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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
UkraineUkraine Interest Rate Decision held to 15.0% in April 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased April 2026
Ukraine Interest Rate Decision held to 15.0% in April 2026. The reading matched the 15.0% consensus. Year-over-year, the indicator is down 0.5%. Interest Rate Decision is now the lowest in 13 months.
Latest Release
15
Actual
15
Consensus
15
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±0.31 percentage points
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Mar 2026
Predicted: 14.25
Actual: 15
Error: -0.75
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Signal Bias | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTC/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.83 | CRYPTO | Bullish BTC | → View |
| GBP/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.81 | FOREX | Bullish GBP | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.64 | COMMODITIES | Bearish XAU | → View |
| USD/JPY | ▼ Inverse | −0.50 | FOREX | Bearish USD | → View |
| EUR/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.29 | FOREX | Bullish EUR | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Interest Rate Decision (Ukraine) was reported at 15% in April 2026. This matched the market consensus of 15% exactly. The reading was unchanged from the previous release. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through March 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 15.33%, ranging from 15% to 15.5% across 6 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged 15.17%, down from the prior three at 15.5%. Volatility over the past year (σ 0.24%) is lower than the prior year (σ 1.12%). In March readings over the past 3 years, Interest Rate Decision has averaged 15%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with BTC/USD (Bullish BTC). A secondary relationship exists with GBP/USD, positively correlated (Bullish GBP). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 0.31%.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for June 18, 2026.
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update March 2026.
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Interest Rate Decision - UA
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About Interest Rate Decision — Ukraine
DEFINITION
The Interest Rate Decision is a key financial indicator that reflects the decision made by a central bank or monetary authority to either increase, decrease, or maintain the current interest rates. This decision has a significant impact on the economy, as it affects the cost of borrowing money, inflation rates, and overall economic growth. Investors and businesses closely monitor interest rate decisions as they can have a significant impact on financial markets and investment strategies.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Policy-rate decisions and associated communication are the primary near-term driver of front-end rates, currencies, and equity-discount-rate inputs. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Apr 2026): actual 15 %, consensus 15 %. Prior reading (Mar 2026): 15 %. Before that (Jan 2026): 15 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a similar reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bearish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary headwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with BTC/USD (Bullish BTC, r=0.83) — a useful reference for crypto-focused traders.