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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
AustriaAustria HICP YoY fell to 2.7% in July 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased August 2026
Austria HICP YoY fell to 2.7% in July 2026, released August 2026, down 0.5% from June's 3.2% reading. The reading matched the 2.6% consensus. Year-over-year, the indicator is down 1.0%. Over the past 3 months, HICP YoY averaged 3.33%, vs 2.69% in the prior 3-month window. The reading is in the 18th percentile of the trailing 24-month range.
Latest Release
2.7
Actual
2.6
Consensus
3.2
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±0.05 percentage points
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Aug 2026
Predicted: 2.6
Actual: 2.7
Error: -0.1
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| XAU/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.35 | COMMODITIES | Moves against | → View |
| GBP/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.33 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
HICP YoY (Austria) was reported at 2.9% in September 2026. The reading rose from the previous value of 2.7%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through September 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 3.34%, ranging from 2% to 4.1% across 21 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The indicator has been trending upward over the last three releases. The trailing three releases averaged 2.73%, down from the prior three at 3.6%. Volatility over the past year (σ 0.73%) is higher than the prior year (σ 0.29%). In September readings over the past 3 years, HICP YoY has averaged 3.7%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with XAU/USD (Bearish XAU). A secondary relationship exists with GBP/USD, negatively correlated (Bearish GBP). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 0.05%.
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update September 2026.
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HICP YoY - AT
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About HICP YoY — Austria
DEFINITION
Austria's HICP YoY rose to 2.900% in August, up from July's 2.700%, marking a continued acceleration in inflation. This increase follows a dip from June's 3.7%, indicating a recent rebound after mid-year easing. Market focus remains on ECB policy adjustments amid persistent inflation pressures. Updated 9/1/26
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Inflation prints feed directly into central-bank policy expectations and real-yield calculations, and are among the most rate-sensitive releases on the calendar. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Aug 2026): actual 2.9 %. Prior reading (Jul 2026): 2.7 %. Before that (Jul 2026): 2.6 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a similar reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook diverging from that direction. The 1-month and 3-month horizons disagree, suggesting a mixed signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary headwind in the current projection.
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EXPECTED ZONE
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Economic Calendar - AT Events
| Thursday, September 17, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07:00 | AT | Inflation Rate YoY | 3.2 | 2.8 | 3.2 | 3.20 | Low |
| 07:00 | AT | Inflation Rate MoM | 0.6 | 0 | 0.6 | 0.60 | Low |
| 07:00 | AT | Harmonised Inflation Rate YoY | 2.9 | 2.7 | 2.9 | 2.90 | Low |
| 07:00 | AT | Harmonised Inflation Rate MoM | 0.5 | -0.4 | 0.5 | 0.50 | Low |