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Data from Bank of England. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
United KingdomUnited Kingdom BoE MPC Vote Unchanged held to 69.0 in September 2026
Bank of EnglandMonthlyReleased September 2026
United Kingdom BoE MPC Vote Unchanged held to 69.0 in September 2026. The reading matched the 69.0 consensus. The print is running well above the 12-month average of 59.5. BoE MPC Vote Unchanged is now the lowest in 6 months.
Latest Release
69
Actual
69
Consensus
69
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±10
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Sep 2026
Predicted: 64
Actual: 69
Error: -5
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S&P 500 | ▼ Inverse | −0.69 | INDEX | Moves against | → View |
| DAX | ▼ Inverse | −0.61 | INDEX | Moves against | → View |
| Euro STOXX 50 | ▼ Inverse | −0.51 | INDEX | Moves against | → View |
| GBP/JPY | ▲ Direct | +0.48 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.44 | COMMODITIES | Moves against | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
BoE MPC Vote Unchanged (United Kingdom) was reported at 69.00 in September 2026. This matched the market consensus of 69.00 exactly. The reading was unchanged from the previous release. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through September 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 61.67, ranging from 5.00 to 99.00 across 6 releases. This is classified as a medium-impact indicator released on a monthly basis.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged 72.33, up from the prior three at 51.00. Volatility over the past year (σ 29.36) is comparable than the prior year (σ 27.73). In September readings over the past 3 years, BoE MPC Vote Unchanged has averaged 79.00.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with S&P 500 (Bearish S&P 500). A secondary relationship exists with DAX, negatively correlated (Bearish DAX). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 10.00.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for November 5, 2026. Same-country events in the next 14 days include BoE Gov Bailey Speech (Oct 14) and Industrial Production MoM (Oct 15).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update September 2026.
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BoE MPC Vote Unchanged - UK
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About BoE MPC Vote Unchanged — United Kingdom
DEFINITION
The BoE MPC Vote Unchanged is a financial indicator that measures the outcome of the Bank of England's Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) vote on interest rates. This indicator reflects the decision of the MPC to keep interest rates at the same level as the previous meeting, indicating stability in the economy and monetary policy. It is closely monitored by investors and analysts as it provides insight into the current state of the economy and potential future changes in interest rates.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. Surprises against consensus can drive short-term moves, particularly when the print breaks an established trend. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Sep 2026): actual 69, consensus 69. Prior reading (Jul 2026): 69. Before that (Jun 2026): 79.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a lower reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bearish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary headwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with S&P 500 (Bearish S&P 500, r=-0.69) — a useful reference for index-focused traders.
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Economic Calendar - UK Events
| Thursday, October 15, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06:00 | UK | Construction Output YoY | -2.5 | -1.6 | -1.95 | Low | |
| 06:00 | UK | Industrial Production MoM | 0.2 | -0.1 | -0.30 | Medium | |
| 06:00 | UK | Gross Domestic Product YoY | 1.6 | 1.7 | 1.65 | Low | |
| 06:00 | UK | GDP 3-Month Avg | 0.4 | 0.5 | 0.60 | Medium | |
| 06:00 | UK | Balance of Trade Non-EU | -9.66 | -9.9 | -9.90 | High | |
| 06:00 | UK | Balance of Trade | -3.45 | -3.6 | -2.17 | Low | |
| 06:00 | UK | Industrial Production YoY | 0.6 | 0.7 | 0.60 | Low | |
| 06:00 | UK | Goods Trade Balance | -20.97 | -21.8 | -19.33 | High | |
| 06:00 | UK | Manufacturing Production YoY | 2.6 | 2.3 | 2.50 | Low | |
| 06:00 | UK | Gross Domestic Product MoM | 0.4 | -0.1 | -0.10 | High | |
| 06:00 | UK | Construction Output MoM | 0.1 | 0 | -0.25 | Low | |
| 06:00 | UK | Manufacturing Production MoM | 0.9 | -0.1 | 0.05 | Medium | |
| 11:00 | UK | NIESR Monthly GDP Tracker | 0.5 | 0.4 | 0.50 | Low | |