Loading page content
Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
TaiwanTaiwan Exports YoY fell to 32.9% in July 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased August 2026
Taiwan Exports YoY fell to 32.9% in July 2026, released August 2026, down 7.4% from June's 40.3% reading. The reading missed the 40.7% consensus by 7.8%. Exports YoY has now declined for 3 consecutive months. Over the past 3 months, Exports YoY averaged 46.0%, vs 47.83% in the prior 3-month window. The reading is in the 46th percentile of the trailing 24-month range.
Latest Release
32.9
Actual
40.7
Consensus
40.3
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±11.65 percentage points
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Aug 2026
Predicted: 42.08
Actual: 32.9
Error: +9.18
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTC/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.76 | CRYPTO | Moves against | → View |
| Nikkei 225 | ▲ Direct | +0.53 | INDEX | Moves with | → View |
| USD/TWD | ▼ Inverse | −0.42 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
| S&P 500 | ▼ Inverse | −0.34 | INDEX | Moves against | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.29 | COMMODITIES | Moves with | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Exports YoY (Taiwan) was reported at 41% in September 2026. The reading rose from the previous value of 32.9%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through September 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 43.29%, ranging from 20.6% to 69.9% across 9 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged 38.07%, down from the prior three at 47.4%. Volatility over the past year (σ 13.61%) is comparable than the prior year (σ 13.66%). In September readings over the past 3 years, Exports YoY has averaged 30.63%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with BTC/USD (Bearish BTC). A secondary relationship exists with Nikkei 225, positively correlated (Bullish Nikkei 225). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 11.65%.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for October 8, 2026. Same-country events in the next 14 days include Interest Rate (Sep 17).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update September 2026.
SHARE
Exports YoY - TW
Loading chart data...
About Exports YoY — Taiwan
DEFINITION
Exports YoY is a financial indicator that measures the year-over-year change in a country's exports. It provides valuable insights into the performance of a country's international trade and can be used to assess the overall health of its economy. A positive change in Exports YoY indicates an increase in exports, which can lead to economic growth and improved trade balance, while a negative change may suggest a decline in exports and potential economic challenges. This indicator is closely monitored by investors, policymakers, and businesses to make informed decisions and projections.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Trade-balance and tariff data inform exchange-rate fundamentals and feed directly into GDP via the net-exports channel. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Aug 2026): actual 41 %. Prior reading (Jul 2026): 32.9 %. Before that (Jun 2026): 40.3 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a higher reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bearish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with BTC/USD (Bearish BTC, r=-0.76) — a useful reference for crypto-focused traders.
Σ
EXPECTED ZONE
SIGMANOMICS MARKET FORECAST ENGINE
Multi-horizon symbol forecasts, Rolling-Surprise economic predictions, and programmatic API access.
Expected Zones · Trade Bias · Confidence Intervals · API Access · 1,456+ instruments
FOREXCRYPTOSTOCKSCOMMODITIESINDICESAPI
BLSBEAFMPWORLD BANKFRED
1,456+ instruments247 indicators530+ correlationsREST + GQL API
4,151 economic indicators127 countries covered6 data sources
FREDBLSEIAECBBOJFMP