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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
TaiwanTaiwan Foreign Exchange Reserves fell to 600.75B in September 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased October 2026
Taiwan Foreign Exchange Reserves fell to 600.75B in September 2026, released October 2026, down 1.15B from August's 601.9B reading. The reading matched the 602B consensus. Over the past 3 months, Foreign Exchange Reserves averaged 598.09B, vs 601.57B in the prior 3-month window. The reading is in the 67th percentile of the trailing 24-month range.
Latest Release
600.75
Actual
602
Consensus
601.9
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±5.81 billion
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Oct 2026
Predicted: 603.14
Actual: 600.75
Error: +2.39
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTC/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.38 | CRYPTO | Moves against | → View |
| S&P 500 | ▼ Inverse | −0.36 | INDEX | Moves against | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.29 | COMMODITIES | Moves against | → View |
| USD/TWD | ▼ Inverse | −0.28 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Foreign Exchange Reserves (Taiwan) was reported at 600.75 billion in October 2026. This missed the market consensus of 602.00 billion by 1.25 billion. The reading fell from the previous value of 601.90 billion. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through October 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 601.16 billion, ranging from 594.27 billion to 605.49 billion across 10 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged 598.97 billion, down from the prior three at 602.57 billion. Volatility over the past year (σ 3.38 billion) is lower than the prior year (σ 9.78 billion). In October readings over the past 3 years, Foreign Exchange Reserves has averaged 593.87 billion.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with BTC/USD (Bearish BTC). A secondary relationship exists with S&P 500, negatively correlated (Bearish S&P 500). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 5.81 billion.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for November 5, 2026.
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update October 2026.
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Foreign Exchange Reserves - TW
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About Foreign Exchange Reserves — Taiwan
DEFINITION
Foreign Exchange Reserves refer to the amount of foreign currency held by a country's central bank. These reserves are used to maintain stability in the country's currency and to fulfill international payment obligations. They serve as a measure of a country's economic strength and ability to withstand external shocks. Foreign Exchange Reserves are an important financial indicator for investors and policymakers, providing insight into a country's monetary policy and its ability to manage its currency.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Sep 2026): actual 600.8 B, consensus 602 B. Prior reading (Aug 2026): 601.9 B. Before that (Jul 2026): 594.3 B.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a similar reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook diverging from that direction. The 1-month and 3-month horizons disagree, suggesting a mixed signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection.
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Economic Calendar - TW Events
| Friday, October 30, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08:00 | TW | GDP Growth Rate YoY | 14.36 | 12.93 | 12 | 13.12 | Low |