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Taiwan Consumer Confidence fell to 62.08% in May 2026, down 0.39% from April's 62.47% reading. The reading matched the 62.9% consensus. Year-over-year, the indicator is down 2.85%. Over the past 3 months, Consumer Confidence averaged 63.78%, vs 65.73% in the prior 3-month window. Consumer Confidence is now the lowest in 35 months.
across last 12 releases
May 2026
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Signal Bias | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikkei 225 | ▲ Direct | +0.83 | INDEX | Bullish Nikkei 225 | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.48 | COMMODITIES | Bullish XAU | → View |
| S&P 500 | ▲ Direct | +0.42 | INDEX | Bullish S&P 500 | → View |
| Hang Seng | ▲ Direct | +0.42 | INDEX | Bullish Hang Seng | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
Consumer Confidence (Taiwan) was reported at 62.08% in May 2026. This missed the market consensus of 62.9% by 0.82%. The reading fell from the previous value of 62.47%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through May 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 64.28%, ranging from 62.08% to 67.16% across 11 releases.
The indicator has been trending downward over the last three releases. The trailing three releases averaged 63.65%, down from the prior three at 65.37%. Volatility over the past year (σ 1.48%) is lower than the prior year (σ 3.7%). In May readings over the past 3 years, Consumer Confidence has averaged 66.4%.
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with Nikkei 225 (Bullish Nikkei 225). A secondary relationship exists with XAU/USD, positively correlated (Bullish XAU). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 1.39%.
Same-country events in the next 14 days include Interest Rate (Jun 18).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update May 2026.
Index The Consumer Confidence Index is a widely recognized financial indicator that measures the level of optimism or pessimism among consumers regarding the state of the economy. It is based on surveys and data collected from a representative sample of households, and is used by economists and investors to gauge consumer spending patterns and overall economic health. A higher index value indicates a positive outlook, while a lower value suggests a more negative sentiment. This index is a valuable tool for businesses and policymakers in making informed decisions and predicting future economic trends.
Sentiment surveys are forward-looking inputs that often lead hard data on output and hiring. Sharp swings can drive cross-asset repricing. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
Latest reading (May 2026): actual 62.08 %, consensus 62.9 %. Prior reading (Apr 2026): 62.47 %. Before that (Mar 2026): 62.3 %.
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a similar reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bearish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary headwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with Nikkei 225 (Bullish Nikkei 225, r=0.83) — a useful reference for index-focused traders.
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Expected Zones · Trade Bias · Confidence Intervals · API Access · 1,456+ instruments
| Thursday, June 18, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08:00 | Interest Rate Decision | 2 | 2 | 2.00 | Low | ||
| 08:20 | M2 Money Supply YoY | 6.45 | 6.5 | 6.50 | Low | ||
| 08:30 | Interest Rate Decision | 2 | 2 | 2.00 | Low | ||