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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
TaiwanTaiwan Consumer Confidence fell to 64.58% in July 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased July 2026
Taiwan Consumer Confidence fell to 64.58% in July 2026, down 0.47% from June's 65.05% reading. The reading matched the 65.0% consensus. Over the past 3 months, Consumer Confidence averaged 63.57%, vs 64.63% in the prior 3-month window. The reading is in the 35th percentile of the trailing 24-month range.
Latest Release
64.58
Actual
65
Consensus
65.05
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±1.21 percentage points
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Jul 2026
Predicted: 65.43
Actual: 64.58
Error: +0.85
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikkei 225 | ▲ Direct | +0.81 | INDEX | Moves with | → View |
| S&P 500 | ▲ Direct | +0.63 | INDEX | Moves with | → View |
| Hang Seng | ▲ Direct | +0.57 | INDEX | Moves with | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.38 | COMMODITIES | Moves with | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.35 | CRYPTO | Moves with | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Consumer Confidence (Taiwan) was reported at 64.58% in July 2026. This missed the market consensus of 65% by 0.42%. The reading fell from the previous value of 65.05%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through July 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 64.42%, ranging from 62.08% to 67.16% across 11 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged 63.9%, down from the prior three at 65.35%. Volatility over the past year (σ 1.48%) is lower than the prior year (σ 5.02%). In July readings over the past 3 years, Consumer Confidence has averaged 68.11%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with Nikkei 225 (Bullish Nikkei 225). A secondary relationship exists with S&P 500, positively correlated (Bullish S&P 500). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 1.21%.
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update July 2026.
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Consumer Confidence - TW
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About Consumer Confidence — Taiwan
DEFINITION
Index The Consumer Confidence Index is a widely recognized financial indicator that measures the level of optimism or pessimism among consumers regarding the state of the economy. It is based on surveys and data collected from a representative sample of households, and is used by economists and investors to gauge consumer spending patterns and overall economic health. A higher index value indicates a positive outlook, while a lower value suggests a more negative sentiment. This index is a valuable tool for businesses and policymakers in making informed decisions and predicting future economic trends.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Sentiment surveys are forward-looking inputs that often lead hard data on output and hiring. Sharp swings can drive cross-asset repricing. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Jul 2026): actual 64.58 %, consensus 65 %. Prior reading (Jun 2026): 65.05 %. Before that (May 2026): 62.08 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a similar reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with Nikkei 225 (Bullish Nikkei 225, r=0.81) — a useful reference for index-focused traders.
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Economic Calendar - TW Events
| Friday, July 31, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08:00 | TW | GDP Growth Rate YoY | 12.92 | 14.55 | 10.8 | 11.86 | Low |
| 08:00 | TW | Gross Domestic Product YoY | 12.92 | 14.55 | 10.8 | 11.86 | Low |
| Monday, August 3, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 00:30 | TW | S&P Global Manufacturing PMI | 55.2 | 54.9 | 56.30 | Low | |