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United Kingdom Mortgage Approvals climbed to 65.94K in April 2026, released June 2026, up 1.96K from March's 63.98K reading. The print exceeded the 61.7K consensus by 4.24K. Mortgage Approvals has now risen for 4 consecutive months. Over the past 3 months, Mortgage Approvals averaged 63.06K, vs 61.85K in the prior 3-month window. Mortgage Approvals is now the highest in 14 months.
across last 12 releases
Jun 2026
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Signal Bias | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Euro STOXX 50 | ▲ Direct | +0.66 | INDEX | Bullish Euro STOXX 50 | → View |
| EUR/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.65 | FOREX | Bullish EUR | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.57 | CRYPTO | Bearish BTC | → View |
| DAX | ▲ Direct | +0.53 | INDEX | Bullish DAX | → View |
| EUR/GBP | ▲ Direct | +0.50 | FOREX | Bullish EUR | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
Mortgage Approvals (United Kingdom) was reported at 66 thousand in June 2026. This beat the market consensus of 62 thousand by 4 thousand. The reading rose from the previous value of 64 thousand. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through June 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 64 thousand, ranging from 60 thousand to 66 thousand across 10 releases. This is classified as a medium-impact indicator released on a monthly basis.
The indicator has been trending upward over the last three releases. The trailing three releases averaged 63 thousand, down from the prior three at 64 thousand. Volatility over the past year (σ 2 thousand) is lower than the prior year (σ 3 thousand). In June readings over the past 3 years, Mortgage Approvals has averaged 60 thousand.
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with Euro STOXX 50 (Bullish Euro STOXX 50). A secondary relationship exists with EUR/USD, positively correlated (Bullish EUR). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 2 thousand.
The next release is scheduled for June 29, 2026. Same-country events in the next 14 days include Inflation Rate MoM (Jun 17) and Core Inflation Rate YoY (Jun 17).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update June 2026.
Mortgage approvals is a financial indicator that measures the number of mortgage applications that have been approved by lenders. This indicator is used to assess the health of the housing market and the overall economy, as it reflects the demand for home ownership and the availability of credit. A high number of mortgage approvals indicates a strong housing market and consumer confidence, while a low number may suggest a slowdown in the economy. This indicator is closely monitored by financial institutions, policymakers, and investors to make informed decisions about lending, investments, and economic policies.
Housing data leads broader economic cycles by several months and is highly rate-sensitive, with knock-on effects to construction, materials, and consumer credit. Surprises against consensus can drive short-term moves, particularly when the print breaks an established trend. Released monthly.
Latest reading (Apr 2026): actual 65.94 K, consensus 61.7 K. Prior reading (Mar 2026): 63.53 K. Before that (Feb 2026): 62.58 K.
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a similar reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with Euro STOXX 50 (Bullish Euro STOXX 50, r=0.66) — a useful reference for index-focused traders.
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| Wednesday, June 17, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06:00 | PPI Core Output MoM | 0.7 | 0.5 | 0.50 | Low | ||
| 06:00 | PPI Core Output YoY | 2.4 | 2.4 | 2.40 | Low | ||
| 06:00 | PPI Output YoY | 4 | 4.5 | 4.50 | Low | ||
| 06:00 | PPI Input YoY | 7.7 | 8 | 8.00 | Low | ||
| 06:00 | PPI Output MoM | 1.4 | 0.5 | 0.50 | Low | ||
| 06:00 | Retail Price Index YoY | 3 | 3.3 | 3.30 | Low | ||
| 06:00 | Retail Price Index MoM | 0.7 | 0.5 | 0.50 | Low | ||
| 06:00 | PPI Input MoM | 2.4 | 0.5 | 0.50 | Low | ||
| 06:00 | Inflation Rate MoM | 0.7 | 0.5 | 0.50 | Medium | ||
| 06:00 | Core Inflation Rate YoY | 2.5 | 2.7 | 2.70 | Medium | ||
| 06:00 | Inflation Rate YoY | 2.8 | 3 | 3.00 | High | ||
| 06:00 | Core Inflation Rate MoM | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.30 | Low | ||
| 06:00 | CPI YoY | 2.8 | 3 | 3.00 | High | ||
| 08:30 | House Price Index YoY | 0 | 2.8 | 2.80 | Low | ||
| Thursday, June 18, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 06:00 | Employment Change | 148 | 80 | 124.00 | Medium | ||
| 06:00 | Claimant Count Change | 26.5 | 25.8 | 25.25 | Low | ||
| 06:00 | Average Earnings excl. Bonus | 3.4 | 3.3 | 3.20 | Low | ||
| 06:00 | HMRC Payrolls Change | -100 | -80 | -80.00 | Low | ||
| 06:00 | Unemployment Rate | 5 | 5 | 4.95 | High | ||
| 06:00 | Average Earnings incl. Bonus | 4.1 | 4 | 4.00 | Medium | ||
| 11:00 | BoE Interest Rate Decision | 3.75 | 3.75 | 3.75 | High | ||
| 11:00 | BoE MPC Vote Hike | 19 | 29 | 29.00 | Medium | ||
| 11:00 | BoE MPC Vote Unchanged | 89 | 79 | 79.00 | Medium | ||
| 11:00 | BoE MPC Vote Cut | 9 | 9 | 9.00 | Medium | ||
| 11:00 | Interest Rate Decision | 3.75 | 3.75 | 3.75 | High | ||