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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
AustriaAustria HICP YoY climbed to 3.7% in May 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased June 2026
Austria HICP YoY climbed to 3.7% in May 2026, released June 2026, up 0.3% from April's 3.4% reading. The reading matched the 3.7% consensus. The print is running well above the 12-month average of 2.9%. Over the past 3 months, HICP YoY averaged 3.32%, vs 2.76% in the prior 3-month window. The reading is in the 63rd percentile of the trailing 24-month range.
Latest Release
3.7
Actual
3.7
Consensus
3.4
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±0.04 percentage points
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Jun 2026
Predicted: 3.75
Actual: 3.7
Error: +0.05
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| XAU/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.33 | COMMODITIES | Moves against | → View |
| S&P 500 | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | INDEX | Moves with | → View |
| USD/JPY | ▼ Inverse | −0.28 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
| GBP/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.28 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
HICP YoY (Austria) was reported at 2.6% in July 2026. The reading fell from the previous value of 3.2%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through June 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 3.5%, ranging from 2% to 4.1% across 21 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged 3.6%, up from the prior three at 2.57%. Volatility over the past year (σ 0.7%) is higher than the prior year (σ 0.18%). In June readings over the past 3 years, HICP YoY has averaged 3.35%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with XAU/USD (Bearish XAU). A secondary relationship exists with S&P 500, positively correlated (Bullish S&P 500). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 0.04%.
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update June 2026.
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HICP YoY - AT
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About HICP YoY — Austria
DEFINITION
Austria's HICP YoY for July came in at 2.600000%, down from June's 3.200000%, signaling a notable deceleration in inflation. This decline marks a clear easing from the prior month’s pace, reflecting softer price pressures across the economy. Market participants will watch upcoming data for confirmation amid ongoing central bank vigilance. Updated 7/31/26
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Inflation prints feed directly into central-bank policy expectations and real-yield calculations, and are among the most rate-sensitive releases on the calendar. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Jul 2026): actual 2.6 %. Prior reading (May 2026): 3.7 %. Before that (May 2026): 3.7 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a materially lower reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bearish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary headwind in the current projection.
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EXPECTED ZONE
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Economic Calendar - AT Events
| Thursday, July 30, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07:00 | AT | GDP Growth Rate YoY | 0.8 | 0.9 | 0.7 | 0.75 | Low |
| 07:00 | AT | Producer Price Index YoY | 3.1 | 2.8 | 2.7 | 2.90 | Low |
| 07:00 | AT | Producer Price Index MoM | 0.1 | 0.5 | -0.3 | -0.10 | Low |
| 07:00 | AT | GDP Growth Rate QoQ | 0 | 0.2 | 0 | 0.00 | Low |
| Friday, July 31, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 07:00 | AT | Inflation Rate MoM | -0.1 | 0 | 0.3 | 0.10 | Low |
| 07:00 | AT | Inflation Rate YoY | 2.7 | 3.2 | 3.2 | 2.95 | Low |
| 07:00 | AT | Harmonised Inflation Rate MoM | -0.4 | 0 | 0.3 | -0.05 | Low |
| 07:00 | AT | Harmonised Inflation Rate YoY | 2.6 | 3.2 | 3.4 | 3.00 | Low |