Loading page content
Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
United KingdomUnited Kingdom Gross Domestic Product QoQ climbed to 0.6% in Q1 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased May 2026
United Kingdom Gross Domestic Product QoQ climbed to 0.6% in Q1 2026, released May 2026, up 0.4% from December's 0.2% reading. The reading matched the 0.6% consensus. The print is running well above the 12-month average of 0.26%. Gross Domestic Product QoQ is now the highest in 9 months.
Latest Release
0.6
Actual
0.6
Consensus
0.2
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±0.1 percentage points
across last 11 releases
Last Call
May 2026
Predicted: 0.6
Actual: 0.6
Error: +0
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Signal Bias | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EUR/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.45 | FOREX | Bearish EUR | → View |
| GBP/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.31 | FOREX | Bearish GBP | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Gross Domestic Product QoQ (United Kingdom) was reported at 0.6% in May 2026. This matched the market consensus of 0.6% exactly. The reading rose from the previous value of 0.2%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through May 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 0.29%, ranging from 0.1% to 0.7% across 8 releases. This is classified as a high-impact indicator released on a monthly basis.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged 0.27%, up from the prior three at 0.17%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with EUR/USD (Bearish EUR). A secondary relationship exists with GBP/USD, negatively correlated (Bearish GBP). Over the last 11 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 0.1%.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for June 30, 2026. Same-country events in the next 14 days include Inflation Rate MoM (Jun 17) and Core Inflation Rate YoY (Jun 17).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update May 2026.
SHARE
Gross Domestic Product QoQ - UK
Loading chart data...
About Gross Domestic Product QoQ — United Kingdom
DEFINITION
The UK Gross Domestic Product QoQ for Q1 2026 came in at 0.600000%, matching estimates and accelerating from Q4 2025’s 0.200000%. This marks a significant pickup in growth momentum after a modest previous quarter. Market focus now shifts to upcoming inflation data and Bank of England policy signals amid this stronger output. Updated 5/14/26
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Aggregate growth figures anchor cyclical positioning across asset classes and inform fiscal and monetary policy debate. Surprises against consensus typically move rates and currencies on release. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Jan 2026): actual 0.6 %, consensus 0.6 %. Prior reading (Oct 2025): 0.1 %. Before that (Oct 2025): 0.1 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a materially higher reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with EUR/USD (Bearish EUR, r=-0.45) — a useful reference for forex-focused traders.