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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
ThailandThailand Interest Rate Decision held to 1.0% in April 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased April 2026
Thailand Interest Rate Decision held to 1.0% in April 2026. The reading matched the 1.0% consensus. The print is running well below the 12-month average of 1.9%. Interest Rate Decision is now the lowest in 43 months.
Latest Release
1
Actual
1
Consensus
1
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±0.13 percentage points
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Feb 2026
Predicted: 1.25
Actual: 1
Error: +0.25
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Signal Bias | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTC/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.67 | CRYPTO | Bearish BTC | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.42 | COMMODITIES | Bullish XAU | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Interest Rate Decision (Thailand) was reported at 1% in April 2026. This matched the market consensus of 1% exactly. The reading was unchanged from the previous release. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through February 2026. This is classified as a medium-impact indicator released on a monthly basis.
WHY IT MATTERS
The indicator has been trending downward over the last three releases. The trailing three releases averaged 1.25%, down from the prior three at 1.67%. In February readings over the past 3 years, Interest Rate Decision has averaged 1.83%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with BTC/USD (Bearish BTC). A secondary relationship exists with XAU/USD, positively correlated (Bullish XAU). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 0.13%.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for June 24, 2026.
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update February 2026.
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Interest Rate Decision - TH
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About Interest Rate Decision — Thailand
DEFINITION
The Interest Rate Decision is a key financial indicator that reflects the decision made by a central bank or monetary authority to either increase, decrease, or maintain the current interest rates. This decision has a significant impact on the economy, as it affects the cost of borrowing money, inflation rates, and overall economic growth. Investors and businesses closely monitor interest rate decisions as they can have a significant impact on financial markets and investment strategies.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Policy-rate decisions and associated communication are the primary near-term driver of front-end rates, currencies, and equity-discount-rate inputs. Surprises against consensus can drive short-term moves, particularly when the print breaks an established trend. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Apr 2026): actual 1 %, consensus 1 %. Prior reading (Feb 2026): 1 %. Before that (Dec 2025): 1.25 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a lower reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bearish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary headwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with BTC/USD (Bearish BTC, r=-0.67) — a useful reference for crypto-focused traders.