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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
TaiwanTaiwan Exports YoY climbed to 51.7% in May 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased June 2026
Taiwan Exports YoY climbed to 51.7% in May 2026, released June 2026, up 12.7% from April's 39.0% reading. The print exceeded the 37.9% consensus by 13.8%. The print is running well above the 12-month average of 41.9%. Over the past 3 months, Exports YoY averaged 50.4%, vs 44.63% in the prior 3-month window. The reading is in the 85th percentile of the trailing 24-month range.
Latest Release
51.7
Actual
37.9
Consensus
39
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±11.65 percentage points
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Jun 2026
Predicted: 37.9
Actual: 51.7
Error: -13.8
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Signal Bias | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTC/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.73 | CRYPTO | Bearish BTC | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.52 | COMMODITIES | Bullish XAU | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Exports YoY (Taiwan) was reported at 51.7% in June 2026. This beat the market consensus of 37.9% by 13.8%. The reading rose from the previous value of 39%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through June 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 42.8%, ranging from 20.6% to 69.9% across 9 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged 47.4%, up from the prior three at 44.4%. Volatility over the past year (σ 13.83%) is higher than the prior year (σ 11.48%). In June readings over the past 3 years, Exports YoY has averaged 31.27%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with BTC/USD (Bearish BTC). A secondary relationship exists with XAU/USD, positively correlated (Bullish XAU). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 11.65%.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for July 9, 2026. Same-country events in the next 14 days include Interest Rate (Jun 18).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update June 2026.
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Exports YoY - TW
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About Exports YoY — Taiwan
DEFINITION
Exports YoY is a financial indicator that measures the year-over-year change in a country's exports. It provides valuable insights into the performance of a country's international trade and can be used to assess the overall health of its economy. A positive change in Exports YoY indicates an increase in exports, which can lead to economic growth and improved trade balance, while a negative change may suggest a decline in exports and potential economic challenges. This indicator is closely monitored by investors, policymakers, and businesses to make informed decisions and projections.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Trade-balance and tariff data inform exchange-rate fundamentals and feed directly into GDP via the net-exports channel. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (May 2026): actual 51.7 %, consensus 37.9 %. Prior reading (Apr 2026): 39 %. Before that (Mar 2026): 61.8 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a higher reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with BTC/USD (Bearish BTC, r=-0.73) — a useful reference for crypto-focused traders.