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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
United StatesUS Durable Goods Orders MoM climbed to 0.8 in March 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased April 2026
US Durable Goods Orders MoM climbed to 0.8 in March 2026, released April 2026, up 2.0 from February's -1.2 reading. The print exceeded the 0.5 consensus by 0.3. The print is running well below the 12-month average of 0.91. Over the past 3 months, Durable Goods Orders MoM averaged -0.93, vs 1.2 in the prior 3-month window. The reading is in the 69th percentile of the trailing 24-month range.
Latest Release
0.8
Actual
0.5
Consensus
-1.2
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±1.86 percentage points
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Mar 2026
Predicted: 2.12
Actual: 0
Error: +2.12
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Signal Bias | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S&P 500 | ▼ Inverse | −0.51 | INDEX | Bearish S&P 500 | → View |
| GOOGL | ▼ Inverse | −0.30 | STOCKS | Bearish GOOGL | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
The April 2026 reading rose from the previous value of -1.2. Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmanomics model has produced a median absolute forecast error of ±1.86. Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with S&P 500 (Bearish S&P 500) and negatively correlated with GOOGL (Bearish GOOGL).
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Durable Goods Orders MoM - US
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Economic Calendar - US Events
| Friday, May 15, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12:30 | US | NY Empire State Manufacturing Index | 19.6 | 11 | 7.5 | 11.55 | Medium |
| 13:15 | US | Industrial Production MoM | 0.7 | -0.3 | 0.3 | 0.45 | Medium |
| 13:15 | US | Capacity Utilization | 76.1 | 75.7 | 75.8 | 75.82 | Low |
| 13:15 | US | Manufacturing Production YoY | 1.3 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.75 | Low |
| 13:15 | US | Manufacturing Production MoM | 0.6 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.28 | Low |
| 13:15 | US | Industrial Production YoY | 1.4 | 0.76 | 0.4 | 0.75 | Low |
| Monday, May 18, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 14:00 | US | NAHB Housing Market Index | 34 | 34 | 31.50 | Medium | |
| Tuesday, May 19, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 14:00 | US | Pending Home Sales MoM | 1.5 | 1.6 | 1.60 | Medium | |
| 14:00 | US | Pending Home Sales YoY | -1.1 | -0.5 | -0.50 | Medium | |