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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
TaiwanTaiwan Consumer Confidence fell to 66.27% in October 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased October 2026
Taiwan Consumer Confidence fell to 66.27% in October 2026, down 2.5% from September's 68.77% reading. The reading matched the 67.9% consensus. Year-over-year, the indicator is up 2.31%. Over the past 3 months, Consumer Confidence averaged 66.89%, vs 63.9% in the prior 3-month window. The reading is in the 60th percentile of the trailing 24-month range.
Latest Release
66.27
Actual
67.9
Consensus
68.77
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±1.39 percentage points
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Oct 2026
Predicted: 68.85
Actual: 66.27
Error: +2.58
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikkei 225 | ▲ Direct | +0.79 | INDEX | Moves with | → View |
| S&P 500 | ▲ Direct | +0.59 | INDEX | Moves with | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.45 | COMMODITIES | Moves with | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.33 | CRYPTO | Moves with | → View |
| Hang Seng | ▲ Direct | +0.27 | INDEX | Moves with | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Consumer Confidence (Taiwan) was reported at 66.27% in October 2026. This missed the market consensus of 67.9% by 1.63%. The reading fell from the previous value of 68.77%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through October 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 65.16%, ranging from 62.08% to 68.77% across 11 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged 66.68%, up from the prior three at 63.9%. Volatility over the past year (σ 1.89%) is lower than the prior year (σ 4.52%). In October readings over the past 3 years, Consumer Confidence has averaged 69.1%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with Nikkei 225 (Bullish Nikkei 225). A secondary relationship exists with S&P 500, positively correlated (Bullish S&P 500). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 1.39%.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for November 27, 2026.
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update October 2026.
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Consumer Confidence - TW
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About Consumer Confidence — Taiwan
DEFINITION
Index The Consumer Confidence Index is a widely recognized financial indicator that measures the level of optimism or pessimism among consumers regarding the state of the economy. It is based on surveys and data collected from a representative sample of households, and is used by economists and investors to gauge consumer spending patterns and overall economic health. A higher index value indicates a positive outlook, while a lower value suggests a more negative sentiment. This index is a valuable tool for businesses and policymakers in making informed decisions and predicting future economic trends.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Sentiment surveys are forward-looking inputs that often lead hard data on output and hiring. Sharp swings can drive cross-asset repricing. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Oct 2026): actual 66.27 %, consensus 67.9 %. Prior reading (Sep 2026): 68.77 %. Before that (Aug 2026): 65.01 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a similar reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook diverging from that direction. The 1-month and 3-month horizons disagree, suggesting a mixed signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with Nikkei 225 (Bullish Nikkei 225, r=0.79) — a useful reference for index-focused traders.
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Economic Calendar - TW Events
| Friday, October 30, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08:00 | TW | GDP Growth Rate YoY | 14.36 | 12.93 | 12 | 13.12 | Low |