2
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EUR/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
| USD/JPY | ▼ Inverse | −0.30 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | COMMODITIES | Moves with | → View |
| S&P 500 | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | INDEX | Moves with | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | CRYPTO | Moves with | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Gross Domestic Product YoY (Thailand) was reported at 1.9% in August 2026. This beat the market consensus of 1.7% by 0.2%. The reading fell from the previous value of 2.8%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through August 2026. This is classified as a medium-impact indicator released on a monthly basis.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged 2.4%, up from the prior three at 2.37%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with BTC/USD (Watch). A secondary relationship exists with USD/JPY, negatively correlated (Watch). Over the last 7 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 0.4%.
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update August 2026.
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Gross Domestic Product YoY - TH
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About Gross Domestic Product YoY — Thailand
DEFINITION
Thailand's Gross Domestic Product YoY for August 2026 came in at 1.900000%, matching the previous reading and beating the 1.700000% estimate. This marks a slowdown from May's 2.8% and February's 2.5%, indicating a deceleration in economic growth. Market focus remains on upcoming policy moves amid this steady but subdued expansion. Updated 8/17/26
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Aggregate growth figures anchor cyclical positioning across asset classes and inform fiscal and monetary policy debate. Surprises against consensus can drive short-term moves, particularly when the print breaks an established trend. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Apr 2026): actual 1.9 %, consensus 1.7 %. Prior reading (Jan 2026): 2.8 %. Before that (Oct 2025): 2.5 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a higher reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection.
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EXPECTED ZONE
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