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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
TaiwanTaiwan Export Orders YoY climbed to 61.9% in July 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased August 2026
Taiwan Export Orders YoY climbed to 61.9% in July 2026, released August 2026, up 2.5% from June's 59.4% reading. The print exceeded the 45.1% consensus by 16.8%. Export Orders YoY has now risen for 3 consecutive months. Over the past 3 months, Export Orders YoY averaged 53.3%, vs 49.48% in the prior 3-month window. The reading is in the 94th percentile of the trailing 24-month range.
Latest Release
61.9
Actual
45.1
Consensus
59.4
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±6.41 percentage points
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Aug 2026
Predicted: 48.75
Actual: 61.9
Error: -13.15
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hang Seng | ▲ Direct | +0.60 | INDEX | Moves with | → View |
| Nikkei 225 | ▲ Direct | +0.46 | INDEX | Moves with | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.25 | COMMODITIES | Moves against | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Export Orders YoY (Taiwan) was reported at 61.9% in August 2026. This beat the market consensus of 45.1% by 16.8%. The reading rose from the previous value of 59.4%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through August 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 41.72%, ranging from 19.5% to 61.9% across 11 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The indicator has been trending upward over the last three releases. The trailing three releases averaged 56.17%, up from the prior three at 44%. Volatility over the past year (σ 14.63%) is higher than the prior year (σ 9.59%). In August readings over the past 3 years, Export Orders YoY has averaged 27.3%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with Hang Seng (Bullish Hang Seng). A secondary relationship exists with Nikkei 225, positively correlated (Bullish Nikkei 225). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 6.41%.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for September 22, 2026. Same-country events in the next 14 days include Interest Rate (Sep 17).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update August 2026.
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Export Orders YoY - TW
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About Export Orders YoY — Taiwan
DEFINITION
Export Orders YoY (Year-over-Year) is a financial indicator that measures the change in the value of export orders placed by businesses over a 12-month period. This indicator provides insight into the strength of a country's export market and can be used to assess the overall health of the economy. A positive YoY change indicates an increase in export orders, while a negative change suggests a decline. Export Orders YoY is closely monitored by investors, economists, and policymakers as it can impact trade balances, currency values, and overall economic growth.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Trade-balance and tariff data inform exchange-rate fundamentals and feed directly into GDP via the net-exports channel. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Jul 2026): actual 61.9 %, consensus 45.1 %. Prior reading (Jun 2026): 59.4 %. Before that (May 2026): 47.2 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a higher reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with Hang Seng (Bullish Hang Seng, r=0.60) — a useful reference for index-focused traders.
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