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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
TaiwanTaiwan Industrial Production YoY climbed to 25.61% in July 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased August 2026
Taiwan Industrial Production YoY climbed to 25.61% in July 2026, released August 2026, up 3.05% from June's 22.56% reading. The print exceeded the 17.9% consensus by 7.71%. Industrial Production YoY has now risen for 3 consecutive months. Over the past 3 months, Industrial Production YoY averaged 17.37%, vs 22.3% in the prior 3-month window. The reading is in the 89th percentile of the trailing 24-month range.
Latest Release
25.61
Actual
17.9
Consensus
22.56
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±6.22 percentage points
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Aug 2026
Predicted: 19.23
Actual: 25.61
Error: -6.38
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikkei 225 | ▼ Inverse | −0.75 | INDEX | Moves against | → View |
| S&P 500 | ▼ Inverse | −0.57 | INDEX | Moves against | → View |
| USD/TWD | ▼ Inverse | −0.35 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
| Hang Seng | ▼ Inverse | −0.28 | INDEX | Moves against | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Industrial Production YoY (Taiwan) was reported at 25.61% in August 2026. This beat the market consensus of 17.9% by 7.71%. The reading rose from the previous value of 22.56%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through August 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 18.17%, ranging from 11.78% to 28.51% across 10 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The indicator has been trending upward over the last three releases. The trailing three releases averaged 20.11%, down from the prior three at 20.17%. Volatility over the past year (σ 5.29%) is comparable than the prior year (σ 5.36%). In August readings over the past 3 years, Industrial Production YoY has averaged 18.67%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with Nikkei 225 (Bearish Nikkei 225). A secondary relationship exists with S&P 500, negatively correlated (Bearish S&P 500). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 6.22%.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for September 23, 2026. Same-country events in the next 14 days include Interest Rate (Sep 17).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update August 2026.
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Industrial Production YoY - TW
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About Industrial Production YoY — Taiwan
DEFINITION
Industrial Production YoY (Year-over-Year) is a key economic indicator that measures the change in the total output of the manufacturing, mining, and utilities sectors over a 12-month period. It provides valuable insights into the health and growth of a country's industrial sector, which is a crucial component of its overall economic performance. This indicator is closely monitored by investors, policymakers, and analysts as it can signal potential shifts in the economy and help inform business and investment decisions. A positive YoY growth in industrial production indicates a strong and expanding industrial sector, while a negative growth may suggest a slowdown or contraction.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Manufacturing and factory-order series capture cyclical inflection earlier than aggregate output, and have outsized influence on industrial-sector equities. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Jul 2026): actual 25.61 %, consensus 17.9 %. Prior reading (Jun 2026): 22.95 %. Before that (May 2026): 11.78 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a higher reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with Nikkei 225 (Bearish Nikkei 225, r=-0.75) — a useful reference for index-focused traders.
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