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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
United KingdomUnited Kingdom CBI Industrial Trends Orders climbed to -25 in August 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased August 2026
United Kingdom CBI Industrial Trends Orders climbed to -25 in August 2026, up 20 from July's -45 reading. The print exceeded the -40 consensus by 15. The print is running well above the 12-month average of -35.08. Over the past 3 months, CBI Industrial Trends Orders averaged -45, vs -35.33 in the prior 3-month window. CBI Industrial Trends Orders is now the highest in 20 months.
Latest Release
-25
Actual
-40
Consensus
-45
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±4.63
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Aug 2026
Predicted: -43.75
Actual: -25
Error: -18.75
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GBP/JPY | ▲ Direct | +0.65 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
| EUR/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.62 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.60 | CRYPTO | Moves with | → View |
| GBP/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.38 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
| S&P 500 | ▲ Direct | +0.35 | INDEX | Moves with | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
CBI Industrial Trends Orders (United Kingdom) was reported at -25.00 in August 2026. This beat the market consensus of -40.00 by 15.00. The reading rose from the previous value of -45.00. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through August 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged -34.50, ranging from -45.00 to -25.00 across 10 releases. This is classified as a medium-impact indicator released on a monthly basis.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged -38.33, down from the prior three at -32.00. Volatility over the past year (σ 7.30) is higher than the prior year (σ 5.07). In August readings over the past 3 years, CBI Industrial Trends Orders has averaged -26.67.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with GBP/JPY (Bullish GBP). A secondary relationship exists with EUR/USD, positively correlated (Bullish EUR). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 4.63.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for September 22, 2026. Same-country events in the next 14 days include Employment Change (Sep 15) and Average Earnings incl. Bonus (Sep 15).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update August 2026.
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CBI Industrial Trends Orders - UK
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About CBI Industrial Trends Orders — United Kingdom
DEFINITION
CBI Industrial Trends Orders is a widely recognized financial indicator that measures the level of new orders received by manufacturers in the United Kingdom. It provides valuable insights into the health of the manufacturing sector and can be used to gauge the overall strength of the economy. This indicator is closely monitored by investors, policymakers, and businesses as it can help inform decisions related to investment, production, and economic policies. With its timely and reliable data, CBI Industrial Trends Orders is an essential tool for understanding the current and future trends in the UK manufacturing industry.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. Surprises against consensus can drive short-term moves, particularly when the print breaks an established trend. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Aug 2026): actual -25 %, consensus -40 %. Prior reading (Jul 2026): -45 %. Before that (Jun 2026): -45 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a higher reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with GBP/JPY (Bullish GBP, r=0.65) — a useful reference for forex-focused traders.
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Economic Calendar - UK Events
| Tuesday, September 15, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06:00 | UK | HMRC Payrolls Change | -13 | -4 | 37.00 | Low | |
| 06:00 | UK | Claimant Count Change | -11 | 8.3 | 11.00 | Low | |
| 06:00 | UK | Employment Change | 83 | 70 | 82.50 | High | |
| 06:00 | UK | Average Earnings excl. Bonus | 3.5 | 3.5 | 3.60 | Low | |
| 06:00 | UK | Average Earnings incl. Bonus | 4.1 | 3.9 | 4.10 | Medium | |
| 06:00 | UK | Unemployment Rate | 4.9 | 5 | 4.95 | High | |
| Wednesday, September 16, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 06:00 | UK | Retail Price Index MoM | 0.6 | 0.7 | 0.55 | Low | |
| 06:00 | UK | Retail Price Index YoY | 3.2 | 3.5 | 3.40 | Low | |
| 06:00 | UK | PPI Core Output YoY | 2.8 | 2.9 | 2.85 | Low | |
| 06:00 | UK | PPI Input MoM | -1.7 | -0.6 | -0.75 | Low | |
| 06:00 | UK | PPI Core Output MoM | 0.6 | 0.4 | 0.60 | Low | |
| 06:00 | UK | Inflation Rate YoY | 2.9 | 3.1 | 3.00 | High | |
| 06:00 | UK | Core Inflation Rate MoM | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.05 | Low | |
| 06:00 | UK | Inflation Rate MoM | 0.3 | 0.5 | 0.40 | Medium | |
| 06:00 | UK | PPI Output MoM | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.10 | Low | |
| 06:00 | UK | PPI Output YoY | 3.1 | 3.1 | 3.10 | Low | |
| 06:00 | UK | Core Inflation Rate YoY | 2.6 | 2.7 | 2.65 | Medium | |
| 06:00 | UK | PPI Input YoY | 4.9 | 4.7 | 4.65 | Low | |
| 08:30 | UK | House Price Index YoY | 2 | 2.1 | 2.60 | Low | |