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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
TurkeyTurkey Producer Price Index MoM climbed to 2.57% in August 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased September 2026
Turkey Producer Price Index MoM climbed to 2.57% in August 2026, released September 2026, up 1.05% from July's 1.52% reading. The print exceeded the 2.0% consensus by 0.57%. The print is running well above the 12-month average of 2.07%. The reading is in the 69th percentile of the trailing 24-month range.
Latest Release
2.57
Actual
2
Consensus
1.52
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±0.6 percentage points
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Sep 2026
Predicted: 2.07
Actual: 2.57
Error: -0.5
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
THE RELEASE
Producer Price Index MoM (Turkey) was reported at 2.57% in September 2026. This beat the market consensus of 2% by 0.57%. The reading rose from the previous value of 1.52%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through September 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 2%, ranging from 0.75% to 2.75% across 10 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged 2.28%, down from the prior three at 2.47%. Volatility over the past year (σ 0.72%) is higher than the prior year (σ 0.44%).
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with XAU/USD (Bullish XAU). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 0.6%.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for October 5, 2026. Same-country events in the next 14 days include Business Confidence (Sep 21) and Consumer Confidence (Sep 22).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update September 2026.
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Producer Price Index MoM - TR
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About Producer Price Index MoM — Turkey
DEFINITION
Turkey's Producer Price Index MoM rose 2.570000% in September, beating the 2.000000% estimate. This marks a sharp increase from August's 1.520000%, signaling accelerating producer inflation. The stronger-than-expected rise may influence market expectations and central bank policy ahead of upcoming inflation data. Updated 9/3/26
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Aug 2026): actual 2.57 %, consensus 2 %. Prior reading (Jul 2026): 1.52 %. Before that (May 2026): 2.75 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a lower reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook diverging from that direction. The 1-month and 3-month horizons disagree, suggesting a mixed signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary headwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with XAU/USD (Bullish XAU, r=0.61) — a useful reference for commodities-focused traders.
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EXPECTED ZONE
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Economic Calendar - TR Events
| Wednesday, September 16, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07:00 | TR | Auto Production YoY | -19.2 | -11 | -28.65 | Low | |
| 07:00 | TR | Auto Sales YoY | -25 | -15 | -27.25 | Low | |