Loading page content
Data from U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
United StatesUS GDP Price Index QoQ climbed to 6.4% in Q2 2026
U.S. Bureau of Economic AnalysisQuarterlyReleased September 2026
US GDP Price Index QoQ climbed to 6.4% in Q2 2026, released September 2026, up 2.8% from March's 3.6% reading. The reading matched the 6.3% consensus. The print is running well above the 12-month average of 3.78%. Over the past 3 months, GDP Price Index QoQ averaged 6.35%, vs 3.83% in the prior 3-month window. GDP Price Index QoQ is now the highest in 38 months.
Latest Release
6.4
Actual
6.3
Consensus
3.6
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±0.31 percentage points
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Sep 2026
Predicted: 7
Actual: 6.4
Error: +0.6
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GOOGL | ▲ Direct | +0.88 | STOCKS | Moves with | → View |
| AAPL | ▼ Inverse | −0.70 | STOCKS | Moves against | → View |
| USD/JPY | ▼ Inverse | −0.69 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
| GBP/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.43 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
| USD/CHF | ▼ Inverse | −0.42 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
GDP Price Index QoQ (United States) was reported at 6.4% in September 2026. This beat the market consensus of 6.3% by 0.1%. The reading rose from the previous value of 3.6%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through September 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 4.39%, ranging from 2.1% to 6.4% across 9 releases. This is classified as a medium-impact indicator released on a quarterly basis.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged 6.37%, up from the prior three at 3.63%. Volatility over the past year (σ 1.48%) is higher than the prior year (σ 0.73%). In September readings over the past 3 years, GDP Price Index QoQ has averaged 3.18%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with GOOGL (Bullish GOOGL). A secondary relationship exists with AAPL, negatively correlated (Bearish AAPL). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 0.31%.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for September 30, 2026. Same-country events in the next 14 days include Housing Starts MoM (Sep 17) and Building Permits MoM (Sep 17).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update September 2026.
SHARE
GDP Price Index QoQ - US
Loading chart data...
About GDP Price Index QoQ — United States
DEFINITION
The GDP Price Index QoQ is a key economic indicator that measures the change in the overall prices of goods and services produced within a country over a specific quarter. It provides valuable insights into the inflationary pressures within an economy and is used by policymakers, investors, and businesses to assess the health and stability of a country's economy. A positive change in the GDP Price Index QoQ indicates an increase in prices, while a negative change suggests a decrease in prices. This indicator is an important tool for understanding the current and future economic trends and making informed financial decisions.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Aggregate growth figures anchor cyclical positioning across asset classes and inform fiscal and monetary policy debate. Surprises against consensus can drive short-term moves, particularly when the print breaks an established trend. Released quarterly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Apr 2026): actual 6.4 %, consensus 6.3 %. Prior reading (Apr 2026): 6.4 %. Before that (Apr 2026): 6.3 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a higher reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with GOOGL (Bullish GOOGL, r=0.88) — a useful reference for stocks-focused traders.
Σ
EXPECTED ZONE
SIGMANOMICS MARKET FORECAST ENGINE
Multi-horizon symbol forecasts, Rolling-Surprise economic predictions, and programmatic API access.
Expected Zones · Trade Bias · Confidence Intervals · API Access · 1,456+ instruments
FOREXCRYPTOSTOCKSCOMMODITIESINDICESAPI
BLSBEAFMPWORLD BANKFRED
1,456+ instruments247 indicators530+ correlationsREST + GQL API
4,151 economic indicators127 countries covered6 data sources
FREDBLSEIAECBBOJFMP
Economic Calendar - US Events
| Tuesday, September 15, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12:30 | US | NY Empire State Manufacturing Index | 7.6 | 20.6 | 14.75 | 11.18 | High |
| 20:30 | US | API Crude Oil Stock Change | 7.14 | -0.3 | -1.8 | 2.67 | Medium |
| 21:00 | US | API Crude Oil Stock Change | 7.14 | -0.3 | -1.8 | 2.67 | Medium |
| Wednesday, September 16, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 12:30 | US | Retail Sales MoM | 1.4 | -0.4 | 0.4 | 0.75 | High |
| 12:30 | US | Retail Sales Ex Autos MoM | 1.4 | -0.2 | 0.5 | 0.80 | High |
| 12:30 | US | Import Prices YoY | 7 | 6.1 | 6.4 | 6.70 | Low |
| 12:30 | US | Retail Sales Ex Gas/Autos MoM | 1.2 | -0.3 | 0.2 | 0.45 | High |
| 12:30 | US | Retail Sales YoY | 6 | 5.03 | 4.7 | 5.75 | High |
| 12:30 | US | Export Prices MoM | 0.6 | -1.4 | 0.5 | 0.55 | Medium |
| 12:30 | US | Import Prices MoM | 0.7 | -0.3 | 0.4 | 0.55 | Medium |
| 12:30 | US | Export Prices YoY | 8.6 | 8.1 | 8.5 | 8.55 | Low |
| 14:00 | US | Business Inventories MoM | 0.8 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 0.42 | Medium |
| 14:00 | US | NAHB Housing Market Index | 32 | 35 | 34 | 33.00 | Medium |
| 14:00 | US | Retail Inventories Ex Autos MoM | 0.8 | -0.5 | 0.7 | 0.72 | Low |
| 14:30 | US | EIA Crude Oil Stocks Change | -0.64 | -0.391 | -1.6 | -2.28 | Medium |
| 14:30 | US | EIA Gasoline Stocks Change | 0.794 | 1.269 | -1 | -0.53 | Medium |
| 14:30 | US | EIA Distillate Stocks Change | 1.585 | 2.087 | 0.1 | 0.83 | Low |
| 16:00 | US | Atlanta Fed GDPNow | 5.1 | 4.4 | 4.4 | 4.63 | Medium |
| 18:00 | US | Fed Interest Rate Decision | 4 | 3.75 | 4 | 4.00 | High |
| 20:00 | US | Net Long-Term TIC Flows | -27.9 | 174.4 | 146.3 | 109.78 | Medium |