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US BoE Consumer Credit fell to 8.05B in March 2026, down 17.15B from February's 25.2B reading. The reading missed the 12.4B consensus by 4.35B. The print is running well below the 12-month average of 9.97B. Over the past 3 months, BoE Consumer Credit averaged 12.11B, vs 8.52B in the prior 3-month window. The reading is in the 40th percentile of the trailing 24-month range.
across last 12 releases
Mar 2026
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Signal Bias | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AUD/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.80 | FOREX | Bullish AUD | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.76 | CRYPTO | Bearish BTC | → View |
| NZD/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.76 | FOREX | Bullish NZD | → View |
| MSFT | ▲ Direct | +0.63 | STOCKS | Bullish MSFT | → View |
| USD/JPY | ▼ Inverse | −0.59 | FOREX | Bearish USD | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
BoE Consumer Credit (United States) was reported at 8.05 billion in March 2026. This missed the market consensus of 12.40 billion by 4.35 billion. The reading fell from the previous value of 25.20 billion. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through March 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 9.29 billion, ranging from 0.36 billion to 24.05 billion across 8 releases. This is classified as a medium-impact indicator released on a monthly basis.
The trailing three releases averaged 12.11 billion, up from the prior three at 8.52 billion.
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with AUD/USD (Bullish AUD). A secondary relationship exists with BTC/USD, negatively correlated (Bearish BTC). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 6.99 billion.
Same-country events in the next 14 days include NY Empire State Manufacturing Index (Jun 15) and Industrial Production MoM (Jun 15).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update March 2026.
BoE Consumer Credit is a financial indicator that measures the amount of credit that consumers in the United Kingdom are using. It is published by the Bank of England and provides insight into the borrowing habits of individuals and households, which can have a significant impact on the overall economy. This indicator is closely monitored by economists and policymakers as it can indicate potential changes in consumer spending and overall economic growth.
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. Surprises against consensus can drive short-term moves, particularly when the print breaks an established trend. Released monthly.
Latest reading (Mar 2026): actual 8.05 B, consensus 12.4 B. Prior reading (Mar 2026): 8.05 B. Before that (Feb 2026): 24.05 B.
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a higher reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bearish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with AUD/USD (Bullish AUD, r=0.80) — a useful reference for forex-focused traders.
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| Monday, June 15, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12:30 | NY Empire State Manufacturing Index | 19.6 | 13.2 | 11.50 | Medium | ||
| 13:15 | Industrial Production MoM | 0.7 | 0.2 | 0.25 | Medium | ||
| 13:15 | Capacity Utilization | 76.1 | 76.2 | 76.25 | Low | ||
| 13:15 | Industrial Production YoY | 1.4 | 1.9 | 1.55 | Low | ||
| 13:15 | Manufacturing Production YoY | 1.3 | 1.7 | 1.35 | Low | ||
| 13:15 | Manufacturing Production MoM | 0.6 | 0.3 | 0.35 | Low | ||
| 14:00 | NAHB Housing Market Index | 37 | 37 | 37.50 | Medium | ||
| Tuesday, June 16, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 12:30 | Building Permits MoM | 4.4 | -0.6 | -0.60 | Medium | ||
| 12:30 | Building Permits | 1.423 | 1.41 | 1.41 | High | ||
| 12:30 | Import Prices YoY | 4.2 | 6 | 6.00 | Low | ||
| 12:30 | Housing Starts MoM | -2.8 | -2 | -2.00 | Medium | ||
| 12:30 | Housing Starts | 1.465 | 1.44 | 1.44 | High | ||
| 12:30 | Export Prices YoY | 8.8 | 11.9 | 11.90 | Low | ||
| 12:30 | Import Prices MoM | 1.9 | 0.9 | 0.90 | Medium | ||
| 12:30 | Export Prices MoM | 3.3 | 2.1 | 2.10 | Medium | ||
| Wednesday, June 17, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 12:30 | Retail Sales MoM | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.50 | High | ||
| 12:30 | Retail Sales Ex Gas/Autos MoM | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.50 | Low | ||
| 12:30 | Retail Sales YoY | 4.9 | 4 | 4.00 | Low | ||
| 12:30 | Retail Sales Ex Autos MoM | 0.7 | 0.5 | 0.50 | Medium | ||
| 14:00 | Business Inventories MoM | 0.9 | 0.5 | 0.50 | Medium | ||
| 14:00 | Pending Home Sales YoY | 3.2 | 1.5 | 2.00 | Medium | ||
| 14:00 | Pending Home Sales MoM | 1.4 | 1.3 | 2.45 | Medium | ||
| 14:00 | Retail Inventories Ex Autos MoM | 0.4 | 0.6 | 0.60 | Low | ||
| 18:00 | Fed Interest Rate Decision | 3.75 | 3.75 | 3.75 | High | ||