Loading page content
Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
TaiwanTaiwan Imports YoY fell to 37.4% in July 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased August 2026
Taiwan Imports YoY fell to 37.4% in July 2026, released August 2026, down 14.4% from June's 51.8% reading. The reading missed the 48.4% consensus by 11.0%. Imports YoY has now declined for 3 consecutive months. Over the past 3 months, Imports YoY averaged 53.35%, vs 34.48% in the prior 3-month window. The reading is in the 72nd percentile of the trailing 24-month range.
Latest Release
37.4
Actual
48.4
Consensus
51.8
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±14.25 percentage points
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Aug 2026
Predicted: 53.78
Actual: 37.4
Error: +16.38
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTC/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.53 | CRYPTO | Moves against | → View |
| Nikkei 225 | ▲ Direct | +0.44 | INDEX | Moves with | → View |
| S&P 500 | ▼ Inverse | −0.28 | INDEX | Moves against | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Imports YoY (Taiwan) was reported at 44.3% in September 2026. The reading rose from the previous value of 37.4%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through September 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 38.2%, ranging from 6.8% to 63.6% across 9 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged 44.5%, up from the prior three at 41.77%. Volatility over the past year (σ 17.93%) is higher than the prior year (σ 15.27%). In September readings over the past 3 years, Imports YoY has averaged 28.6%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with BTC/USD (Bearish BTC). A secondary relationship exists with Nikkei 225, positively correlated (Bullish Nikkei 225). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 14.25%.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for October 8, 2026. Same-country events in the next 14 days include Interest Rate (Sep 17).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update September 2026.
SHARE
Imports YoY - TW
Loading chart data...
About Imports YoY — Taiwan
DEFINITION
Imports YoY is a financial indicator that measures the year-over-year change in the total value of goods and services imported into a country. It provides valuable insights into a country's economic health and its trade relationships with other nations. A positive Imports YoY indicates an increase in imports, which can stimulate economic growth and consumer demand. On the other hand, a negative Imports YoY may suggest a decline in economic activity and potential trade imbalances. This indicator is closely monitored by investors, policymakers, and businesses to make informed decisions and assess the overall health of a country's economy.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Trade-balance and tariff data inform exchange-rate fundamentals and feed directly into GDP via the net-exports channel. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Aug 2026): actual 44.3 %. Prior reading (Jul 2026): 37.4 %. Before that (Jun 2026): 51.8 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a higher reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bearish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with BTC/USD (Bearish BTC, r=-0.53) — a useful reference for crypto-focused traders.
Σ
EXPECTED ZONE
SIGMANOMICS MARKET FORECAST ENGINE
Multi-horizon symbol forecasts, Rolling-Surprise economic predictions, and programmatic API access.
Expected Zones · Trade Bias · Confidence Intervals · API Access · 1,456+ instruments
FOREXCRYPTOSTOCKSCOMMODITIESINDICESAPI
BLSBEAFMPWORLD BANKFRED
1,456+ instruments247 indicators530+ correlationsREST + GQL API
4,151 economic indicators127 countries covered6 data sources
FREDBLSEIAECBBOJFMP