Loading page content
Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
ArgentinaArgentina Leading Indicator MoM climbed to 0.08% in May 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased June 2026
Argentina Leading Indicator MoM climbed to 0.08% in May 2026, released June 2026, up 1.85% from April's -1.77% reading. The print exceeded the -0.8% consensus by 0.88%. The print is running well above the 12-month average of -0.29%. Over the past 3 months, Leading Indicator MoM averaged -0.47%, vs 0.88% in the prior 3-month window. The reading is in the 29th percentile of the trailing 24-month range.
Latest Release
0.08
Actual
-0.8
Consensus
-1.77
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±1.54 percentage points
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Jun 2026
Predicted: -1.15
Actual: 0.08
Error: -1.23
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
THE RELEASE
Leading Indicator MoM (Argentina) was reported at 0.08% in June 2026. This beat the market consensus of -0.8% by 0.88%. The reading rose from the previous value of -1.77%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through June 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged -0.33%, ranging from -4.72% to 5.97% across 9 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged -0.17%, down from the prior three at 0.99%. Volatility over the past year (σ 2.89%) is higher than the prior year (σ 1.11%). In June readings over the past 3 years, Leading Indicator MoM has averaged 1.77%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with S&P 500 (Bullish S&P 500). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 1.55%.
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update June 2026.
SHARE
Leading Indicator MoM - AR
Loading chart data...
About Leading Indicator MoM — Argentina
DEFINITION
The Leading Indicator MoM (Month-over-Month) is a financial indicator that measures the changes in economic activity and predicts future trends. It is based on a variety of economic data, such as consumer spending, business investments, and housing market activity. By analyzing these factors, the Leading Indicator MoM provides valuable insights into the direction of the economy and helps investors and businesses make informed decisions. This indicator is widely used by economists and financial analysts to gauge the overall health of the economy and anticipate potential shifts in the market.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (May 2026): actual 0.08 %, consensus -0.8 %. Prior reading (Apr 2026): -1.77 %. Before that (Mar 2026): 0.83 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a materially lower reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook diverging from that direction. The 1-month and 3-month horizons disagree, suggesting a mixed signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary headwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with S&P 500 (Bullish S&P 500, r=0.75) — a useful reference for index-focused traders.
Σ
EXPECTED ZONE
SIGMANOMICS MARKET FORECAST ENGINE
Multi-horizon symbol forecasts, Rolling-Surprise economic predictions, and programmatic API access.
Expected Zones · Trade Bias · Confidence Intervals · API Access · 1,456+ instruments
FOREXCRYPTOSTOCKSCOMMODITIESINDICESAPI
BLSBEAFMPWORLD BANKFRED
1,456+ instruments247 indicators530+ correlationsREST + GQL API
4,151 economic indicators127 countries covered6 data sources
FREDBLSEIAECBBOJFMP