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United Kingdom Retail Sales MoM
0.5
Actual
-0.2
Consensus
0.6
Previous
UK Retail Sales MoM surprised to the upside with a 0.50% increase, beating the -0.20% estimate but slightly below last month's 0.60%. This modest growth signals continued expansion in consumer spending, though at a slightly slower pace than the previous month. Market watchers will likely monitor this steady momentum for clues on Bank of England policy adjustments amid evolving economic conditions. Updated 10/24/25
Retail Sales Mom - UK
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Economic Calendar - UK Events
| Wednesday, April 17, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06:00 | UK | PPI Core Output MoM | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 0.48 | Low |
| 06:00 | UK | Retail Price Index YoY | 4.3 | 4.5 | 4.2 | 4.18 | Low |
| 06:00 | UK | PPI Output MoM | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.22 | Low |
| 06:00 | UK | Inflation Rate YoY | 3.2 | 3.4 | 3.1 | 3.07 | High |
| 06:00 | UK | Core Inflation Rate MoM | 0.6 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 0.32 | Low |
| 06:00 | UK | PPI Input MoM | -0.1 | 0.3 | 0.1 | -0.20 | Low |
| 06:00 | UK | PPI Output YoY | 0.6 | 0.4 | 1.4 | 1.33 | Low |
| Tuesday, April 16, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 06:00 | UK | HMRC Payrolls Change | -67 | -18 | 27 | 19.00 | Low |
| 06:00 | UK | Employment Change | -156 | -21 | 110 | 60.33 | High |
| 06:00 | UK | Average Earnings incl. Bonus | 5.6 | 5.6 | 5.5 | 5.53 | Medium |
| 06:00 | UK | Unemployment Rate | 4.2 | 4 | 4 | 4.02 | High |
| 06:00 | UK | Claimant Count Change | 10.9 | 4.1 | 17.2 | 16.92 | Low |
| 06:00 | UK | Average Earnings excl. Bonus | 6 | 6.1 | 6.1 | 6.10 | Low |
| Friday, April 12, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 11:25 | UK | NIESR Monthly GDP Tracker | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.20 | Low |
| 06:00 | UK | GDP MoM | 0.1 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.12 | High |
| 06:00 | UK | Construction Output YoY | -2 | 2 | -1 | -1.27 | Low |
| 06:00 | UK | Goods Trade Balance Non-EU | -2.9 | -3.34 | -3.7 | -3.66 | High |
| 06:00 | UK | GDP YoY | -0.2 | -0.1 | -0.4 | -0.42 | Low |
| 06:00 | UK | GDP 3-Month Avg | 0.2 | 0 | 0.1 | 0.08 | Medium |
| 06:00 | UK | Balance of Trade | -2.291 | -2.205 | -3.7 | -3.72 | Low |
| 06:00 | UK | Industrial Production MoM | 1.1 | -0.3 | 0 | 0.27 | Medium |
| 06:00 | UK | Goods Trade Balance | -14.21 | -14.1 | -14.5 | -14.22 | High |
| 06:00 | UK | Manufacturing Production MoM | 1.2 | -0.2 | 0.1 | 0.42 | Medium |
| 06:00 | UK | Industrial Production YoY | 1.4 | 0.3 | 0.6 | 0.87 | Low |
| 06:00 | UK | Manufacturing Production YoY | 2.7 | 1.5 | 2.1 | 2.48 | Low |
| Wednesday, April 10, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 23:01 | UK | RICS House Price Balance | -4 | -10 | -6 | -4.33 | Low |
| Monday, April 8, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 23:01 | UK | BRC Retail Sales Monitor YoY | 3.2 | 1 | 1.8 | 1.88 | High |
| 09:00 | UK | BBA Mortgage Rate | 7.92 | 7.92 | 7.9 | 7.91 | Low |
| Friday, April 5, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 08:30 | UK | S&P Global Construction PMI | 50.2 | 49.7 | 50 | 50.40 | Medium |
| 06:00 | UK | Halifax House Price Index MoM | -1 | 0.3 | 0.1 | -0.10 | Medium |
| 06:00 | UK | Halifax House Price Index YoY | 0.3 | 1.6 | 1.45 | 1.26 | Medium |
| Thursday, April 4, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 08:30 | UK | S&P Global Composite PMI | 52.8 | 53 | 52.9 | 52.80 | Low |
| 08:30 | UK | S&P Global Services PMI | 53.1 | 53.8 | 53.4 | 53.20 | High |
| 08:00 | UK | New Car Sales YoY | 10.4 | 14 | 17 | 15.23 | Low |
| Tuesday, April 2, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 08:30 | UK | Mortgage Approvals | 60.383 | 56.087 | 56.5 | 57.34 | Medium |
| 08:30 | UK | M4 Money Supply MoM | 0.5 | 0 | 0.2 | 0.23 | Low |
| 08:30 | UK | Net Lending to Individuals MoM | 2.888 | 0.697 | 1.2 | 1.11 | Low |
| 08:30 | UK | Mortgage Lending | 1.51 | -1.073 | -0.15 | -0.27 | Medium |
| 08:30 | UK | BoE Consumer Credit | 1.378 | 1.77 | 1.6 | 1.58 | Medium |
| 08:30 | UK | S&P Global Manufacturing PMI | 50.3 | 47.5 | 49.9 | 50.38 | High |
| 06:00 | UK | Nationwide Housing Prices MoM | -0.2 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.38 | Medium |
| 06:00 | UK | Nationwide Housing Prices YoY | 1.6 | 1.2 | 2.4 | 2.47 | Medium |
| Thursday, March 28, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 07:00 | UK | Business Investment YoY | 2.8 | 1.9 | 3.7 | 4.13 | Low |
| 07:00 | UK | Business Investment QoQ | 1.4 | -2.8 | 1.5 | 1.88 | Low |
| 07:00 | UK | GDP Growth Rate QoQ | -0.3 | -0.1 | -0.3 | -0.35 | Medium |
| 07:00 | UK | Current Account | -21.177 | -18.524 | -21.4 | -21.29 | Medium |
| 07:00 | UK | GDP Growth Rate YoY | -0.2 | 0.2 | -0.2 | -0.28 | Medium |
| 00:01 | UK | Car Production YoY | 14.6 | 21 | 17 | 19.97 | Low |
| Monday, March 25, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 11:00 | UK | CBI Distributive Trades | 2 | -7 | -15 | -8.83 | Medium |
| Friday, March 22, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 11:00 | UK | CBI Industrial Trends Orders | -18 | -20 | -17 | -17.17 | Medium |
| 07:00 | UK | Retail Sales ex Fuel YoY | -0.5 | 0.5 | -0.9 | -1.02 | High |
| 07:00 | UK | Retail Sales YoY | -0.4 | 0.5 | -0.7 | -0.88 | High |
| 07:00 | UK | Retail Sales ex Fuel MoM | 0.2 | 3.4 | -0.1 | -0.25 | High |
| 07:00 | UK | Retail Sales MoM | 0 | 3.6 | -0.3 | -0.38 | High |
| 00:01 | UK | Gfk Consumer Confidence | -21 | -21 | -19 | -19.50 | Medium |
| Thursday, March 21, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 12:00 | UK | BoE MPC Vote Cut | 19 | 19 | 19 | 21.50 | Medium |
| 12:00 | UK | BoE MPC Vote Hike | 9 | 29 | 19 | 19.00 | Medium |
| 12:00 | UK | BoE Interest Rate Decision | 5.25 | 5.25 | 5.25 | 5.25 | High |
| 12:00 | UK | BoE MPC Vote Unchanged | 89 | 69 | 79 | 76.50 | Medium |
| 09:30 | UK | S&P Global Manufacturing PMI | 49.9 | 47.5 | 47.8 | 48.28 | High |
| 09:30 | UK | S&P Global Services PMI | 53.4 | 53.8 | 53.8 | 53.60 | High |
| 09:30 | UK | S&P Global Composite PMI | 52.9 | 53 | 53.1 | 53.00 | Medium |
| 07:00 | UK | Public Sector Net Borrowing | -7.477 | 17.038 | -1.8 | -2.15 | Low |
| 07:00 | UK | Public Sector Net Borrowing Ex Banks | -8.401 | 16.114 | -5.95 | -5.66 | Low |
| Wednesday, March 20, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 07:00 | UK | PPI Input YoY | -2.7 | -2.8 | -2.7 | -2.90 | Low |
| 07:00 | UK | PPI Core Output MoM | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.18 | Low |
| 07:00 | UK | Inflation Rate MoM | 0.6 | -0.6 | 0.7 | 0.67 | Medium |
| 07:00 | UK | Inflation Rate YoY | 3.4 | 4 | 3.5 | 3.47 | High |
| 07:00 | UK | PPI Output MoM | 0.3 | 0 | 0.1 | 0.12 | Low |
| 07:00 | UK | Core Inflation Rate YoY | 4.5 | 5.1 | 4.6 | 4.60 | Medium |
| 07:00 | UK | PPI Core Output YoY | 0.3 | -0.3 | 0.1 | 0.18 | Low |
| 07:00 | UK | PPI Input MoM | -0.4 | -0.1 | 0.2 | -0.10 | Low |
| 07:00 | UK | PPI Output YoY | 0.4 | -0.3 | -0.1 | -0.17 | Low |
| 07:00 | UK | Retail Price Index YoY | 4.5 | 4.9 | 4.5 | 4.48 | Low |
| 07:00 | UK | Retail Price Index MoM | 0.8 | -0.3 | 0.7 | 0.70 | Low |
| 07:00 | UK | Core Inflation Rate MoM | 0.6 | -0.9 | 0.7 | 0.72 | Low |
| Thursday, March 14, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 00:01 | UK | RICS House Price Balance | -10 | -18 | -11 | -9.33 | Low |
| Wednesday, March 13, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 12:00 | UK | NIESR Monthly GDP Tracker | 0 | -0.1 | 0 | 0.00 | Low |
| 07:00 | UK | GDP 3-Month Avg | -0.1 | -0.3 | -0.1 | -0.12 | Medium |
| 07:00 | UK | Industrial Production MoM | -0.2 | 0.6 | 0 | 0.27 | Medium |
| 07:00 | UK | Industrial Production YoY | 0.5 | 0.6 | 0.7 | 0.97 | Low |
| 07:00 | UK | GDP YoY | -0.3 | 0 | -0.3 | -0.32 | Low |
| 07:00 | UK | Goods Trade Balance Non-EU | -3.421 | -3.319 | -3.1 | -3.06 | High |
| 07:00 | UK | Construction Output YoY | 0.7 | -3.2 | -0.5 | -0.77 | Low |
| 07:00 | UK | Manufacturing Production MoM | 0 | 0.8 | 0 | 0.32 | Medium |
| 07:00 | UK | Manufacturing Production YoY | 2 | 2.3 | 2 | 2.38 | Low |
| 07:00 | UK | GDP MoM | 0.2 | -0.1 | 0.2 | 0.22 | High |
| 07:00 | UK | Balance of Trade | -3.129 | -2.603 | -2.3 | -2.32 | Low |
| 07:00 | UK | Goods Trade Balance | -14.515 | -13.989 | -15 | -14.72 | High |
| Tuesday, March 12, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 07:00 | UK | Employment Change | -21 | 72 | 10 | -39.67 | High |
| 07:00 | UK | HMRC Payrolls Change | 20 | 15 | 34 | 26.00 | Low |
| 07:00 | UK | Average Earnings excl. Bonus | 6.1 | 6.2 | 6.2 | 6.20 | Low |
| 07:00 | UK | Unemployment Rate | 3.9 | 3.8 | 3.8 | 3.82 | High |
| 07:00 | UK | Claimant Count Change | 16.8 | 3.1 | 20.3 | 20.02 | Low |
| 07:00 | UK | Average Earnings incl. Bonus | 5.6 | 5.8 | 5.7 | 5.73 | Medium |
| Thursday, March 7, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 13:00 | UK | BBA Mortgage Rate | 7.92 | 7.92 | 7.95 | 7.96 | Low |
| 07:00 | UK | Halifax House Price Index MoM | 0.4 | 1.2 | 1 | 0.80 | Medium |
| 07:00 | UK | Halifax House Price Index YoY | 1.7 | 2.3 | 2.3 | 2.11 | Medium |
| Wednesday, March 6, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 09:30 | UK | S&P Global Construction PMI | 49.7 | 48.8 | 49 | 49.40 | Medium |
| Tuesday, March 5, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 09:30 | UK | S&P Global Composite PMI | 53 | 52.9 | 53.3 | 53.20 | Low |
| 09:30 | UK | S&P Global Services PMI | 53.8 | 54.3 | 54.3 | 54.10 | High |
| 09:00 | UK | New Car Sales YoY | 14 | 8.2 | 15 | 13.23 | Low |
| 00:01 | UK | BRC Retail Sales Monitor YoY | 1 | 1.4 | 1.6 | 1.68 | High |
| Friday, March 1, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 09:30 | UK | S&P Global Manufacturing PMI | 47.5 | 47 | 47.1 | 47.58 | High |
| 07:00 | UK | Nationwide Housing Prices YoY | 1.2 | -0.2 | 0.7 | 0.77 | Medium |
| 07:00 | UK | Nationwide Housing Prices MoM | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.38 | Medium |
| Thursday, February 29, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 09:30 | UK | Mortgage Lending | -1.086 | -0.854 | 0.2 | 0.08 | Medium |
| 09:30 | UK | M4 Money Supply MoM | -0.1 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.33 | Low |
| 09:30 | UK | Net Lending to Individuals MoM | 0.791 | 0.403 | 1.9 | 1.81 | Low |
| 09:30 | UK | BoE Consumer Credit | 1.877 | 1.257 | 1.6 | 1.58 | Medium |
| 09:30 | UK | Mortgage Approvals | 55.227 | 51.506 | 52 | 52.84 | Medium |
| 00:01 | UK | Car Production YoY | 21 | 20.7 | 15 | 17.97 | Low |
| Monday, February 26, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 11:00 | UK | CBI Distributive Trades | -7 | -50 | -47 | -40.83 | Medium |
| Friday, February 23, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 00:01 | UK | Gfk Consumer Confidence | -21 | -19 | -18 | -18.50 | High |
| Thursday, February 22, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 09:30 | UK | S&P Global/CIPS Composite PMI | 53.3 | 52.9 | 52.9 | 53.08 | Medium |
| 09:30 | UK | S&P Global/CIPS Manufacturing PMI | 47.1 | 47 | 47.5 | 47.55 | High |
| 09:30 | UK | S&P Global/CIPS Services PMI | 54.3 | 54.3 | 54.1 | 54.32 | High |
| Wednesday, February 21, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 11:00 | UK | CBI Industrial Trends Orders | -20 | -30 | -27 | -27.17 | Medium |
| 07:00 | UK | Public Sector Net Borrowing | 17.62 | -6.45 | 18.4 | 18.05 | Low |
| 07:00 | UK | Public Sector Net Borrowing Ex Banks | 16.69 | -7.37 | 18.7 | 18.99 | Low |
| Friday, February 16, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 07:00 | UK | Retail Sales ex Fuel MoM | 3.2 | -3.5 | 1.7 | 1.55 | High |
| 07:00 | UK | Retail Sales YoY | 0.7 | -2.4 | -1.4 | -1.58 | High |
| 07:00 | UK | Retail Sales ex Fuel YoY | 0.7 | -2.1 | -1.6 | -1.72 | High |
| 07:00 | UK | Retail Sales MoM | 3.4 | -3.3 | 1.5 | 1.42 | High |
| Thursday, February 15, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 12:30 | UK | NIESR Monthly GDP Tracker | -0.1 | -0.3 | 0.1 | 0.10 | Low |
| 07:00 | UK | Balance of Trade | -2.603 | -3.723 | -1.9 | -1.92 | Low |
| 07:00 | UK | Business Investment QoQ | 1.5 | -2.8 | -0.1 | 0.28 | Medium |
| 07:00 | UK | GDP 3-Month Avg | -0.3 | -0.4 | -0.1 | -0.12 | Medium |
| 07:00 | UK | Construction Orders YoY | -30.2 | -20 | 5 | -12.60 | Low |
| 07:00 | UK | Business Investment YoY | 3.7 | 2.6 | 1.1 | 1.52 | Low |
| 07:00 | UK | GDP Growth Rate YoY | -0.2 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.02 | High |
| 07:00 | UK | GDP Growth Rate QoQ | -0.3 | -0.1 | -0.1 | -0.15 | High |
| 07:00 | UK | Construction Output YoY | -3.2 | -0.7 | -1.4 | -1.67 | Low |
| 07:00 | UK | Manufacturing Production MoM | 0.8 | 0.8 | 0 | 0.32 | Medium |
| 07:00 | UK | Manufacturing Production YoY | 2.3 | 1.9 | 0.6 | 0.98 | Low |
| 07:00 | UK | Industrial Production YoY | 0.6 | 0.1 | -0.4 | -0.13 | Low |
| 07:00 | UK | Industrial Production MoM | 0.6 | 0.5 | -0.1 | 0.17 | Medium |
| 07:00 | UK | Goods Trade Balance Non-EU | -3.319 | -3.747 | -3.1 | -3.06 | High |
| 07:00 | UK | Goods Trade Balance | -13.989 | -15.125 | -14.9 | -14.62 | High |
| 07:00 | UK | GDP MoM | -0.1 | 0.2 | -0.2 | -0.18 | High |
| 07:00 | UK | Labour Productivity QoQ | 0.7 | 0.6 | -0.2 | 0.25 | Low |
| 07:00 | UK | GDP YoY | 0 | -0.3 | 0.3 | 0.28 | Low |
| Wednesday, February 14, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 07:00 | UK | Inflation Rate MoM | -0.6 | 0.4 | -0.3 | -0.33 | Medium |
| 07:00 | UK | PPI Output YoY | -0.6 | 0.1 | -0.5 | -0.57 | Low |
| 07:00 | UK | Retail Price Index YoY | 4.9 | 5.2 | 5.1 | 5.08 | Low |
| 07:00 | UK | Retail Price Index MoM | -0.3 | 0.5 | -0.1 | -0.10 | Low |
| 07:00 | UK | Inflation Rate YoY | 4 | 4 | 4.2 | 4.17 | High |
| 07:00 | UK | PPI Output MoM | -0.2 | -0.5 | -0.1 | -0.08 | Low |
| 07:00 | UK | PPI Input YoY | -3.3 | -2.1 | -3 | -3.20 | Low |
| 07:00 | UK | PPI Input MoM | -0.8 | -0.4 | 0.2 | -0.10 | Low |
| 07:00 | UK | Core Inflation Rate MoM | -0.9 | 0.6 | -0.8 | -0.78 | Low |
| 07:00 | UK | PPI Core Output YoY | -0.4 | 0 | -0.7 | -0.62 | Low |
| 07:00 | UK | Core Inflation Rate YoY | 5.1 | 5.1 | 5.2 | 5.20 | Medium |
| 07:00 | UK | PPI Core Output MoM | 0.2 | -0.1 | -0.3 | -0.22 | Low |
| Tuesday, February 13, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 07:00 | UK | Average Earnings excl. Bonus | 6.2 | 6.7 | 6 | 6.00 | Low |
| 07:00 | UK | Average Earnings incl. Bonus | 5.8 | 6.7 | 5.6 | 5.63 | Medium |
| 07:00 | UK | Employment Change | 72 | 108 | 73 | 23.33 | High |
| 07:00 | UK | Claimant Count Change | 14.1 | 5.5 | 6 | 5.72 | Low |
| 07:00 | UK | HMRC Payrolls Change | 48 | 31 | -12 | -20.00 | Low |
| 07:00 | UK | Unemployment Rate | 3.8 | 3.9 | 4 | 4.02 | High |
| Thursday, February 8, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 00:01 | UK | RICS House Price Balance | -18 | -29 | -25 | -23.33 | Low |
| Wednesday, February 7, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 09:45 | UK | BBA Mortgage Rate | 7.96 | 7.96 | 7.91 | 7.92 | Low |
| 07:00 | UK | Halifax House Price Index YoY | 2.5 | 1.8 | 1.9 | 1.71 | Medium |
| 07:00 | UK | Halifax House Price Index MoM | 1.3 | 1.1 | 0.8 | 0.60 | Medium |
| Tuesday, February 6, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 09:30 | UK | S&P Global/CIPS Construction PMI | 48.8 | 46.8 | 47.3 | 47.88 | Medium |
| 09:30 | UK | S&P Global Construction PMI | 48.8 | 46.8 | 47.3 | 47.70 | Medium |
| 00:01 | UK | BRC Retail Sales Monitor YoY | 1.4 | 1.9 | 1.7 | 1.78 | High |
| Monday, February 5, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 09:30 | UK | S&P Global Services PMI | 54.3 | 53.4 | 53.8 | 53.60 | Medium |
| 09:30 | UK | S&P Global/CIPS Services PMI | 54.3 | 53.4 | 53.8 | 54.02 | High |
| 09:30 | UK | S&P Global/CIPS Composite PMI | 52.9 | 52.1 | 52.5 | 52.68 | Low |
| 09:30 | UK | S&P Global Composite PMI | 52.9 | 52.1 | 52.5 | 52.40 | Low |
| 09:00 | UK | New Car Sales YoY | 8 | 9.8 | 11 | 9.23 | Low |
| Thursday, February 1, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 12:00 | UK | BoE MPC Vote Cut | 19 | 9 | 9 | 11.50 | Medium |
| 12:00 | UK | BoE MPC Vote Unchanged | 69 | 69 | 89 | 86.50 | Medium |
| 12:00 | UK | BoE MPC Vote Hike | 29 | 39 | 19 | 19.00 | Medium |
| 12:00 | UK | BoE Interest Rate Decision | 5.25 | 5.25 | 5.25 | 5.25 | High |
| 09:30 | UK | S&P Global Manufacturing PMI | 47 | 46.2 | 46.9 | 47.38 | Medium |
| 09:30 | UK | S&P Global/CIPS Manufacturing PMI | 47 | 46.2 | 46.9 | 46.95 | High |
| Wednesday, January 31, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 07:00 | UK | Nationwide Housing Prices YoY | -0.2 | -1.8 | -0.9 | -0.83 | Medium |
| 07:00 | UK | Nationwide Housing Prices MoM | 0.7 | 0 | 0.1 | 0.18 | Medium |
| Tuesday, January 30, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 09:30 | UK | Net Lending to Individuals MoM | 0.367 | 2.063 | 1.5 | 1.41 | Low |
| 09:30 | UK | M4 Money Supply MoM | 0.5 | -0.1 | 0.2 | 0.23 | Low |
| 09:30 | UK | Mortgage Lending | -0.83 | 0.006 | 0.25 | 0.13 | Medium |
| 09:30 | UK | BoE Consumer Credit | 1.197 | 2.058 | 1.35 | 1.33 | Medium |
| 09:30 | UK | Mortgage Approvals | 50.459 | 49.313 | 52.5 | 53.34 | Medium |
| Friday, January 26, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 00:01 | UK | Gfk Consumer Confidence | -19 | -22 | -21 | -21.50 | High |
| Thursday, January 25, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 11:00 | UK | CBI Distributive Trades | -50 | -32 | -30 | -23.83 | Medium |
| 00:01 | UK | Car Production YoY | 20.7 | 14.8 | 6.5 | 9.47 | Low |
| Wednesday, January 24, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 11:00 | UK | CBI Business Optimism Index | -3 | -15 | -2 | -2.50 | Medium |
| 11:00 | UK | CBI Industrial Trends Orders | -30 | -23 | -23 | -23.17 | Medium |
| 09:30 | UK | S&P Global/CIPS Services PMI | 53.8 | 53.4 | 53.2 | 53.42 | High |
| 09:30 | UK | S&P Global/CIPS Manufacturing PMI | 47.3 | 46.2 | 46.7 | 46.75 | High |
| 09:30 | UK | S&P Global/CIPS Composite PMI | 52.5 | 52.1 | 52.2 | 52.38 | Low |
| 09:30 | UK | S&P Global Services PMI | 53.8 | 53.4 | 53.2 | 53.00 | Medium |
| 09:30 | UK | S&P Global Composite PMI | 52.5 | 52.1 | 52.2 | 52.10 | Medium |
| 09:30 | UK | S&P Global Manufacturing PMI | 47.3 | 46.2 | 46.7 | 47.18 | Medium |
| Tuesday, January 23, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 07:00 | UK | Public Sector Net Borrowing Ex Banks | -7.77 | -13.71 | -14 | -13.71 | Low |
| 07:00 | UK | Public Sector Net Borrowing | -6.85 | -12.78 | -11.2 | -11.55 | Low |
| Friday, January 19, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 07:00 | UK | Retail Sales ex Fuel YoY | -2.1 | 0.5 | 1.3 | 1.18 | High |
| 07:00 | UK | Retail Sales YoY | -2.4 | 0.2 | 1.1 | 0.92 | High |
| 07:00 | UK | Retail Sales ex Fuel MoM | -3.3 | 1.5 | -0.6 | -0.75 | High |
| 07:00 | UK | Retail Sales MoM | -3.2 | 1.4 | -0.5 | -0.58 | High |
| Thursday, January 18, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 00:01 | UK | RICS House Price Balance | -30 | -41 | -34 | -32.33 | Low |
| Wednesday, January 17, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 07:00 | UK | PPI Input YoY | -2.8 | -2.7 | -1.9 | -2.10 | Low |
| 07:00 | UK | PPI Output YoY | 0.1 | -0.1 | 0.4 | 0.33 | Low |
| 07:00 | UK | Core Inflation Rate MoM | 0.6 | -0.3 | 0.4 | 0.42 | Low |
| 07:00 | UK | PPI Core Output YoY | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.18 | Low |
| 07:00 | UK | Inflation Rate YoY | 4 | 3.9 | 3.8 | 3.77 | High |
| 07:00 | UK | PPI Core Output MoM | 0 | 0 | -0.1 | -0.02 | Low |
| 07:00 | UK | PPI Output MoM | -0.6 | 0 | -0.2 | -0.18 | Low |
| 07:00 | UK | Retail Price Index YoY | 5.2 | 5.3 | 5.1 | 5.08 | Low |
| 07:00 | UK | Core Inflation Rate YoY | 5.1 | 5.1 | 4.9 | 4.90 | Medium |
| 07:00 | UK | Inflation Rate MoM | 0.4 | -0.2 | 0.2 | 0.17 | Medium |
| 07:00 | UK | PPI Input MoM | -1.2 | -0.4 | -0.7 | -1.00 | Low |
| 07:00 | UK | Retail Price Index MoM | 0.5 | -0.1 | 0.4 | 0.40 | Low |
| Tuesday, January 16, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 07:00 | UK | Employment Change | 73 | 55 | 50 | 0.33 | High |
| 07:00 | UK | Claimant Count Change | 11.7 | 0.6 | 3 | 2.72 | High |
| 07:00 | UK | Unemployment Rate | 4.2 | 4.2 | 4.2 | 4.22 | High |
| 07:00 | UK | Average Earnings excl. Bonus | 6.6 | 7.2 | 6.6 | 6.60 | Low |
| 07:00 | UK | HMRC Payrolls Change | -24 | 9 | 30 | 22.00 | Low |
| 07:00 | UK | Average Earnings incl. Bonus | 6.5 | 7.2 | 6.8 | 6.83 | Medium |
| Friday, January 12, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 13:00 | UK | NIESR Monthly GDP Tracker | 0 | -0.2 | 0 | 0.00 | Low |
| 07:00 | UK | Manufacturing Production YoY | 1.3 | 0.2 | 1.7 | 2.08 | Low |
| 07:00 | UK | Manufacturing Production MoM | 0.4 | -1.2 | 0.3 | 0.62 | Low |
| 07:00 | UK | GDP MoM | 0.3 | -0.3 | 0.2 | 0.22 | High |
| 07:00 | UK | GDP 3-Month Avg | -0.2 | -0.2 | -0.1 | -0.12 | Medium |
| 07:00 | UK | Goods Trade Balance | -14.189 | -15.936 | -15.7 | -15.42 | High |
| 07:00 | UK | GDP YoY | 0.2 | -0.1 | 0.2 | 0.18 | Low |
| 07:00 | UK | Balance of Trade | -1.408 | -3.198 | -4 | -4.02 | Low |
| 07:00 | UK | Construction Output YoY | 0.9 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 1.03 | Low |
| 07:00 | UK | Industrial Production MoM | 0.3 | -1.3 | 0.3 | 0.57 | Low |
| 07:00 | UK | Industrial Production YoY | -0.1 | -0.5 | 0.7 | 0.97 | Medium |
| 07:00 | UK | Goods Trade Balance Non-EU | -2.838 | -3.919 | -4.2 | -4.16 | High |
| Tuesday, January 9, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 00:01 | UK | BRC Retail Sales Monitor YoY | 1.9 | 2.6 | 2.1 | 2.18 | High |
| Monday, January 8, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 10:00 | UK | BBA Mortgage Rate | 7.96 | 8.03 | 8 | 8.01 | Low |
| Friday, January 5, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 09:30 | UK | S&P Global/CIPS Construction PMI | 46.8 | 45.5 | 46 | 46.58 | Medium |
| 09:30 | UK | S&P Global Construction PMI | 46.8 | 45.5 | 46 | 46.40 | Medium |
| 09:00 | UK | New Car Sales YoY | 9.8 | 9.5 | 11.1 | 9.33 | Low |
| 07:00 | UK | Halifax House Price Index MoM | 1.1 | 0.6 | 0.1 | -0.10 | Medium |
| 07:00 | UK | Halifax House Price Index YoY | 1.7 | -0.8 | -0.4 | -0.59 | Medium |
| Thursday, January 4, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 09:30 | UK | Mortgage Approvals | 50.067 | 47.888 | 48.5 | 49.34 | Medium |
| 09:30 | UK | S&P Global Services PMI | 53.4 | 50.9 | 52.7 | 52.50 | Medium |
| 09:30 | UK | Mortgage Lending | -0.039 | -0.083 | -0.2 | -0.32 | Medium |
| 09:30 | UK | S&P Global Composite PMI | 52.1 | 50.7 | 51.7 | 51.60 | Low |
| 09:30 | UK | Net Lending to Individuals MoM | 1.97 | 1.3 | 1 | 0.91 | Low |
| 09:30 | UK | S&P Global/CIPS Composite PMI | 52.1 | 50.7 | 51.7 | 51.88 | Low |
| 09:30 | UK | S&P Global/CIPS UK Services PMI | 53.4 | 50.9 | 52.7 | 53.05 | High |
| 09:30 | UK | BoE Consumer Credit | 2.005 | 1.411 | 1.4 | 1.38 | Medium |
| 09:30 | UK | M4 Money Supply MoM | -0.1 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.13 | Low |
| Tuesday, January 2, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 09:30 | UK | S&P Global Manufacturing PMI | 46.2 | 47.2 | 46.4 | 46.88 | Medium |
