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Data from U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
United StatesUS Personal Income MoM climbed to 0.7% in May 2026
U.S. Bureau of Economic AnalysisMonthlyReleased June 2026
US Personal Income MoM climbed to 0.7% in May 2026, released June 2026, up 0.7% from April's 0.0% reading. The print exceeded the 0.4% consensus by 0.3%. The print is running well above the 12-month average of 0.3%. Over the past 3 months, Personal Income MoM averaged 0.17%, vs 0.35% in the prior 3-month window. Personal Income MoM is now the highest in 12 months.
Latest Release
0.7
Actual
0.4
Consensus
0
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±0.17 percentage points
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Jun 2026
Predicted: 0.2
Actual: 0.7
Error: -0.5
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GOOGL | ▲ Direct | +0.36 | STOCKS | Moves with | → View |
| USD/JPY | ▼ Inverse | −0.29 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Personal Income MoM (United States) was reported at 0.7% in June 2026. This beat the market consensus of 0.4% by 0.3%. The reading rose from the previous value of 0%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through June 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 0.36%, ranging from 0% to 0.7% across 8 releases. This is classified as a high-impact indicator released on a monthly basis.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged 0.37%, unchanged from the prior three. Volatility over the past year (σ 0.18%) is lower than the prior year (σ 0.34%). In June readings over the past 3 years, Personal Income MoM has averaged 0.27%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with GOOGL (Bullish GOOGL). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 0.18%.
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update June 2026.
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Personal Income MoM - US
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About Personal Income MoM — United States
DEFINITION
Personal Income MoM (Month-over-Month) is a key economic indicator that measures the change in the total income received by individuals in a given month compared to the previous month. This indicator provides valuable insights into the overall financial health of individuals and their ability to spend and save, which in turn impacts consumer spending and economic growth. It is closely monitored by policymakers, businesses, and investors as it reflects the current state of the economy and can help inform financial decisions.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Consumer activity accounts for the majority of GDP in advanced economies, making spending data a key cyclical signal for retail and discretionary sectors. Surprises against consensus can drive short-term moves, particularly when the print breaks an established trend. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (May 2026): actual 0.7 %, consensus 0.4 %. Prior reading (Apr 2026): 0 %. Before that (Apr 2026): 0 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a higher reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection.
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EXPECTED ZONE
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