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Data from Bank of England. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
United KingdomUnited Kingdom BoE MPC Vote Unchanged fell to 89.0 in April 2026
Bank of EnglandMonthlyReleased April 2026
United Kingdom BoE MPC Vote Unchanged fell to 89.0 in April 2026, down 10.0 from March's 99.0 reading. The reading matched the 89.0 consensus. The print is running well above the 12-month average of 54.5. The reading is in the 83rd percentile of the trailing 24-month range.
Latest Release
89
Actual
89
Consensus
99
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±15
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Mar 2026
Predicted: 78
Actual: 99
Error: -21
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Signal Bias | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EUR/GBP | ▼ Inverse | −0.46 | FOREX | Bearish EUR | → View |
| GBP/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.44 | FOREX | Bullish GBP | → View |
| EUR/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.31 | FOREX | Bullish EUR | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
BoE MPC Vote Unchanged (United Kingdom) was reported at 89.00 in April 2026. This matched the market consensus of 89.00 exactly. The reading fell from the previous value of 99.00. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through March 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 58.33, ranging from 5.00 to 99.00 across 6 releases. This is classified as a medium-impact indicator released on a monthly basis.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged 51.00, down from the prior three at 65.67. Volatility over the past year (σ 29.48) is comparable than the prior year (σ 30.00). In March readings over the past 3 years, BoE MPC Vote Unchanged has averaged 92.33.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with EUR/GBP (Bearish EUR). A secondary relationship exists with GBP/USD, positively correlated (Bullish GBP). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 15.00.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for June 18, 2026. Same-country events in the next 14 days include Inflation Rate MoM (Jun 17) and Core Inflation Rate YoY (Jun 17).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update March 2026.
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BoE MPC Vote Unchanged - UK
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About BoE MPC Vote Unchanged — United Kingdom
DEFINITION
The BoE MPC Vote Unchanged is a financial indicator that measures the outcome of the Bank of England's Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) vote on interest rates. This indicator reflects the decision of the MPC to keep interest rates at the same level as the previous meeting, indicating stability in the economy and monetary policy. It is closely monitored by investors and analysts as it provides insight into the current state of the economy and potential future changes in interest rates.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. Surprises against consensus can drive short-term moves, particularly when the print breaks an established trend. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Apr 2026): actual 89, consensus 89. Prior reading (Mar 2026): 99. Before that (Feb 2026): 5.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a higher reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with EUR/GBP (Bearish EUR, r=-0.46) — a useful reference for forex-focused traders.