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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
AustriaAustria GDP Growth Rate YoY fell to 0.8% in April 2026
FMPQuarterlyReleased September 2026
Austria GDP Growth Rate YoY fell to 0.8% in April 2026, released September 2026, down 0.1% from March's 0.9% reading. The reading matched the 0.8% consensus. The print is running well above the 12-month average of 0.36%. Over the past 3 months, GDP Growth Rate YoY averaged 0.6%, vs 0.75% in the prior 3-month window. The reading is in the 82nd percentile of the trailing 24-month range.
Latest Release
0.8
Actual
0.8
Consensus
0.9
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±0.31 percentage points
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Sep 2026
Predicted: 0.73
Actual: 0.8
Error: -0.07
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| XAU/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.51 | COMMODITIES | Moves against | → View |
| USD/JPY | ▲ Direct | +0.39 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.39 | CRYPTO | Moves against | → View |
| EUR/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.30 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
GDP Growth Rate YoY (Austria) was reported at 0.8% in September 2026. This matched the market consensus of 0.8% exactly. The reading fell from the previous value of 0.9%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through September 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 0.71%, ranging from 0.4% to 0.9% across 8 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged 0.67%, down from the prior three at 0.73%. Volatility over the past year (σ 0.16%) is lower than the prior year (σ 0.27%). In September readings over the past 3 years, GDP Growth Rate YoY has averaged 0.13%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with XAU/USD (Bearish XAU). A secondary relationship exists with USD/JPY, positively correlated (Bullish USD). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 0.31%.
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update September 2026.
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GDP Growth Rate YoY - AT
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About GDP Growth Rate YoY — Austria
DEFINITION
The GDP Growth Rate YoY (Year-over-Year) is a key economic indicator that measures the annual change in a country's Gross Domestic Product (GDP). It provides insight into the overall health and performance of an economy, as a higher growth rate indicates a stronger and more robust economy. This indicator is closely monitored by policymakers, investors, and businesses to make informed decisions and assess the current and future economic outlook. A positive GDP Growth Rate YoY is generally seen as a positive sign of economic growth and stability, while a negative growth rate may indicate a slowdown or recession.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Aggregate growth figures anchor cyclical positioning across asset classes and inform fiscal and monetary policy debate. Surprises against consensus can drive short-term moves, particularly when the print breaks an established trend. Released quarterly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Apr 2026): actual 0.8 %, consensus 0.8 %. Prior reading (Apr 2026): 0.8 %. Before that (Jan 2026): 0.9 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a higher reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with XAU/USD (Bearish XAU, r=-0.51) — a useful reference for commodities-focused traders.
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EXPECTED ZONE
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Economic Calendar - AT Events
| Thursday, September 17, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07:00 | AT | Inflation Rate YoY | 3.2 | 2.8 | 3.2 | 3.20 | Low |
| 07:00 | AT | Inflation Rate MoM | 0.6 | 0 | 0.6 | 0.60 | Low |
| 07:00 | AT | Harmonised Inflation Rate YoY | 2.9 | 2.7 | 2.9 | 2.90 | Low |
| 07:00 | AT | Harmonised Inflation Rate MoM | 0.5 | -0.4 | 0.5 | 0.50 | Low |