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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
TaiwanTaiwan M2 Money Supply YoY climbed to 7.24% in September 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased October 2026
Taiwan M2 Money Supply YoY climbed to 7.24% in September 2026, released October 2026, up 0.45% from August's 6.79% reading. The print exceeded the 6.2% consensus by 1.04%. The print is running well above the 12-month average of 6.36%. Over the past 3 months, M2 Money Supply YoY averaged 7.11%, vs 7.56% in the prior 3-month window. The reading is in the 82nd percentile of the trailing 24-month range.
Latest Release
7.24
Actual
6.2
Consensus
6.79
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±0.35 percentage points
across last 10 releases
Last Call
Oct 2026
Predicted: 5.83
Actual: 7.24
Error: -1.41
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTC/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.63 | CRYPTO | Moves against | → View |
| USD/TWD | ▼ Inverse | −0.43 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.40 | COMMODITIES | Moves against | → View |
| S&P 500 | ▲ Direct | +0.33 | INDEX | Moves with | → View |
| Nikkei 225 | ▲ Direct | +0.27 | INDEX | Moves with | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
M2 Money Supply YoY (Taiwan) was reported at 7.24% in October 2026. This beat the market consensus of 6.2% by 1.04%. The reading rose from the previous value of 6.79%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through October 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 6.46%, ranging from 5.04% to 8.13% across 10 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged 7.15%, down from the prior three at 7.47%. Volatility over the past year (σ 1.14%) is higher than the prior year (σ 0.91%). In October readings over the past 3 years, M2 Money Supply YoY has averaged 6.09%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with BTC/USD (Bearish BTC). A secondary relationship exists with USD/TWD, negatively correlated (Bearish USD). Over the last 10 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 0.35%.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for November 23, 2026.
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update October 2026.
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M2 Money Supply YoY - TW
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About M2 Money Supply YoY — Taiwan
DEFINITION
M2 Money Supply YoY is a financial indicator that measures the annual change in the amount of money in circulation in an economy. It includes all physical currency, checking and savings deposits, and other liquid assets. This indicator is closely monitored by economists and investors as it provides insight into the overall health and growth of an economy. A higher M2 Money Supply YoY can indicate increased economic activity and potential inflation, while a lower reading may suggest a slowing economy.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Sep 2026): actual 7.24 %, consensus 6.2 %. Prior reading (Aug 2026): 6.79 %. Before that (Jul 2026): 7.42 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a similar reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary headwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with BTC/USD (Bearish BTC, r=-0.63) — a useful reference for crypto-focused traders.
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Economic Calendar - TW Events
| Friday, October 30, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08:00 | TW | GDP Growth Rate YoY | 14.36 | 12.93 | 12 | 13.12 | Low |