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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
TaiwanTaiwan Export Orders YoY climbed to 59.4% in June 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased July 2026
Taiwan Export Orders YoY climbed to 59.4% in June 2026, released July 2026, up 12.2% from May's 47.2% reading. The print exceeded the 41.0% consensus by 18.4%. The print is running well above the 12-month average of 36.94%. Over the past 3 months, Export Orders YoY averaged 47.65%, vs 49.93% in the prior 3-month window. The reading is in the 90th percentile of the trailing 24-month range.
Latest Release
59.4
Actual
41
Consensus
47.2
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±4.58 percentage points
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Jul 2026
Predicted: 39.33
Actual: 59.4
Error: -20.07
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hang Seng | ▲ Direct | +0.70 | INDEX | Moves with | → View |
| Nikkei 225 | ▲ Direct | +0.46 | INDEX | Moves with | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.34 | COMMODITIES | Moves against | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Export Orders YoY (Taiwan) was reported at 59.4% in July 2026. This beat the market consensus of 41% by 18.4%. The reading rose from the previous value of 47.2%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through July 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 37.47%, ranging from 15.2% to 60.1% across 11 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged 51.57%, up from the prior three at 42.57%. Volatility over the past year (σ 14.93%) is higher than the prior year (σ 9.86%). In July readings over the past 3 years, Export Orders YoY has averaged 29.03%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with Hang Seng (Bullish Hang Seng). A secondary relationship exists with Nikkei 225, positively correlated (Bullish Nikkei 225). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 4.58%.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for August 20, 2026.
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update July 2026.
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Export Orders YoY - TW
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About Export Orders YoY — Taiwan
DEFINITION
Export Orders YoY (Year-over-Year) is a financial indicator that measures the change in the value of export orders placed by businesses over a 12-month period. This indicator provides insight into the strength of a country's export market and can be used to assess the overall health of the economy. A positive YoY change indicates an increase in export orders, while a negative change suggests a decline. Export Orders YoY is closely monitored by investors, economists, and policymakers as it can impact trade balances, currency values, and overall economic growth.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Trade-balance and tariff data inform exchange-rate fundamentals and feed directly into GDP via the net-exports channel. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Jun 2026): actual 59.4 %, consensus 41 %. Prior reading (May 2026): 47.2 %. Before that (Apr 2026): 48.1 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a similar reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary headwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with Hang Seng (Bullish Hang Seng, r=0.70) — a useful reference for index-focused traders.
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Economic Calendar - TW Events
| Friday, July 31, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08:00 | TW | GDP Growth Rate YoY | 12.92 | 14.55 | 10.8 | 11.86 | Low |
| 08:00 | TW | Gross Domestic Product YoY | 12.92 | 14.55 | 10.8 | 11.86 | Low |
| Monday, August 3, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 00:30 | TW | S&P Global Manufacturing PMI | 55.2 | 54.9 | 56.30 | Low | |