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Data from U.K. Office for National Statistics. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
United KingdomUnited Kingdom Industrial Production MoM climbed to 0.0% in April 2026
U.K. Office for National StatisticsMonthlyReleased June 2026
United Kingdom Industrial Production MoM climbed to 0.0% in April 2026, released June 2026, up 0.2% from March's -0.2% reading. The reading missed the 0.1% consensus by 0.1%. The print is running well above the 12-month average of -0.15%. Over the past 3 months, Industrial Production MoM averaged 0.15%, vs 0.03% in the prior 3-month window. The reading is in the 56th percentile of the trailing 24-month range.
Latest Release
0
Actual
0.1
Consensus
-0.2
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±0.72 percentage points
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Jun 2026
Predicted: 0.15
Actual: 0
Error: +0.15
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Signal Bias | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FTSE 100 | ▲ Direct | +0.66 | INDEX | Bullish FTSE 100 | → View |
| S&P 500 | ▲ Direct | +0.55 | INDEX | Bullish S&P 500 | → View |
| GBP/JPY | ▼ Inverse | −0.47 | FOREX | Bearish GBP | → View |
| DAX | ▲ Direct | +0.44 | INDEX | Bullish DAX | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.42 | CRYPTO | Bullish BTC | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Industrial Production MoM (United Kingdom) was reported at 0% in June 2026. This missed the market consensus of 0.1% by 0.1%. The reading rose from the previous value of -0.2%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through June 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged -0.08%, ranging from -2% to 1.1% across 10 releases. This is classified as a medium-impact indicator released on a monthly basis.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged -0.1%, down from the prior three at 0.43%. Volatility over the past year (σ 0.93%) is higher than the prior year (σ 0.76%). In June readings over the past 3 years, Industrial Production MoM has averaged -0.5%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with FTSE 100 (Bullish FTSE 100). A secondary relationship exists with S&P 500, positively correlated (Bullish S&P 500). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 0.73%.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for July 16, 2026. Same-country events in the next 14 days include CFTC GBP speculative net positions (Jul 13) and BRC Retail Sales Monitor YoY (Jul 13).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update June 2026.
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Industrial Production MoM - UK
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About Industrial Production MoM — United Kingdom
DEFINITION
Industrial Production MoM (Month-over-Month) is a key economic indicator that measures the change in the total output of the manufacturing, mining, and utilities sectors within a specific country or region over a one-month period. This indicator provides valuable insights into the health and growth of the industrial sector, which is a crucial component of a country's overall economic performance. It is closely monitored by investors, policymakers, and analysts as it can impact inflation, employment, and consumer spending. A positive MoM change in industrial production indicates a growing economy, while a negative change may signal a slowdown or contraction.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Manufacturing and factory-order series capture cyclical inflection earlier than aggregate output, and have outsized influence on industrial-sector equities. Surprises against consensus can drive short-term moves, particularly when the print breaks an established trend. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Apr 2026): actual 0 %, consensus 0.1 %. Prior reading (Apr 2026): 0 %. Before that (Apr 2026): 0 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a lower reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook diverging from that direction. The 1-month and 3-month horizons disagree, suggesting a mixed signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with FTSE 100 (Bullish FTSE 100, r=0.66) — a useful reference for index-focused traders.
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Economic Calendar - UK Events
| Monday, July 13, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23:01 | UK | BRC Retail Sales Monitor YoY | 3.4 | 2.9 | 4.00 | Medium | |
| Thursday, July 16, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 06:00 | UK | Industrial Production YoY | -0.2 | -0.1 | -0.10 | Low | |
| 06:00 | UK | Goods Trade Balance | -26.05 | -20.2 | -20.20 | Medium | |
| 06:00 | UK | Goods Trade Balance Non-EU | -13.05 | -9.6 | -9.60 | Medium | |
| 06:00 | UK | Construction Output YoY | -1 | 0.5 | 0.50 | Low | |
| 06:00 | UK | Gross Domestic Product YoY | 1.2 | 1.2 | 1.20 | Low | |
| 06:00 | UK | Manufacturing Production YoY | 1 | -0.1 | -0.10 | Low | |
| 06:00 | UK | GDP 3-Month Avg | 0.7 | 0.5 | 0.50 | Medium | |
| 06:00 | UK | Gross Domestic Product MoM | -0.1 | 0.1 | 0.10 | High | |
| 06:00 | UK | Manufacturing Production MoM | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.20 | Medium | |
| 06:00 | UK | Industrial Production MoM | 0 | 0.2 | 0.20 | Medium | |
| 06:00 | UK | Balance of Trade | -8.435 | -3.9 | -3.90 | Low | |