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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
East TimorEast Timor Inflation Rate MoM climbed to 0.1% in November 2025
FMPMonthlyReleased December 2025
East Timor Inflation Rate MoM climbed to 0.1% in November 2025, released December 2025, up 0.3% from October's -0.2% reading. The reading matched expectations. The print is running well below the 12-month average of 0.17%. Over the past 3 months, Inflation Rate MoM averaged 0.03%, vs 0.17% in the prior 3-month window. The reading is in the 52nd percentile of the trailing 24-month range.
Latest Release
0.1
Actual
0.1
Consensus
-0.2
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±0.3 percentage points
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Dec 2025
Predicted: 0.05
Actual: 0.1
Error: -0.05
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Signal Bias | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTC/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.65 | CRYPTO | Bullish BTC | → View |
| EUR/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.60 | FOREX | Bullish EUR | → View |
| GBP/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.51 | FOREX | Bullish GBP | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.33 | COMMODITIES | Bullish XAU | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Inflation Rate MoM (East Timor) was reported at 0.1% in December 2025. This matched the market consensus of 0.1% exactly. The reading rose from the previous value of -0.2%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through December 2025. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 0.04%, ranging from -0.2% to 0.2% across 7 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged 0%, down from the prior three at 0.17%. Volatility over the past year (σ 0.16%) is lower than the prior year (σ 0.35%).
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with BTC/USD (Bullish BTC). A secondary relationship exists with EUR/USD, positively correlated (Bullish EUR). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 0.3%.
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update December 2025.
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Inflation Rate MoM - TL
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About Inflation Rate MoM — East Timor
DEFINITION
The Inflation Rate MoM (Month-over-Month) is a financial indicator that measures the percentage change in the overall price level of goods and services in a given economy from one month to the next. It is a key measure of inflation and provides insight into the rate at which prices are rising or falling, which can impact consumer purchasing power and overall economic stability. This indicator is closely monitored by economists, policymakers, and investors to assess the health of an economy and make informed decisions.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Inflation prints feed directly into central-bank policy expectations and real-yield calculations, and are among the most rate-sensitive releases on the calendar. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Nov 2025): actual 0.1 %, consensus 0.1 %. Prior reading (Oct 2025): -0.2 %. Before that (Sep 2025): 0.1 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a materially lower reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bearish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary headwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with BTC/USD (Bullish BTC, r=0.65) — a useful reference for crypto-focused traders.