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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
ArgentinaArgentina Leading Indicator MoM climbed to -0.25% in September 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased October 2026
Argentina Leading Indicator MoM climbed to -0.25% in September 2026, released October 2026, up 0.02% from August's -0.27% reading. The print exceeded the -0.3% consensus by 0.05%. The print is running well below the 12-month average of 0.08%. Over the past 3 months, Leading Indicator MoM averaged -0.38%, vs -0.85% in the prior 3-month window. The reading is in the 33rd percentile of the trailing 24-month range.
Latest Release
-0.25
Actual
-0.3
Consensus
-0.27
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±1.47 percentage points
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Oct 2026
Predicted: -0.22
Actual: -0.25
Error: +0.03
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
THE RELEASE
Leading Indicator MoM (Argentina) was reported at -0.25% in October 2026. This beat the market consensus of -0.3% by 0.05%. The reading rose from the previous value of -0.27%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through October 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 0.13%, ranging from -3.58% to 5.97% across 9 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The indicator has been trending upward over the last three releases. The trailing three releases averaged -0.41%, down from the prior three at -0.17%. Volatility over the past year (σ 2.44%) is higher than the prior year (σ 1.92%). In October readings over the past 3 years, Leading Indicator MoM has averaged -0.15%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with S&P 500 (Bullish S&P 500). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 1.48%.
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update October 2026.
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Leading Indicator MoM - AR
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About Leading Indicator MoM — Argentina
DEFINITION
The Leading Indicator MoM (Month-over-Month) is a financial indicator that measures the changes in economic activity and predicts future trends. It is based on a variety of economic data, such as consumer spending, business investments, and housing market activity. By analyzing these factors, the Leading Indicator MoM provides valuable insights into the direction of the economy and helps investors and businesses make informed decisions. This indicator is widely used by economists and financial analysts to gauge the overall health of the economy and anticipate potential shifts in the market.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Sep 2026): actual -0.25 %, consensus -0.3 %. Prior reading (Sep 2026): -0.25 %. Before that (Aug 2026): -0.27 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a materially higher reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with S&P 500 (Bullish S&P 500, r=0.61) — a useful reference for index-focused traders.
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EXPECTED ZONE
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