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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
VietnamVietnam GDP Growth Rate YoY climbed to 9.95% in July 2026
FMPQuarterlyReleased October 2026
Vietnam GDP Growth Rate YoY climbed to 9.95% in July 2026, released October 2026, up 1.14% from June's 8.81% reading. The print exceeded the 7.3% consensus by 2.65%. The print is running well above the 12-month average of 7.51%. GDP Growth Rate YoY is now the highest in 33 months.
Latest Release
9.95
Actual
7.3
Consensus
8.81
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±1.73 percentage points
across last 7 releases
Last Call
Oct 2026
Predicted: 7.3
Actual: 9.95
Error: -2.65
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EUR/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
| USD/JPY | ▼ Inverse | −0.30 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | COMMODITIES | Moves with | → View |
| S&P 500 | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | INDEX | Moves with | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | CRYPTO | Moves with | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
GDP Growth Rate YoY (Vietnam) was reported at 9.95% in October 2026. This beat the market consensus of 7.3% by 2.65%. The reading rose from the previous value of 8.81%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through October 2026.
WHY IT MATTERS
The indicator has been trending upward over the last three releases. The trailing three releases averaged 8.88%, up from the prior three at 7.29%. In October readings over the past 3 years, GDP Growth Rate YoY has averaged 8.53%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with BTC/USD (Watch). A secondary relationship exists with USD/JPY, negatively correlated (Watch). Over the last 7 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 1.73%.
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update October 2026.
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GDP Growth Rate YoY - VN
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About GDP Growth Rate YoY — Vietnam
DEFINITION
The GDP Growth Rate YoY (Year-over-Year) is a key economic indicator that measures the annual change in a country's Gross Domestic Product (GDP). It provides insight into the overall health and performance of an economy, as a higher growth rate indicates a stronger and more robust economy. This indicator is closely monitored by policymakers, investors, and businesses to make informed decisions and assess the current and future economic outlook. A positive GDP Growth Rate YoY is generally seen as a positive sign of economic growth and stability, while a negative growth rate may indicate a slowdown or recession.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Aggregate growth figures anchor cyclical positioning across asset classes and inform fiscal and monetary policy debate. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released quarterly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Jul 2026): actual 9.95 %, consensus 7.3 %. Prior reading (Jan 2026): 7.83 %. Before that (Oct 2025): 8.46 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a higher reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection.
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Economic Calendar - VN Events
| Monday, November 2, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 00:30 | VN | S&P Global Manufacturing PMI | 51.9 | 52.1 | 52.55 | Low | |
| Tuesday, November 3, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 02:00 | VN | Retail Sales YoY | 14.1 | 15 | 15.15 | Low | |
| 02:00 | VN | Tourist Arrivals YoY | 16.1 | 16 | 16.00 | Low | |
| 02:00 | VN | Foreign Direct Investment | 21.07 | 22 | 22.10 | Low | |
| 02:00 | VN | Balance of Trade | 1.27 | 1.35 | 0.46 | Low | |
| 02:00 | VN | Industrial Production YoY | 16.7 | 15.5 | 17.00 | Low | |
| 02:00 | VN | Inflation Rate YoY | 5.08 | 5.2 | 5.18 | Low | |