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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
TaiwanTaiwan Foreign Exchange Reserves fell to 597.15B in June 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased July 2026
Taiwan Foreign Exchange Reserves fell to 597.15B in June 2026, released July 2026, down 7.92B from May's 605.07B reading. The reading matched the 605B consensus. Over the past 3 months, Foreign Exchange Reserves averaged 603.78B, vs 602.28B in the prior 3-month window. The reading is in the 54th percentile of the trailing 24-month range.
Latest Release
597.15
Actual
605
Consensus
605.07
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±5.55 billion
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Jul 2026
Predicted: 606.04
Actual: 597.15
Error: +8.88
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hang Seng | ▼ Inverse | −0.60 | INDEX | Moves against | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.41 | CRYPTO | Moves against | → View |
| S&P 500 | ▼ Inverse | −0.37 | INDEX | Moves against | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Foreign Exchange Reserves (Taiwan) was reported at 597.15 billion in July 2026. This missed the market consensus of 605.00 billion by 7.85 billion. The reading fell from the previous value of 605.07 billion. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through July 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 601.30 billion, ranging from 597.15 billion to 605.49 billion across 10 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The indicator has been trending downward over the last three releases. The trailing three releases averaged 602.57 billion, up from the prior three at 602.27 billion. Volatility over the past year (σ 3.06 billion) is lower than the prior year (σ 5.04 billion).
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with Hang Seng (Bearish Hang Seng). A secondary relationship exists with BTC/USD, negatively correlated (Bearish BTC). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 5.55 billion.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for August 5, 2026.
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update July 2026.
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Foreign Exchange Reserves - TW
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About Foreign Exchange Reserves — Taiwan
DEFINITION
Foreign Exchange Reserves refer to the amount of foreign currency held by a country's central bank. These reserves are used to maintain stability in the country's currency and to fulfill international payment obligations. They serve as a measure of a country's economic strength and ability to withstand external shocks. Foreign Exchange Reserves are an important financial indicator for investors and policymakers, providing insight into a country's monetary policy and its ability to manage its currency.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Jun 2026): actual 597.2 B, consensus 605 B. Prior reading (May 2026): 605.1 B. Before that (Apr 2026): 602.5 B.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a similar reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bearish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with Hang Seng (Bearish Hang Seng, r=-0.60) — a useful reference for index-focused traders.
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Economic Calendar - TW Events
| Friday, July 31, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08:00 | TW | GDP Growth Rate YoY | 12.92 | 14.55 | 10.8 | 11.86 | Low |
| 08:00 | TW | Gross Domestic Product YoY | 12.92 | 14.55 | 10.8 | 11.86 | Low |