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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
TaiwanTaiwan Imports YoY climbed to 54.9% in May 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased June 2026
Taiwan Imports YoY climbed to 54.9% in May 2026, released June 2026, up 25.7% from April's 29.2% reading. The print exceeded the 37.4% consensus by 17.5%. The print is running well above the 12-month average of 29.06%. Over the past 3 months, Imports YoY averaged 33.75%, vs 28.43% in the prior 3-month window. The reading is in the 93rd percentile of the trailing 24-month range.
Latest Release
54.9
Actual
37.4
Consensus
29.2
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±18.34 percentage points
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Jun 2026
Predicted: 37.4
Actual: 54.9
Error: -17.5
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Signal Bias | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTC/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.52 | CRYPTO | Bearish BTC | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.38 | COMMODITIES | Bullish XAU | → View |
| USD/TWD | ▼ Inverse | −0.29 | FOREX | Bearish USD | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Imports YoY (Taiwan) was reported at 54.9% in June 2026. This beat the market consensus of 37.4% by 17.5%. The reading rose from the previous value of 29.2%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through June 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 30.9%, ranging from 6.8% to 63.6% across 9 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged 41.77%, up from the prior three at 28.33%. Volatility over the past year (σ 18.27%) is higher than the prior year (σ 15.77%). In June readings over the past 3 years, Imports YoY has averaged 26.83%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with BTC/USD (Bearish BTC). A secondary relationship exists with XAU/USD, positively correlated (Bullish XAU). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 18.34%.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for July 9, 2026. Same-country events in the next 14 days include Interest Rate (Jun 18).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update June 2026.
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Imports YoY - TW
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About Imports YoY — Taiwan
DEFINITION
Imports YoY is a financial indicator that measures the year-over-year change in the total value of goods and services imported into a country. It provides valuable insights into a country's economic health and its trade relationships with other nations. A positive Imports YoY indicates an increase in imports, which can stimulate economic growth and consumer demand. On the other hand, a negative Imports YoY may suggest a decline in economic activity and potential trade imbalances. This indicator is closely monitored by investors, policymakers, and businesses to make informed decisions and assess the overall health of a country's economy.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Trade-balance and tariff data inform exchange-rate fundamentals and feed directly into GDP via the net-exports channel. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (May 2026): actual 54.9 %, consensus 37.4 %. Prior reading (Apr 2026): 29.2 %. Before that (Mar 2026): 38.3 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a materially higher reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with BTC/USD (Bearish BTC, r=-0.52) — a useful reference for crypto-focused traders.