Loading page content
Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
United KingdomUnited Kingdom Business Investment QoQ climbed to 0.7% in Q1 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased May 2026
United Kingdom Business Investment QoQ climbed to 0.7% in Q1 2026, released May 2026, up 3.6% from December's -2.9% reading. The reading missed the 1.1% consensus by 0.4%. Business Investment QoQ has now risen for 3 consecutive months. The reading is in the 59th percentile of the trailing 24-month range.
Latest Release
0.7
Actual
1.1
Consensus
-2.9
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±3.3 percentage points
across last 12 releases
Last Call
May 2026
Predicted: 1.2
Actual: 0.7
Error: +0.5
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Signal Bias | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EUR/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.53 | FOREX | Bullish EUR | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.48 | COMMODITIES | Bullish XAU | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.41 | CRYPTO | Bullish BTC | → View |
| EUR/GBP | ▲ Direct | +0.35 | FOREX | Bullish EUR | → View |
| GBP/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.34 | FOREX | Bullish GBP | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Business Investment QoQ (United Kingdom) was reported at 0.7% in May 2026. This missed the market consensus of 1.1% by 0.4%. The reading rose from the previous value of -2.9%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through May 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged -0.56%, ranging from -4% to 3.9% across 8 releases. This is classified as a medium-impact indicator released on a monthly basis.
WHY IT MATTERS
The indicator has been trending upward over the last three releases. The trailing three releases averaged -1.5%, down from the prior three at 0.03%. Volatility over the past year (σ 2.4%) is comparable than the prior year (σ 2.55%). In May readings over the past 3 years, Business Investment QoQ has averaged 2.5%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with EUR/USD (Bullish EUR). A secondary relationship exists with XAU/USD, positively correlated (Bullish XAU). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 3.3%.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for June 30, 2026. Same-country events in the next 14 days include Inflation Rate MoM (Jun 17) and Core Inflation Rate YoY (Jun 17).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update May 2026.
SHARE
Business Investment QoQ - UK
Loading chart data...
About Business Investment QoQ — United Kingdom
DEFINITION
Business Investment QoQ (Quarter over Quarter) is a financial indicator that measures the change in the amount of money businesses are investing in their operations and assets from one quarter to the next. It provides valuable insights into the current state and future outlook of the economy, as well as the confidence and growth plans of businesses. This indicator is closely monitored by investors, analysts, and policymakers as it can impact stock prices, interest rates, and overall economic performance.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. Surprises against consensus can drive short-term moves, particularly when the print breaks an established trend. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Jan 2026): actual 0.7 %, consensus 1.1 %. Prior reading (Oct 2025): -2.7 %. Before that (Oct 2025): -2.7 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a materially lower reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bearish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary headwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with EUR/USD (Bullish EUR, r=0.53) — a useful reference for forex-focused traders.