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Core PCE Price Index MoM fell to 0.3 in March 2026, down 0.1 from February's 0.4 reading. The reading matched the 0.3 consensus. The print is running well above the 12-month average of 0.28. The reading is in the 67th percentile of the trailing 24-month range.
The April 2026 reading fell from the previous value of 0.4. Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with BTC/USD (Bullish BTC) and negatively correlated with MSFT (Bearish MSFT).
Multi-horizon symbol forecasts, Rolling-Surprise economic predictions, and programmatic API access.
Expected Zones · Trade Bias · Confidence Intervals · API Access · 1,456+ instruments
| Monday, May 11, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14:00 | Existing Home Sales MoM | 0.2 | -2.9 | 2.1 | 0.38 | Medium | |
| 14:00 | Existing Home Sales | 4.02 | 4.01 | 4.05 | 3.97 | High | |
| Tuesday, May 12, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 10:00 | NFIB Business Optimism Index | 95.9 | 95.8 | 96.1 | 95.92 | Low | |
| 12:30 | CPI s.a | 332.407 | 330.293 | 331.9 | 332.15 | Medium | |
| 12:30 | Core Inflation Rate MoM | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.35 | High | |
| 12:30 | CPI | 333.02 | 330.21 | 332.3 | 332.66 | Medium | |
| 12:30 | Inflation Rate YoY | 3.8 | 3.3 | 3.7 | 3.75 | High | |
| 12:30 | Inflation Rate MoM | 0.6 | 0.9 | 0.6 | 0.60 | High | |
| 12:30 | Core Inflation Rate YoY | 2.8 | 2.6 | 2.7 | 2.75 | High | |
| 12:30 | CPI MoM | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.35 | High | |
| 12:30 | CPI YoY | 2.8 | 2.6 | 2.7 | 2.75 | Medium | |
| 18:00 | Monthly Budget Statement | 215 | -164 | 220 | 217.50 | Medium | |
| 18:00 | Budget Balance | 215 | -164 | 157.2 | 171.55 | Medium | |
| 20:30 | API Crude Oil Stock Change | -8.1 | -1.65 | -1.65 | Medium | ||
| Wednesday, May 13, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 12:30 | PPI Ex Food, Energy and Trade YoY | 3.6 | 3.7 | 3.70 | Low | ||
| 12:30 | Producer Price Index | 154.006 | 154.6 | 154.60 | Low | ||
| 12:30 | Core PPI MoM | 0.1 | 0.3 | 0.30 | Medium | ||
| 12:30 | Producer Price Index MoM | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.50 | High | ||
| 12:30 | Core PPI YoY | 3.8 | 4.3 | 4.30 | Low | ||
| 12:30 | Producer Price Index YoY | 4 | 4.9 | 4.90 | Low | ||
| 12:30 | PPI Ex Food, Energy and Trade MoM | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.30 | Low | ||
| 14:30 | EIA Gasoline Stocks Change | -2.504 | -2.55 | -2.55 | Medium | ||
| 14:30 | EIA Crude Oil Stocks Change | -2.314 | -1.6 | -1.60 | Medium | ||
| 14:30 | EIA Distillate Stocks Change | -1.294 | -2.99 | -2.99 | Low | ||