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Industrial Production YoY fell to 0.7 in March 2026, down 0.5 from February's 1.2 reading. The reading missed the 1.8 consensus by 1.1. Industrial Production YoY has now declined for 3 consecutive months. Over the past 3 months, Industrial Production YoY averaged 1.9, vs 1.9 in the prior 3-month window. Industrial Production YoY is now the lowest in 9 months.
The April 2026 reading fell from the previous value of 1.2. Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with GBP/USD (Bullish GBP) and positively correlated with XAU/USD (Bullish XAU).
Multi-horizon symbol forecasts, Rolling-Surprise economic predictions, and programmatic API access.
Expected Zones · Trade Bias · Confidence Intervals · API Access · 1,456+ instruments
| Tuesday, May 12, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10:00 | NFIB Business Optimism Index | 95.8 | 96.1 | 95.85 | Low | ||
| 12:30 | CPI s.a | 330.293 | 331.9 | 331.90 | Medium | ||
| 12:30 | Core Inflation Rate MoM | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.40 | High | ||
| 12:30 | CPI | 330.21 | 332.3 | 332.30 | Medium | ||
| 12:30 | Inflation Rate YoY | 3.3 | 3.7 | 3.70 | High | ||
| 12:30 | Inflation Rate MoM | 0.9 | 0.6 | 0.60 | High | ||
| 12:30 | Core Inflation Rate YoY | 2.6 | 2.7 | 2.70 | High | ||
| 12:30 | CPI MoM | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.30 | High | ||
| 12:30 | CPI YoY | 2.6 | 2.7 | 2.70 | Medium | ||
| 18:00 | Monthly Budget Statement | -164.1 | 37.5 | 35.00 | Medium | ||
| 18:00 | Budget Balance | -164 | 37.5 | 37.30 | Medium | ||
| Wednesday, May 13, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 12:30 | PPI Ex Food, Energy and Trade YoY | 3.6 | 3.7 | 3.70 | Low | ||
| 12:30 | Producer Price Index | 154.006 | 154.6 | 154.60 | Low | ||
| 12:30 | Core PPI MoM | 0.1 | 0.3 | 0.30 | Medium | ||
| 12:30 | Producer Price Index MoM | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.50 | High | ||
| 12:30 | Core PPI YoY | 3.8 | 4.3 | 4.30 | Low | ||
| 12:30 | Producer Price Index YoY | 4 | 4.9 | 4.90 | Low | ||
| 12:30 | PPI Ex Food, Energy and Trade MoM | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.30 | Low | ||
| Thursday, May 14, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 12:30 | Retail Sales Ex Autos MoM | 1.9 | 0.6 | 0.60 | Medium | ||
| 12:30 | Initial Jobless Claims | 200 | 205 | 205.00 | Medium | ||
| 12:30 | Continuing Jobless Claims | 1766 | 1775 | 1775.00 | Low | ||
| 12:30 | Export Prices YoY | 5.6 | 6.6 | 6.60 | Low | ||
| 12:30 | Import Prices MoM | 0.8 | 0.9 | 0.80 | Medium | ||
| 12:30 | Retail Sales MoM | 1.7 | 0.5 | 0.30 | High | ||
| 12:30 | Import Prices YoY | 2.1 | 2.9 | 2.80 | Low | ||
| 12:30 | Export Prices MoM | 1.6 | 1.1 | 1.10 | Medium | ||
| 12:30 | Retail Sales Ex Gas/Autos MoM | 0.6 | 0.1 | 0.00 | Low | ||
| 12:30 | Jobless Claims 4-Week Average | 203.25 | 204 | 204.00 | Low | ||
| 12:30 | Retail Sales YoY | 4 | 3.3 | 3.05 | Low | ||
| 14:00 | Business Inventories MoM | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.25 | Medium | ||