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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
TaiwanTaiwan Imports YoY fell to 51.8% in June 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased July 2026
Taiwan Imports YoY fell to 51.8% in June 2026, released July 2026, down 3.1% from May's 54.9% reading. The print exceeded the 47.8% consensus by 4.0%. The print is running well above the 12-month average of 30.88%. Over the past 3 months, Imports YoY averaged 42.05%, vs 36.23% in the prior 3-month window. The reading is in the 89th percentile of the trailing 24-month range.
Latest Release
51.8
Actual
47.8
Consensus
54.9
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±14.81 percentage points
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Jul 2026
Predicted: 56.55
Actual: 51.8
Error: +4.75
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTC/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.52 | CRYPTO | Moves against | → View |
| Nikkei 225 | ▲ Direct | +0.50 | INDEX | Moves with | → View |
| S&P 500 | ▼ Inverse | −0.33 | INDEX | Moves against | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.27 | COMMODITIES | Moves with | → View |
| USD/TWD | ▼ Inverse | −0.26 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Imports YoY (Taiwan) was reported at 51.8% in July 2026. This beat the market consensus of 47.8% by 4%. The reading fell from the previous value of 54.9%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through July 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 34.73%, ranging from 6.8% to 63.6% across 9 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged 37.83%, down from the prior three at 41.17%. Volatility over the past year (σ 18.63%) is higher than the prior year (σ 15.31%). In July readings over the past 3 years, Imports YoY has averaged 34.33%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with BTC/USD (Bearish BTC). A secondary relationship exists with Nikkei 225, positively correlated (Bullish Nikkei 225). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 14.81%.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for August 7, 2026.
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update July 2026.
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Imports YoY - TW
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About Imports YoY — Taiwan
DEFINITION
Imports YoY is a financial indicator that measures the year-over-year change in the total value of goods and services imported into a country. It provides valuable insights into a country's economic health and its trade relationships with other nations. A positive Imports YoY indicates an increase in imports, which can stimulate economic growth and consumer demand. On the other hand, a negative Imports YoY may suggest a decline in economic activity and potential trade imbalances. This indicator is closely monitored by investors, policymakers, and businesses to make informed decisions and assess the overall health of a country's economy.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Trade-balance and tariff data inform exchange-rate fundamentals and feed directly into GDP via the net-exports channel. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Jun 2026): actual 51.8 %, consensus 47.8 %. Prior reading (May 2026): 54.9 %. Before that (Apr 2026): 29.2 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a higher reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with BTC/USD (Bearish BTC, r=-0.52) — a useful reference for crypto-focused traders.
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Economic Calendar - TW Events
| Friday, July 31, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08:00 | TW | GDP Growth Rate YoY | 12.92 | 14.55 | 10.8 | 11.86 | Low |
| 08:00 | TW | Gross Domestic Product YoY | 12.92 | 14.55 | 10.8 | 11.86 | Low |