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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
AustriaAustria Bank Austria Manufacturing PMI fell to 47.6 in September 2025
FMPMonthlyReleased September 2025
Austria Bank Austria Manufacturing PMI fell to 47.6 in September 2025, down 1.5 from August's 49.1 reading. The reading matched the 50 consensus. Year-over-year, the indicator is up 4.8. Over the past 3 months, Bank Austria Manufacturing PMI averaged 48.65, vs 47.33 in the prior 3-month window. The reading is in the 83rd percentile of the trailing 24-month range.
Latest Release
47.6
Actual
50
Consensus
49.1
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±1.35
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Sep 2025
Predicted: 50.4
Actual: 47.6
Error: +2.8
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USD/JPY | ▲ Direct | +0.58 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
| EUR/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.44 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.41 | COMMODITIES | Moves against | → View |
| GBP/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.39 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Bank Austria Manufacturing PMI (Austria) was reported at 54.40 in August 2026. The reading rose from the previous value of 51.50. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through August 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 50.33, ranging from 47.20 to 54.40 across 11 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The indicator has been trending upward over the last three releases. The trailing three releases averaged 52.27, up from the prior three at 51.17. Volatility over the past year (σ 2.04) is lower than the prior year (σ 2.30). In August readings over the past 3 years, Bank Austria Manufacturing PMI has averaged 49.30.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with USD/JPY (Bullish USD). A secondary relationship exists with EUR/USD, negatively correlated (Bearish EUR). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 1.35.
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update August 2026.
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Bank Austria Manufacturing PMI - AT
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About Bank Austria Manufacturing PMI — Austria
DEFINITION
The Bank Austria Manufacturing PMI is a widely recognized economic indicator that measures the performance of the manufacturing sector in Austria. It is based on a monthly survey of purchasing managers from a variety of industries, providing valuable insights into the current state and future outlook of the country's manufacturing activity. This indicator is closely monitored by investors, policymakers, and businesses as it can help inform decisions related to investments, production planning, and economic policies. With its timely and reliable data, the Bank Austria Manufacturing PMI is a crucial tool for understanding the health of the Austrian economy.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Sentiment surveys are forward-looking inputs that often lead hard data on output and hiring. Sharp swings can drive cross-asset repricing. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Aug 2026): actual 54.4. Prior reading (Jul 2026): 51.5. Before that (Jun 2026): 50.9.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a higher reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with USD/JPY (Bullish USD, r=0.58) — a useful reference for forex-focused traders.
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EXPECTED ZONE
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Economic Calendar - AT Events
| Thursday, September 17, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07:00 | AT | Inflation Rate YoY | 3.2 | 2.8 | 3.2 | 3.20 | Low |
| 07:00 | AT | Inflation Rate MoM | 0.6 | 0 | 0.6 | 0.60 | Low |
| 07:00 | AT | Harmonised Inflation Rate YoY | 2.9 | 2.7 | 2.9 | 2.90 | Low |
| 07:00 | AT | Harmonised Inflation Rate MoM | 0.5 | -0.4 | 0.5 | 0.50 | Low |