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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
AngolaAngola Inflation Rate YoY fell to 10.11% in June 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased July 2026
Angola Inflation Rate YoY fell to 10.11% in June 2026, released July 2026, down 0.77% from May's 10.88% reading. The print came in cooler than the 10.7% consensus, a softer print than forecasters anticipated. Inflation Rate YoY has now declined for 9 consecutive months. Over the past 3 months, Inflation Rate YoY averaged 11.23%, vs 13.44% in the prior 3-month window. Inflation Rate YoY is now the lowest in 29 months.
Latest Release
10.11
Actual
10.7
Consensus
10.88
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±0.37 percentage points
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Jul 2026
Predicted: 10.54
Actual: 10.11
Error: +0.43
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Signal Bias | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTC/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.40 | CRYPTO | Bearish BTC | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.35 | COMMODITIES | Bullish XAU | → View |
| USD/JPY | ▲ Direct | +0.34 | FOREX | Bullish USD | → View |
| GBP/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.33 | FOREX | Bullish GBP | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Inflation Rate YoY (Angola) was reported at 10.11% in July 2026. This missed the market consensus of 10.7% by 0.59%. The reading fell from the previous value of 10.88%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through July 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 15.31%, ranging from 10.11% to 19.48% across 9 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The indicator has been trending downward over the last three releases. The trailing three releases averaged 11.45%, down from the prior three at 15.61%. Volatility over the past year (σ 3.19%) is lower than the prior year (σ 3.65%). In July readings over the past 3 years, Inflation Rate YoY has averaged 20.28%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with BTC/USD (Bearish BTC). A secondary relationship exists with XAU/USD, positively correlated (Bullish XAU). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 0.37%.
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update July 2026.
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Inflation Rate YoY - AO
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About Inflation Rate YoY — Angola
DEFINITION
The Inflation Rate YoY (Year-over-Year) is a financial indicator that measures the percentage change in the overall price level of goods and services over a 12-month period. It is a key measure of inflation and is used by economists and policymakers to monitor the health of an economy and make informed decisions regarding monetary policy. A higher inflation rate can indicate a growing economy, but if it rises too quickly, it can lead to negative effects such as decreased purchasing power and higher interest rates. Conversely, a lower inflation rate can signal a slowing economy, but if it falls too low, it can lead to deflation and potential economic instability. The Inflation Rate YoY is an important tool for understanding and managing the impact of price changes on the economy.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Inflation prints feed directly into central-bank policy expectations and real-yield calculations, and are among the most rate-sensitive releases on the calendar. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Jun 2026): actual 10.11 %, consensus 10.7 %. Prior reading (May 2026): 10.88 %. Before that (Apr 2026): 11.58 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a lower reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bearish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary headwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with BTC/USD (Bearish BTC, r=-0.40) — a useful reference for crypto-focused traders.
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Economic Calendar - AO Events
| Tuesday, July 14, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15:00 | AO | Interest Rate Decision | 17 | 17 | 17.00 | Low | |