Loading page content
Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
TurkeyTurkey Producer Price Index YoY climbed to 27.95% in August 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased September 2026
Turkey Producer Price Index YoY climbed to 27.95% in August 2026, released September 2026, up 0.12% from July's 27.83% reading. The reading matched the 27.0% consensus. Year-over-year, the indicator is up 2.79%. The reading is in the 81st percentile of the trailing 24-month range.
Latest Release
27.95
Actual
27
Consensus
27.83
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±0.92 percentage points
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Sep 2026
Predicted: 27.04
Actual: 27.95
Error: -0.91
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USD/TRY | ▲ Direct | +0.62 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.29 | COMMODITIES | Moves against | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Producer Price Index YoY (Turkey) was reported at 27.95% in September 2026. This beat the market consensus of 27% by 0.95%. The reading rose from the previous value of 27.83%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through September 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 27.6%, ranging from 26.59% to 28.93% across 10 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged 28.24%, up from the prior three at 27.6%. Volatility over the past year (σ 0.62%) is lower than the prior year (σ 1.47%).
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with USD/TRY (Bullish USD). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 0.92%.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for October 5, 2026. Same-country events in the next 14 days include Business Confidence (Sep 21) and Consumer Confidence (Sep 22).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update September 2026.
SHARE
Producer Price Index YoY - TR
Loading chart data...
About Producer Price Index YoY — Turkey
DEFINITION
Turkey's Producer Price Index YoY rose to 27.950% in September, beating the 27.000% estimate and up from August's 27.830%. The increase signals a slight acceleration in producer inflation compared to the previous month. Market focus remains on how this persistent inflation pressure will influence the central bank's monetary policy stance. Updated 9/3/26
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Aug 2026): actual 27.95 %, consensus 27 %. Prior reading (Jul 2026): 27.83 %. Before that (May 2026): 28.93 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a similar reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary headwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with USD/TRY (Bullish USD, r=0.62) — a useful reference for forex-focused traders.
Σ
EXPECTED ZONE
SIGMANOMICS MARKET FORECAST ENGINE
Multi-horizon symbol forecasts, Rolling-Surprise economic predictions, and programmatic API access.
Expected Zones · Trade Bias · Confidence Intervals · API Access · 1,456+ instruments
FOREXCRYPTOSTOCKSCOMMODITIESINDICESAPI
BLSBEAFMPWORLD BANKFRED
1,456+ instruments247 indicators530+ correlationsREST + GQL API
4,151 economic indicators127 countries covered6 data sources
FREDBLSEIAECBBOJFMP
Economic Calendar - TR Events
| Wednesday, September 16, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07:00 | TR | Auto Production YoY | -19.2 | -11 | -28.65 | Low | |
| 07:00 | TR | Auto Sales YoY | -25 | -15 | -27.25 | Low | |