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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
United KingdomUnited Kingdom Gross Domestic Product QoQ climbed to 0.6% in Q1 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased June 2026
United Kingdom Gross Domestic Product QoQ climbed to 0.6% in Q1 2026, released June 2026, up 0.5% from December's 0.1% reading. The reading matched the 0.6% consensus. The print is running well above the 12-month average of 0.29%. Gross Domestic Product QoQ is now the highest in 10 months.
Latest Release
0.6
Actual
0.6
Consensus
0.1
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±0.1 percentage points
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Jun 2026
Predicted: 0.6
Actual: 0.6
Error: +0
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S&P 500 | ▲ Direct | +0.78 | INDEX | Moves with | → View |
| DAX | ▲ Direct | +0.73 | INDEX | Moves with | → View |
| FTSE 100 | ▲ Direct | +0.67 | INDEX | Moves with | → View |
| Euro STOXX 50 | ▲ Direct | +0.67 | INDEX | Moves with | → View |
| EUR/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.48 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Gross Domestic Product QoQ (United Kingdom) was reported at 0.6% in June 2026. This matched the market consensus of 0.6% exactly. The reading rose from the previous value of 0.1%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through June 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 0.28%, ranging from 0.1% to 0.6% across 8 releases. This is classified as a high-impact indicator released on a monthly basis.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged 0.43%, up from the prior three at 0.1%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with S&P 500 (Bullish S&P 500). A secondary relationship exists with DAX, positively correlated (Bullish DAX). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 0.1%.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for August 13, 2026. Same-country events in the next 14 days include CFTC GBP speculative net positions (Jul 31) and S&P Global Construction PMI (Aug 6).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update June 2026.
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Gross Domestic Product QoQ - UK
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About Gross Domestic Product QoQ — United Kingdom
DEFINITION
The UK Gross Domestic Product QoQ for May 2026 came in at 0.600000%, matching estimates and up from April’s 0.100000%. This marks a significant acceleration in growth, indicating expansion after several months of subdued increases. Market focus will remain on upcoming data releases and Bank of England policy signals amid this stronger momentum. Updated 7/2/26
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Aggregate growth figures anchor cyclical positioning across asset classes and inform fiscal and monetary policy debate. Surprises against consensus typically move rates and currencies on release. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Jan 2026): actual 0.6 %, consensus 0.6 %. Prior reading (Jan 2026): 0.6 %. Before that (Oct 2025): 0.1 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a materially higher reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with S&P 500 (Bullish S&P 500, r=0.78) — a useful reference for index-focused traders.
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Economic Calendar - UK Events
| Thursday, July 30, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11:00 | UK | BoE Interest Rate Decision | 3.75 | 3.75 | 3.75 | 3.75 | High |
| 11:00 | UK | BoE MPC Vote Cut | 9 | 9 | 9 | 9.00 | Medium |
| 11:00 | UK | Interest Rate Decision | 3.75 | 3.75 | 3.75 | 3.75 | High |
| 11:00 | UK | BoE MPC Vote Hike | 39 | 29 | 29 | 34.00 | Medium |
| 11:00 | UK | BoE MPC Vote Unchanged | 69 | 79 | 79 | 74.00 | Medium |
| Friday, July 31, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 06:00 | UK | Nationwide Housing Prices YoY | 1.8 | 2.2 | 1.9 | 2.07 | Medium |
| 06:00 | UK | Nationwide Housing Prices MoM | 0.1 | 0 | 0.1 | 0.28 | Medium |